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FINAL+3CAR
DET

DET

22-14-3

25
CAR

CAR

23-11-3

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriesCAR leads series 1-0VegasCAR -170

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Detroit Red Wings, 5–2.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

DET
J.T. Compher

J.T. Compher

LW · #37

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Andrei Svechnikov

Andrei Svechnikov

RW · #37

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
5
DET22-14-3CAR23-11-3
DET

DET

22-14-3

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

23-11-3

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

CAR leads series 1-0

Dec 28DETDET2@CARCAR5today
Jan 13CARCAR3@DETDET4
Mar 1DETDET2@CARCAR5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+14241%
CARCAR-17063%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat DET 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DET1012
CAR0325

Period scoring

DET won 1 · CAR won 2

1
0

1

0
3

2

1
2

3

DET
CAR

Play-by-play · 335 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DET 2·CAR 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DET 2·CAR 5

  3. 3rd·19:56

    Mason Appleton Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 5

  4. 3rd·19:44

    Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker

    DET 2·CAR 5

  5. 3rd·19:29

    Mark Jankowski hit Albert Johansson

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 5

  6. 3rd·19:01

    Marco Kasper faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 5

  7. 3rd·19:01

    Off-side

    DET 2·CAR 5

  8. 3rd·18:45

    Giveaway by Mark Jankowski

    DET 2·CAR 5

  9. 3rd·18:39

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Marco Kasper

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 5

  10. 3rd·18:39

    Jordan Martinook Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (17), Shayne Gostisbehere (25)

    · ·

    DET 2·CAR 5

  11. 3rd·18:32

    Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat

    DET 2·CAR 4

  12. 3rd·18:28

    Giveaway by Jordan Staal

    DET 2·CAR 4

  13. 3rd·17:53

    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Moritz Seider

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  14. 3rd·17:41

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  15. 3rd·17:41

    Icing

    DET 2·CAR 4

  16. 3rd·17:37

    Shayne Gostisbehere Wrist Shot Wide Right

    DET 2·CAR 4

  17. 3rd·17:33

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against J.T. Compher

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  18. 3rd·17:33

    Off-side

    DET 2·CAR 4

  19. 3rd·17:10

    Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Moritz Seider

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  20. 3rd·16:52

    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  21. 3rd·16:36

    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  22. 3rd·16:26

    Jordan Martinook hit Lucas Raymond

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  23. 3rd·16:17

    Lucas Raymond Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  24. 3rd·16:15

    Alex DeBrincat Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  25. 3rd·16:10

    Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  26. 3rd·15:57

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  27. 3rd·15:57

    Puck in Netting

    DET 2·CAR 4

  28. 3rd·15:53

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    DET 2·CAR 4

  29. 3rd·15:53

    Timeout - Home

    DET 2·CAR 4

  30. 3rd·15:53

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 2·CAR 4

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

20

Shots

38

50.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

37

Faceoffs W

28

17

Blocks

6

16

Giveaways

17

2

Takeaways

8

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +142/CAR -170

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
    DIST MI252.196
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+142

Close price

+142

Open no-vig

39.6%

Close no-vig

39.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR