WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5LA

21-22

8883

PHX

27-16

WNBATue, Sep 9FinalSeriesPHX wins series 3-1

LA · top performer

Dearica Hamby

F · #5

23.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHX · top performer

Satou Sabally

F · #0

20.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowLA ↔ PHX

Biggest swing: 14pp · 4th Quarter · 1:33

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. HambyF · #5	29	25	8-15	0-1	9-10	+1	9	5
A. StevensF · #23	27	8	1-9	1-8	5-6	+15	9	3
R. JacksonF · #2	20	7	2-6	1-4	2-2	-11	1	1
K. PlumG · #10	33	17	6-15	4-8	1-3	+5	1	5
J. AllemandG · #20	29	7	3-5	1-3	—	+14	3	4
Bench
C. BrinkF · #22	15	4	2-6	0-2	—	+11	6	0
J. VanlooG · #35	11	0	0-1	0-1	—	-9	0	0
R. BurrellG · #12	29	20	7-12	2-4	4-4	-1	5	2
S. BarkerG · #13	7	0	—	—	—	0	1	1
Team		88	29-69	9-31	21-25		35	21
DNP: E. Cannon, S. Feagin, A. Pili

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. ThomasF · #25	22	10	5-9	—	—	+1	11	10
N. MackF · #4	15	0	0-1	—	—	-5	1	1
S. SaballyF · #0	25	24	9-14	4-6	2-3	-2	5	1
K. CopperG · #2	19	9	4-10	1-5	—	0	4	0
M. Akoa MakaniG · #8	15	6	2-5	0-3	2-3	-2	1	1
Bench
D. BonnerF · #14	13	0	0-2	0-1	—	-1	2	0
K. WestbeldF · #24	21	2	1-5	0-3	—	+3	6	1
K. BrownC · #21	14	7	1-2	—	5-6	-7	5	0
S. WhitcombG · #33	15	11	4-10	3-5	—	+3	1	1
K. LaksaG · #9	16	3	0-2	0-1	3-3	-2	1	1
K. WilliamsG · #23	10	7	2-8	2-6	1-2	-6	2	1
L. HeldG · #1	15	4	2-4	—	—	-7	0	3
Team		83	30-72	10-30	13-17		39	20

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

PHX

Home

29-69

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

30-72

FG %

9-31

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

10-30

21-25

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

13-17

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

PHX wins series 3-1

May 22

LA86@

PHX89

Jun 1

PHX85@

LA80

Aug 27

PHX92@

LA84

Sep 10

LA88@

PHX83today

How it ended

LA beat PHX 88-83. D. Hamby paced them with 25 PTS, 9 REB, 5 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHX vs LA

Starters vs bench

production by unit

LAstarters 73% of pts

Starters(5)

64 PTS · 23 REB · 18 AST

GS 56

Bench(4)

24 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST

GS 18

PHXstarters 59% of pts

Starters(5)

49 PTS · 22 REB · 13 AST

GS 41

Bench(7)

34 PTS · 17 REB · 7 AST

GS 22

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHX4th Quarter · 9:44 · 63-62

+14pp→ 62% WP

Rae Burrell · shooting foul

LA4th Quarter · 5:34 · 74-73

+14pp→ 50% WP

Kelsey Plum · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Rae Burrell assists)

PHX4th Quarter · 1:33 · 83-81

+14pp→ 28% WP

Kiana Williams · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Lexi Held assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
LA	19	26	18	25	88
PHX	25	19	18	21	83

