NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NJ

23-21-2

MIN

26-12-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Jan 12FinalSeriesNJ wins series 2-0VegasMIN -175

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into Minnesota Wild and beat them, 5–2.

NJ +1.5 cashed (MIN lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

2Points

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

Marcus Foligno

LW · #17

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NJ23-21-2

MIN26-12-9

NJ23-21-2MIN26-12-9

23-21-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MIN

26-12-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NJ wins series 2-0

Oct 22

MIN1@

NJ4

Jan 13

NJ5@

MIN2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJ+14541%

MIN-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat MIN 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NJ	1	1	3	5
MIN	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

NJ won 2 · MIN won 0

MIN

Play-by-play · 304 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 5·MIN 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 5·MIN 2
3rd·19:41
Luke Glendening faceoff won against Ben Jones
·
NJ 5·MIN 2
3rd·19:41
Marcus Foligno Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Jonas Brodin (12), Vincent Hinostroza (5)
· ·
NJ 5·MIN 2
3rd·19:40
Marcus Foligno Tip-In saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:25
Luke Glendening faceoff won against Yakov Trenin
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:25
Brenden Dillon Charging against Ben Jones
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:10
Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Ben Jones
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:06
Cody Glass faceoff won against Ben Jones
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:06
Puck in Netting
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:00
Yakov Trenin hit Jonas Siegenthaler
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·19:00
Paul Cotter Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·18:58
Giveaway by Yakov Trenin
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·18:05
Paul Cotter faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·18:05
Goalie Stopped
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·18:03
Brock Faber Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·17:57
Brock Faber shot blocked by Brenden Dillon
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·17:50
Marcus Johansson Tip-In High and Wide Left
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·17:47
Vladimir Tarasenko Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·17:40
Vladimir Tarasenko Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·17:18
Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Jonas Siegenthaler
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·16:13
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Brett Pesce
· ·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·16:06
Matt Boldy faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·16:06
Luke Glendening Hooking against Marcus Johansson
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:55
Brett Pesce shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
· ·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:52
Luke Glendening faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:52
Icing
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:11
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:11
Goalie Stopped
NJ 5·MIN 1
3rd·15:08
Brock Faber Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·MIN 1

Team stats

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ +145/MIN -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE

Brock FaberMIN · D
BURSTS2799+
Matt BoldyMIN · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
SKATE MPH23.696
Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
SKATE MPH23.296
Quinn HughesMIN · D
BURSTS1895

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-175

Close price

-175

Open no-vig

60.9%

Close no-vig

60.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

MIN vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Matt BoldyMIN
3.8± 1.9high
Joel Eriksson EkMIN
3.3± 1.6high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Matt BoldyMIN
0.5± 0.7high
Joel Eriksson EkMIN
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Quinn HughesMIN
1.3± 1.1high
Kirill KaprizovMIN
1.2± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands