
CHI
10-33

LV
29-14
CHI · top performer

Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
13
Pts
13
Reb
3
Ast
LV · top performer

Jackie Young
G · #0
15
Pts
3
Reb
7
Ast
Biggest swing: 5pp · 2nd Quarter · 12.0
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | -18 | 1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2-4 | — | — | -3 | 4 | 1 | |
| 33 | 13 | 4-12 | — | 5-6 | -37 | 13 | 3 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 4-4 | -36 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-5 | — | -3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 28 | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | -23 | 2 | 2 | |
| 24 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | -37 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | — | +2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team | 61 | 19-58 | 4-22 | 19-20 | 27 | 12 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 23 | 13 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | +16 | 5 | 1 | |
| 25 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | +23 | 5 | 4 | |
| 29 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-5 | — | +8 | 6 | 5 | |
| 27 | 15 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | +19 | 3 | 7 | |
| 26 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | — | +27 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 8 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | — | — | — | +7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | — | +1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 30 | 15 | 5-9 | 5-7 | — | +28 | 3 | 1 | |
| 22 | 13 | 5-7 | 3-5 | — | +20 | 1 | 6 | |
| Team | 92 | 34-62 | 15-29 | 9-12 | 27 | 26 | ||
| DNP: K. Bell | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
33
FG %
55
12
Ast
26
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
LV
Home
19-58
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
34-62
33
FG %
55
4-22
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
15-29
19-20
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
9-12
7
OR
4
20
DR
23
12
Assists
26
12
Turnovers
7
Season series
LV wins series 3-0
How it ended
LV beat CHI 92-61. J. Young led with 15 PTS, 3 REB, 7 AST. LV outscored the other side 28-14 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LV vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
41 PTS · 23 REB · 8 AST
GS 23
Bench(3)
20 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
GS 15
Starters(5)
51 PTS · 20 REB · 19 AST
GS 51
Bench(5)
41 PTS · 7 REB · 7 AST
GS 38
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 14 | 21 | 11 | 15 | 61 |
| LV | 28 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 92 |
Period scoring
CHI won 1 · LV won 3
Q1
Onyenwere 6
Wilson 7
Q2
Allen 7
Gray 7
Q3
Westbeld 5
Young 10
Q4
Nurse 5
Evans 8
Shooting comparison
33%
19-58
FG
55%
34-62
18%
4-22
3PT
52%
15-29
95%
19-20
FT
75%
9-12
Play-by-play · 343 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 61·LV 92
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 61·LV 92
- Q4·21.3
Rachel Banham makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 61·LV 92
- Q4·21.3
Rachel Banham makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 60·LV 92
- Q4·21.3
Aaliyah Nye personal foul
CHI 59·LV 92
- Q4·26.4
Rachel Banham defensive rebound
CHI 59·LV 92
- Q4·29.9
Megan Gustafson misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 59·LV 92
- Q4·46.7
Rachel Banham makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 59·LV 92
- Q4·46.7
Rachel Banham makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 58·LV 92
- Q4·46.7
Aaliyah Nye shooting foul
CHI 57·LV 92
- Q4·59.9
Sky defensive team rebound
CHI 57·LV 92
- Q4·1:01
Megan Gustafson misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 57·LV 92
- Q4·1:19
Kia Nurse out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 57·LV 92
- Q4·1:30
Megan Gustafson makes layup (Jewell Loyd assists)
·
CHI 57·LV 92
- Q4·1:35
Megan Gustafson defensive rebound
CHI 57·LV 90
- Q4·1:39
Maddy Westbeld misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 57·LV 90
- Q4·1:54
Dana Evans makes 17-foot step back jumpshot
CHI 57·LV 90
- Q4·2:16
Kia Nurse makes two point shot (Maddy Westbeld assists)
·
CHI 57·LV 88
- Q4·2:20
Aaliyah Nye bad pass (Maddy Westbeld steals)
·
CHI 55·LV 88
- Q4·2:33
shot clock turnover
CHI 55·LV 88
- Q4·2:53
Rebecca Allen enters the game for Kamilla Cardoso
·
CHI 55·LV 88
- Q4·2:53
Sky Full timeout
CHI 55·LV 88
- Q4·3:01
Megan Gustafson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dana Evans assists)
·
CHI 55·LV 88
- Q4·3:07
Megan Gustafson defensive rebound
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:09
Maddy Westbeld misses 11-foot two point shot
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:18
Megan Gustafson enters the game for NaLyssa Smith
·
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:18
Sky offensive team rebound
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:18
Jewell Loyd blocks Michaela Onyenwere 's 5-foot driving layup
· ·
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:33
NaLyssa Smith makes 4-foot layup (Dana Evans assists)
·
CHI 55·LV 85
- Q4·3:47
Kiah Stokes defensive rebound
CHI 55·LV 83
Recap · WNBA
as Vegas Aces held off Chicago Sky, 92–61. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Four factors · this game
Who won the possession battle
Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.
eFG%
shooting
TOV%
ball control
OREB%
offensive glass
FT rate
free throws / FGA
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 players in cohort
NaLyssa SmithLV · FeFG%.69599+
A'ja WilsonLV · CUSG%.32399+
Kiah StokesGS · CAST/TO3.899+
Megan DiLeoPOR · CTS%.67497
Jackie YoungLV · GAST/TO3.396
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
84.1%
ensemble · LV favored
Elo Static
86.7%
P(LV win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
87.1%
P(LV win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
81.8%
P(LV win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
2.40 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
84% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LV vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
125
projections · 90 high confidence
Points
- A'ja WilsonLV26.6± 7.7high
- Jackie YoungLV17.6± 8.1high
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- A'ja WilsonLV9.8± 4.0high
- Kamilla CardosoCHI7.8± 3.0high
- Azura StevensCHI7.2± 2.9high
Assists
- Chelsea GrayLV6.7± 2.2high
- Jackie YoungLV6.3± 3.5high
- Natasha CloudCHI5.2± 1.8high
Blocks
- A'ja WilsonLV1.8± 1.3high
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.4± 1.2high
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- A'ja WilsonLV1.5± 1.3high
- Jewell LoydLV1.4± 1.0high
- Azura StevensCHI1.3± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Team pages