Period scoring

LA won 2 · PHX won 1

Plum 8

Sabally 5

Burrell 12

Sabally 12

Stevens 5

Sabally 7

Hamby 16

Brown 7

PHX

Shooting comparison

PHX

42%

29-69

42%

30-72

29%

9-31

3PT

33%

10-30

84%

21-25

76%

13-17

Play-by-play · 388 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
LA 88·PHX 83
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LA 88·PHX 83
Q4·1.2
Azura Stevens makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 88·PHX 83
Q4·1.2
Sarah Ashlee Barker enters the game for Rae Burrell
·
LA 87·PHX 83
Q4·1.2
Azura Stevens makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 87·PHX 83
Q4·1.2
Kitija Laksa personal take foul
LA 86·PHX 83
−3pp
Q4·7.0
Kalani Brown makes two point shot
LA 86·PHX 83
+2pp
Q4·7.0
Kalani Brown offensive rebound
LA 86·PHX 81
+0.6pp
Q4·9.7
Kitija Laksa misses 20-foot pullup jump shot
LA 86·PHX 81
−4pp
Q4·20.9
Mercury timeout
LA 86·PHX 81
Q4·20.9
shot clock turnover
LA 86·PHX 81
Q4·43.6
Rae Burrell defensive rebound
LA 86·PHX 81
−2pp
Q4·47.4
Kathryn Westbeld misses 25-foot three point jumper
LA 86·PHX 81
−4pp
Q4·53.6
Kathryn Westbeld offensive rebound
LA 86·PHX 81
+3pp
Q4·55.8
Kiana Williams misses 26-foot three point jumper
LA 86·PHX 81
−4pp
Q4·1:01
Mercury Full timeout
LA 86·PHX 81
Q4·1:01
Dearica Hamby makes free throw 1 of 1
LA 86·PHX 81
+4pp
Q4·1:01
Lexi Held shooting foulBIG MOMENT
LA 85·PHX 81
−11pp
Q4·1:01
Dearica Hamby makes two point shotBIG MOMENT
LA 85·PHX 81
−8pp
Q4·1:01
Dearica Hamby offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
−9pp
Q4·1:01
Dearica Hamby misses two point shotBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
+9pp
Q4·1:01
Dearica Hamby offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
−9pp
Q4·1:03
Kelsey Plum misses two point shotBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
+9pp
Q4·1:11
Sparks offensive team reboundBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
−9pp
Q4·1:14
Azura Stevens misses 24-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
LA 83·PHX 81
+8pp
Q4·1:33
Kiana Williams makes 23-foot three point jumper (Lexi Held assists)BIG MOMENT
·
LA 83·PHX 81
+14pp
Q4·1:48
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 83·PHX 78
+0.6pp
Q4·1:48
Sparks offensive team rebound
LA 82·PHX 78
+3pp
Q4·1:48
Kelsey Plum misses free throw 1 of 2
LA 82·PHX 78
+3pp
Q4·1:48
Kathryn Westbeld shooting foulBIG MOMENT
LA 82·PHX 78
−6pp

Recap · WNBA

os Angeles Sparks went into Phoenix Mercury and beat them, 88–83.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

LA29/69 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/26

65%

In the paint2/7

29%

Mid-range1/5

20%

Top-of-arc 37/23

30%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 31/5

20%

PHX30/72 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim11/21

52%

In the paint4/12

33%

Mid-range5/9

56%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 33/4

75%

Right corner 30/2

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

PHX

eFG%

shooting

48.6%

TOV%

ball control

10.1%

13.1%

OREB%

offensive glass

24.3%

29.7%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

30.4%

18.1%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Natasha MackPHX · F
TS%.70899+
Kelsey PlumLA · G
TS%.68699
Kahleah CopperPHX · G
USG%.30599
Alyssa ThomasPHX · F
AST/TO2.389
Dearica HambyLA · F
ORB%.10687

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

LA29/69 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/26

65%

In the paint2/7

29%

Mid-range1/5

20%

Top-of-arc 37/23

30%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 31/5

20%

PHX30/72 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim11/21

52%

In the paint4/12

33%

Mid-range5/9

56%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 33/4

75%

Right corner 30/2

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

64.9%

ensemble · PHX favored

Elo Static
70.9%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
67.4%
P(PHX win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
67.4%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

1.65 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

89% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHX vs LA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 80 high confidence

Points

Kelsey PlumLA
23.3± 15.0low
Kahleah CopperPHX
20.2± 8.1high
Nneka OgwumikeLA
17.9± 4.8high

Rebounds

Nneka OgwumikeLA
9.3± 3.1high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
7.5± 2.7high
DeWanna BonnerPHX
7.0± 2.1high

Assists

Alyssa ThomasPHX
8.3± 3.9high
Kelsey PlumLA
6.6± 3.5low
Erica WheelerLA
5.9± 2.2high

Blocks

Cameron BrinkLA
1.4± 0.8high
Natasha MackPHX
1.1± 0.9high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
0.7± 0.4high

Steals

Dearica HambyLA
1.8± 1.2high
Ariel AtkinsLA
1.5± 1.1high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
1.4± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Los Angeles SparksPhoenix Mercury

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop