CLE
47-28
UTAH
21-55
Recap · NBA
leveland Cavaliers went into Utah Jazz and beat them, 122–113.
UTAH +16.5 cashed (CLE won by 9). Total stayed UNDER 242.5 by 7.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CLE · top performer
Evan Mobley
C · #4
34
Pts
17
Reb
3
Ast
UTAH · top performer
Kyle Filipowski
F · #22
20
Pts
10
Reb
5
Ast
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Utah Jazz · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 34 | 15-21 | — | 4-5 | +21 | 17 | 3 | |
| 39 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | +7 | 6 | 14 | |
| 36 | 34 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 11-12 | +11 | 2 | 5 | |
| 28 | 9 | 4-14 | 0-8 | 1-1 | +13 | 4 | 3 | |
| 32 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-3 | — | +10 | 2 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | +2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | — | -12 | 7 | 0 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | -2 | 4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 2 | 3 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 122 | 47-90 | 6-32 | 22-27 | 49 | 33 | ||
| DNP: L. Nance Jr. | ||||||||
DNP: L. Nance Jr.
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 24 | 20 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | |
| 37 | 26 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 4-6 | -2 | 6 | 4 | |
| 26 | 18 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | -14 | 4 | 5 | |
| 40 | 12 | 4-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | -4 | 4 | 5 | |
| 35 | 19 | 8-15 | 3-6 | — | -9 | 2 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 19 | 7 | 3-4 | — | 1-2 | -7 | 7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | — | -3 | 4 | 2 | |
| 29 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | -6 | 3 | 5 | |
| Team | 113 | 42-88 | 15-29 | 14-20 | 40 | 32 | ||
| DNP: K. Love, S. Mykhailiuk, E. Harkless, I. Collier | ||||||||
DNP: K. Love, S. Mykhailiuk, E. Harkless, I. Collier
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
48
33
Ast
32
Season series
Series tied 1-1
UTAH123@CLE112CLE122@UTAH113todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -16.5
Between 10 and —
Total
242.5
High-scoring · +16.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE-160094%UTAH+90010%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
16.5
0.0 since open
Total
242.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 9pp · 4th Quarter · 7:15
CLEE. Mobley
CGame leader · 30 min30-point game
34 PTS · 17 REB · 3 AST
UTAHK. Filipowski
FGame leader · 24 minDouble-double
20 PTS · 10 REB · 5 AST
How it ended
CLE beat UTAH 122-113. E. Mobley paced them with 34 PTS, 17 REB, 3 AST. CLE outscored the other side 32-24 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
UTAH vs CLE
Starters vs bench
production by unitCLEstarters 84% of ptsStarters(5)
103 PTS · 31 REB · 26 AST
GS 94
Bench(5)
19 PTS · 18 REB · 7 AST
GS 20
UTAHstarters 84% of ptsStarters(5)
95 PTS · 26 REB · 24 AST
GS 70
Bench(3)
18 PTS · 14 REB · 8 AST
GS 21
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactEvan Mobley · shooting foul
Bez Mbeng · shooting foul
Kennedy Chandler · makes 28-foot three point jumper (Oscar Tshiebwe assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 31 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 122 |
| UTAH | 29 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 113 |
Period scoring
CLE won 3 · UTAH won 1
Q1
Mitchell 11
Filipowski 10
Q2
Mobley 8
Sensabaugh 6
Q3
Mitchell 13
Williams 9
Q4
Mobley 10
Sensabaugh 10
Shooting comparison
52%
47-90
FG
48%
42-88
19%
6-32
3PT
52%
15-29
81%
22-27
FT
70%
14-20
Play-by-play · 457 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CLE 122·UTAH 113
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CLE 122·UTAH 113
- Q4·19.6
Cody Williams makes 12-foot step back jumpshot
CLE 122·UTAH 113
- Q4·36.1
Keon Ellis makes 22-foot three point jumper (Donovan Mitchell assists)
·
CLE 122·UTAH 111
−0.6pp
- Q4·59.3
James Harden defensive rebound
CLE 119·UTAH 111
- Q4·1:01
Oscar Tshiebwe misses free throw 2 of 2
CLE 119·UTAH 111
−2pp
- Q4·1:01
Oscar Tshiebwe makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 119·UTAH 111
- Q4·1:01
Sam Merrill shooting foul
CLE 119·UTAH 110
+2pp
- Q4·1:04
Kennedy Chandler defensive rebound
CLE 119·UTAH 110
- Q4·1:09
Sam Merrill misses 25-foot three point jumper
CLE 119·UTAH 110
- Q4·1:30
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
CLE 119·UTAH 110
- Q4·1:32
Oscar Tshiebwe misses 11-foot floating jump shot
CLE 119·UTAH 110
−0.6pp
- Q4·1:39
Jazz offensive team rebound
CLE 119·UTAH 110
+0.5pp
- Q4·1:39
Evan Mobley blocks Cody Williams 's 5-foot driving layup
·
CLE 119·UTAH 110
−0.6pp
- Q4·1:47
Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
CLE 119·UTAH 110
+0.6pp
- Q4·1:47
Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 118·UTAH 110
- Q4·1:47
Bez Mbeng shooting foul
CLE 117·UTAH 110
−2pp
- Q4·2:09
Oscar Tshiebwe makes 4-foot floating jump shot (Bez Mbeng assists)
·
CLE 117·UTAH 110
+0.9pp
- Q4·2:11
Bez Mbeng offensive rebound
CLE 117·UTAH 108
+0.6pp
- Q4·2:12
Keon Ellis blocks Kennedy Chandler 's 2-foot two point shot
·
CLE 117·UTAH 108
−0.7pp
- Q4·2:22
Cody Williams defensive rebound
CLE 117·UTAH 108
- Q4·2:24
Evan Mobley misses alley oop layup
CLE 117·UTAH 108
- Q4·2:40
Cody Williams makes 2-foot running dunk (John Konchar assists)
·
CLE 117·UTAH 108
+0.5pp
- Q4·2:43
John Konchar defensive rebound
CLE 117·UTAH 106
- Q4·2:45
Kennedy Chandler blocks Sam Merrill 's 3-foot layup
·
CLE 117·UTAH 106
- Q4·2:55
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
CLE 117·UTAH 106
- Q4·2:58
Kennedy Chandler misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
CLE 117·UTAH 106
- Q4·3:14
Evan Mobley makes free throw 1 of 1
CLE 117·UTAH 106
- Q4·3:14
Kennedy Chandler shooting foul
CLE 116·UTAH 106
−0.9pp
- Q4·3:14
Evan Mobley makes layup (James Harden assists)
·
CLE 116·UTAH 106
−1pp
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
UTAH
Home
47-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
42-88
52
FG %
48
6-32
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
15-29
22-27
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
14-20
33
Assists
32
11
Turnovers
15
Betting line
CLE -16.5·O/U 242.5·CLE -1600/UTAH +900
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Donovan MitchellCLE · GUSG%31.998- Evan MobleyCLE · CCONT9.498
James HardenCLE · GDRIVES12.692
Sam MerrillCLE · GTS%64.491
Thomas BryantCLE · CTS%62.584
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CLE favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
UTAH vs CLE.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH21.4± 8.8high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Walker KesslerUTAH10.7± 2.2low
- Oscar TshiebweUTAH8.5± 5.5high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- James HardenCLE5.9± 2.8high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Walker KesslerUTAH1.8± 2.5low
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CLE
league avg
UTAH
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.6%
47.7%
FG%
47.0
46.7%
117.4
PPG
114.9
117.6
27.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶29.6
13.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.0