
DET
22-14-3

CAR
23-11-3
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes held off Detroit Red Wings, 5–2.
CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DET · top performer

J.T. Compher
LW · #37
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Andrei Svechnikov
RW · #37
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


DET
22-14-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CAR
23-11-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
6
Season series
CAR leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CAR beat DET 5-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| CAR | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
DET won 1 · CAR won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 335 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:56
Mason Appleton Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:44
Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:29
Mark Jankowski hit Albert Johansson
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:01
Marco Kasper faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:01
Off-side
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:45
Giveaway by Mark Jankowski
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:39
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:39
Jordan Martinook Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (17), Shayne Gostisbehere (25)
· ·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:32
Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·18:28
Giveaway by Jordan Staal
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:53
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:41
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:41
Icing
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:37
Shayne Gostisbehere Wrist Shot Wide Right
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:33
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:33
Off-side
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·17:10
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:52
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Sean Walker
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:36
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Sean Walker
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:26
Jordan Martinook hit Lucas Raymond
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:17
Lucas Raymond Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:15
Alex DeBrincat Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:10
Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·15:57
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·15:57
Puck in Netting
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·15:53
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·15:53
Timeout - Home
DET 2·CAR 4
- 3rd·15:53
Goalie Stopped
DET 2·CAR 4
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
20
Shots
38
50.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
6
37
Faceoffs W
28
17
Blocks
6
16
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
8
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +142/CAR -170
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
Moritz SeiderDET · DDIST MI299.899
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Alex DeBrincatDET · RWDIST MI252.196
Sebastian AhoCAR · CDIST MI44.795
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+142
Close price
+142
Open no-vig
39.6%
Close no-vig
39.6%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss