Live · 9
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FINAL+1CAR
SEA

SEA

20-15-8

23
CAR

CAR

28-14-3

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 10FinalSeriesCAR leads series 1-0VegasCAR -305

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Seattle Kraken, 3–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Jordan Staal

Jordan Staal

C · #11

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
3
SEA20-15-8CAR28-14-3
SEA

SEA

20-15-8

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

28-14-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

2

Season series

CAR leads series 1-0

Jan 11SEASEA2@CARCAR3today
Mar 3CARCAR1@SEASEA2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+24529%
CARCAR-30575%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat SEA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA1012
CAR1023

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · CAR won 1

1
1

1

0
0

2

1
2

3

SEA
CAR

Play-by-play · 317 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  3. 3rd·19:47

    Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  4. 3rd·19:44

    Giveaway by Berkly Catton

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  5. 3rd·19:34

    Eric Robinson shot blocked by Jared McCann

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  6. 3rd·19:10

    Eeli Tolvanen Slap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  7. 3rd·18:53

    Vince Dunn Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  8. 3rd·18:00

    Giveaway by Nikolaj Ehlers

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  9. 3rd·17:45

    Giveaway by Jordan Staal

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  10. 3rd·16:57

    Mark Jankowski Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  11. 3rd·15:30

    Seth Jarvis hit Ryan Winterton

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  12. 3rd·15:20

    Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Shane Wright

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  13. 3rd·15:08

    Jordan Martinook Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  14. 3rd·15:01

    Giveaway by Adam Larsson

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  15. 3rd·14:48

    Berkly Catton Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  16. 3rd·14:42

    Jordan Martinook hit Ryan Winterton

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  17. 3rd·14:14

    Jacob Melanson Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  18. 3rd·14:00

    Jacob Melanson hit Sean Walker

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  19. 3rd·13:50

    Ben Meyers faceoff won against Logan Stankoven

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  20. 3rd·13:50

    On-Ice Official

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  21. 3rd·13:50

    William Carrier Goal (5) Deflected, assists: Jaccob Slavin (1), Jordan Staal (9)

    · ·

    SEA 2·CAR 3

  22. 3rd·13:25

    Seth Jarvis hit Cale Fleury

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  23. 3rd·13:21

    Seth Jarvis Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  24. 3rd·13:10

    Takeaway by Adam Larsson

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  25. 3rd·12:12

    Takeaway by Frederick Gaudreau

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  26. 3rd·11:39

    Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  27. 3rd·10:37

    Ben Meyers faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  28. 3rd·10:37

    Jordan Martinook Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Jordan Staal (8), Seth Jarvis (12)

    · ·

    SEA 2·CAR 2

  29. 3rd·10:09

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    SEA 2·CAR 1

  30. 3rd·10:09

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 2·CAR 1

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

12

Shots

36

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

2

31

Faceoffs W

30

12

Blocks

13

18

Giveaways

14

7

Takeaways

7

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +245/CAR -305

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+245

Close price

+245

Open no-vig

27.8%

Close no-vig

27.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR