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NYJ#14 · American Football Conference
New York Jets
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#30 of 32
Elo rating 1363.1 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-07 → 2026-01-04 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 24 vs MIA, 10-34, 2025-12-07. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 28 at JAX, 20-48, 2025-12-14. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 23 at NO, 6-29, 2025-12-21. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 32 vs NE, 10-42, 2025-12-28. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 27 at BUF, 8-35, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 29th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 756 graded plays; the defense ranked 31st across 849.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
756 off plays · 849 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.154
Team EPA per play
29th of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.164
Team EPA per play allowed
31st of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split756/849 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays-0.15410
29th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG -0.015 (19th)
Success39.8%10
29th of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 42.4% (20th)
Explosive6.1%10
29th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.8% (19th)
Dropbacks-0.17910
29th of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.024 (20th)
Rushes-0.12213
28th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.089 (19th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.1643
31st of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG +0.021 (17th)
Success45.9%35
21st of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 43.5% (14th)
Explosive9.3%13
28th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.0% (4th)
Dropbacks+0.2853
31st of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.059 (17th)
Rushes-0.00326
24th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.031 (23rd)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG -0.154 · 2024 REG -0.015 · -0.138
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.164 · 2024 REG +0.021 · +0.143
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 756 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Justin Fields7 TD1,259
- 2Tyrod Taylor5 TD779
- 3Brady Cook2 TD739
- 4Breece Hall1 TD4
- 5Austin McNamara0 TD3
Rushing yards
- 1Breece Hall4 TD1,065
- 2Justin Fields4 TD383
- 3Isaiah Davis1 TD236
- 4Tyrod Taylor1 TD143
- 5Braelon Allen1 TD76
Receiving yards
- 1Garrett Wilson4 TD395
- 2Mason Taylor1 TD369
- 3Breece Hall1 TD350
- 4Adonai Mitchell2 TD301
- 5John Metchie III2 TD256
Receptions
- 1Mason Taylor13 G44
- 2Garrett Wilson7 G36
- 3Breece Hall16 G36
- 4John Metchie III9 G29
- 5Isaiah Williams15 G26
Total TDs
- 1Justin Fields9 G11
- 2Tyrod Taylor6 G6
- 3Breece Hall16 G6
- 4Garrett Wilson7 G4
- 5Andrew Beck11 G2
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Justin Fields
204 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate39.6
- EPA / play-0.059
- Accuracy +1.9%
- Pressure0.3%
Built on -0.059 EPA/play and 1.9% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Soft
avg rank 25.4
YDS
29th
Total yards
PASS
32nd
Pass yards
RUSH
11th
Rush yards
PTS
31st
Points
TO
24th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Balanced
57% pass · 43% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
287vs 342 yds/GBelow avg
Passing yards
164vs 225 yds/GBelow avg
Rushing yards
123vs 117 yds/GSlight edge
Points scored
14.5vs 23.5 pts/GBelow avg
Turnovers
1.10vs 0.90 TO/GBelow avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 8 picks
The new arrivals.
RND 1 · PICK 2
David Bailey
EDGE · Texas Tech
RND 1 · PICK 16
Kenyon Sadiq
TE · Oregon
RND 1 · PICK 30
Omar Cooper
WR · Indiana
RND 2 · PICK 50
D'Angelo Ponds
CB · Indiana
RND 4 · PICK 103
Darrell Jackson Jr.
DT · Florida St.
RND 4 · PICK 110
Cade Klubnik
QB · Clemson
RND 6 · PICK 188
Anez Cooper
G · Miami
RND 7 · PICK 228
VJ Payne
SAF · Kansas St.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 8
Waived C Gus Hartwig and WR Quentin Skinner.
- Jun 3
Signed K Jason Sanders to a contract. Waived K Younghoe Koo and WR Da'Quan Felton.
- Jun 2
Reverted LB Kobe King to injured reserve after he cleared waivers.
- Jun 1
Signed WRs Da'Quan Felton, Omar Cooper and LB Chase Wilson to contracts. Waived K Lenny Krieg. Waived LB Kobe King with an injury designation.
- May 28
Signed K Younghoe Koo to a three-year contract.
- May 27
Acquired a 2028 conditional seventh-round draft pick from Seattle Seahawks for WR Irvin Charles.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
A. Mitchell
WR · #15
A. Beck
FB · #47
A. Cooper
G · #72
A. Smith
WR · #82
A. Membou
OT · #70
B. Zappe
QB · #11
B. Cook
QB · #4
B. Allen
RB · #0
B. Hall
RB · #20
C. Klubnik
QB · #10
C. Camper
WR
C. Lacy
WR · #35
C. Curtis
TE · #87
C. Trayanum
RB · #40
C. Okorafor
OT · #79
C. Ford
OT · #75
D. Sheffield
WR · #38
D. Parham
G · #64
G. Wilson
WR · #5
G. Scott Jr.
WR · #30
G. Smith
QB · #7
I. Davis
RB · #32
I. Williams
WR · #18
J. Walthall
WR · #39
J. Pritchett
WR · #81
J. Woods
TE · #86
J. Ruckert
TE · #89
J. Tippmann
C · #66
J. Myers
C · #71
K. Nwangwu
RB · #3
K. Sadiq
TE · #16
K. Levao
G · #60
L. Young
OT · #67
L. Fornadel
G · #50
M. McClain
WR · #84
M. Hayes
G · #77
M. Taylor
TE · #85
M. Mitchell
OT · #61
O. Fashanu
OT · #74
O. Cooper Jr.
WR · #83
Q. Skinner Jr.
WR
S. Scott
RB · #25
T. Patrick
WR · #17
X. Hill
G · #76
X. Newman
G · #65
Defense · 44
The stop unit
A. Cisco
S · #8
A. Thomas
CB · #1
B. McGregor
DE · #55
B. Stephens
CB · #21
C. Wilson
LB · #53
D. Ponds
CB · #23
D. Belton
S · #6
D. Jackson Jr.
DT · #78
D. Bailey
LB · #31
D. Onyemata
DT · #93
D. Clark
S · #35
D. Davis
LB · #56
E. Watts
DE · #95
H. Phillips
DT · #97
J. Heflin
DT · #96
J. Keller
LB · #47
J. Sherwood
LB · #44
J. Monroe
S · #25
J. Brownlee Jr.
CB · #2
J. Clark
CB · #33
J. Ossai
DE · #46
J. Briggs
DT · #91
K. Smith
S · #22
K. Mauigoa
LB · #51
K. Enagbare
LB · #52
K. Jonathan
DE · #57
K. King
LB · #45
M. Moore
S · #27
M. McCrary-Ball
LB · #41
M. Smith
DT · #58
M. Fitzpatrick
S · #29
M. Bamba
CB · #38
M. Walker
LB · #43
N. Wright
CB · #26
N. Voorhis
LB · #69
P
P. Ekeji
DE · #54
P. Page
DT · #98
Q. Stiggers
CB · #37
S. Womack III
CB · #39
T. Sweat
DT · #99
T. Brown
CB · #30
T. Baron
DE · #94
V. Payne
S · #34
W. McDonald IV
DE · #9
Special teams · 5
