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FINAL+3CAR
ANA

ANA

21-20-3

25
CAR

CAR

27-14-3

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 8FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-0VegasCAR -230

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Anaheim Ducks, 5–2.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Mikael Granlund

Mikael Granlund

C · #64

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Taylor Hall

Taylor Hall

LW · #71

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
5
ANA21-20-3CAR27-14-3
ANA

ANA

21-20-3

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

27-14-3

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

14

PIM

6

Season series

CAR wins series 2-0

Oct 17CARCAR4@ANAANA1
Jan 9ANAANA2@CARCAR5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA+19034%
CARCAR-23070%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat ANA 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA1102
CAR0325

Period scoring

ANA won 1 · CAR won 2

1
0

1

1
3

2

0
2

3

ANA
CAR

Play-by-play · 328 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  3. 3rd·19:34

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Ryan Strome

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  4. 3rd·19:34

    Puck in Crowd

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  5. 3rd·19:30

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Leo Carlsson

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  6. 3rd·19:30

    On-Ice Official

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  7. 3rd·19:26

    Joel Nystrom shot blocked by Jansen Harkins

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  8. 3rd·19:25

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Jansen Harkins

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  9. 3rd·19:25

    Puck in Netting

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  10. 3rd·19:23

    Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Mason McTavish

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  11. 3rd·19:09

    Olen Zellweger Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  12. 3rd·19:06

    Radko Gudas Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  13. 3rd·19:05

    Mason McTavish faceoff won against Logan Stankoven

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  14. 3rd·19:05

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  15. 3rd·19:04

    Mason McTavish Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  16. 3rd·18:54

    Logan Stankoven shot blocked by Radko Gudas

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  17. 3rd·18:39

    Giveaway by Chris Kreider

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  18. 3rd·18:23

    Shayne Gostisbehere Snap Shot saved by Ville Husso

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  19. 3rd·18:16

    Nikolaj Ehlers Snap Shot saved by Ville Husso

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  20. 3rd·17:50

    Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  21. 3rd·17:11

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Tim Washe

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  22. 3rd·17:11

    Alex Killorn Misconduct

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  23. 3rd·17:11

    Taylor Hall Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Sean Walker (8), K'Andre Miller (16)

    · ·

    ANA 2·CAR 5

  24. 3rd·16:32

    K'Andre Miller Snap Shot saved by Ville Husso

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  25. 3rd·16:05

    Giveaway by Olen Zellweger

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  26. 3rd·15:57

    Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Jacob Trouba

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  27. 3rd·15:50

    Jacob Trouba hit William Carrier

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  28. 3rd·15:46

    Eric Robinson Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  29. 3rd·15:44

    Eric Robinson hit Olen Zellweger

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

  30. 3rd·15:40

    William Carrier hit Jacob Trouba

    ·

    ANA 2·CAR 4

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

13

Shots

35

0.0

PCT

0.0

14

PIM

6

23

Faceoffs W

41

20

Blocks

8

17

Giveaways

23

4

Takeaways

6

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA +190/CAR -230

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795
  • Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
    BURSTS3995

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+190

Close price

+190

Open no-vig

33.1%

Close no-vig

33.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR