
SEA
20-15-8

CAR
28-14-3
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes held off Seattle Kraken, 3–2.
SEA +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SEA · top performer

Matty Beniers
C · #10
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Jordan Staal
C · #11
0
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


SEA
20-15-8
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CAR
28-14-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
2
PIM
2
Season series
CAR leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CAR beat SEA 3-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| CAR | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Period scoring
SEA won 0 · CAR won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 317 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·19:47
Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·19:44
Giveaway by Berkly Catton
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·19:34
Eric Robinson shot blocked by Jared McCann
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·19:10
Eeli Tolvanen Slap Shot High and Wide Right
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·18:53
Vince Dunn Snap Shot Wide Left
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·18:00
Giveaway by Nikolaj Ehlers
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·17:45
Giveaway by Jordan Staal
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·16:57
Mark Jankowski Snap Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·15:30
Seth Jarvis hit Ryan Winterton
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·15:20
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Shane Wright
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·15:08
Jordan Martinook Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·15:01
Giveaway by Adam Larsson
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·14:48
Berkly Catton Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·14:42
Jordan Martinook hit Ryan Winterton
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·14:14
Jacob Melanson Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·14:00
Jacob Melanson hit Sean Walker
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·13:50
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·13:50
On-Ice Official
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·13:50
William Carrier Goal (5) Deflected, assists: Jaccob Slavin (1), Jordan Staal (9)
· ·
SEA 2·CAR 3
- 3rd·13:25
Seth Jarvis hit Cale Fleury
·
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:21
Seth Jarvis Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:10
Takeaway by Adam Larsson
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·12:12
Takeaway by Frederick Gaudreau
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·11:39
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·10:37
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·10:37
Jordan Martinook Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Jordan Staal (8), Seth Jarvis (12)
· ·
SEA 2·CAR 2
- 3rd·10:09
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
SEA 2·CAR 1
- 3rd·10:09
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·CAR 1
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
12
Shots
36
0.0
PCT
0.0
2
PIM
2
31
Faceoffs W
30
12
Blocks
13
18
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
7
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +245/CAR -305
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Jared McCannSEA · LWSHOT MPH94.496
Sebastian AhoCAR · CDIST MI44.795
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+245
Close price
+245
Open no-vig
27.8%
Close no-vig
27.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss