WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+11IND

MIN

33-10

7283

IND

24-20

WNBATue, Sep 9FinalSeriesMIN wins series 2-1

MIN · top performer

Jessica Shepard

F · #15

17.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

IND · top performer

Kelsey Mitchell

G · #0

13.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowMIN ↔ IND

Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 7:50

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. ShepardF · #15	30	16	8-10	—	—	-26	7	2
B. CarletonF · #6	25	4	2-4	0-1	—	-25	3	2
A. SmithF · #8	20	11	3-9	1-4	4-4	-4	3	4
K. McBrideG · #21	24	4	2-8	0-5	—	-13	0	2
C. WilliamsG · #10	25	8	4-13	0-2	—	-14	5	5
Bench
M. KliundikovaF · #77	16	12	6-11	0-2	—	+13	7	0
C. TaylorF · #20	11	3	1-4	1-2	0-2	+6	4	1
A. KosuF · #7	12	6	3-5	0-1	0-2	+9	3	1
N. HiedemanG · #2	25	6	3-9	0-3	0-1	-3	2	4
J. SherrodG · #00	12	2	1-1	—	—	+2	1	0
Team		72	33-74	2-20	4-9		35	21
DNP: N. Collier, D. Carrington

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. HowardF · #6	20	10	3-6	0-2	4-4	+5	7	2
A. BostonC · #7	29	12	5-10	—	2-2	+16	8	3
O. SimsG · #1	33	15	6-14	0-1	3-4	+4	1	1
K. MitchellG · #0	26	18	7-10	4-5	—	+15	1	3
L. HullG · #10	26	4	2-8	0-4	—	+9	5	4
Bench
B. TurnerF · #11	12	3	1-2	—	1-2	+5	5	3
M. TimpsonF · #21	2	0	—	—	—	-4	0	0
D. DantasC · #12	17	10	3-6	2-4	2-2	0	6	0
S. PeddyG · #5	15	3	1-3	1-1	—	-5	0	3
A. PowersG · #23	20	8	3-5	2-2	—	+10	1	0
Team		83	31-64	9-19	12-14		34	19
DNP: C. Bibby, S. Colson, S. Cunningham, A. McDonald, C. Clark, B. Hall

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

IND

Home

33-74

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

31-64

FG %

2-20

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

9-19

4-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-14

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

MIN wins series 2-1

Aug 22

MIN95@

IND90

Aug 24

IND84@

MIN97

Sep 9

MIN72@

IND83today

How it ended

IND beat MIN 83-72. K. Mitchell led with 18 PTS, 1 REB, 3 AST. IND outscored the other side 28-14 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

IND vs MIN

Starters vs bench

production by unit

MINstarters 60% of pts

Starters(5)

43 PTS · 18 REB · 15 AST

GS 38

Bench(5)

29 PTS · 17 REB · 6 AST

GS 19

INDstarters 71% of pts

Starters(5)

59 PTS · 22 REB · 13 AST

GS 45

Bench(5)

24 PTS · 12 REB · 6 AST

GS 20

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

IND1st Quarter · 3:36 · 10-20

+7pp→ 70% WP

Aerial Powers · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Natasha Howard assists)

MIN3rd Quarter · 7:50 · 45-49

+8pp→ 36% WP

Alanna Smith · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Courtney Williams assists)

IND3rd Quarter · 6:46 · 45-54

+7pp→ 79% WP

Kelsey Mitchell · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brianna Turner assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
MIN	14	22	17	19	72
IND	28	21	21	13	83

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · IND won 2

Kliundikova 4

Powers 8

Shepard 8

Sims 6

Smith 7

Mitchell 9

Kosu 6

Dantas 5

MIN

IND

Shooting comparison

MIN

IND

45%

33-74

48%

31-64

10%

2-20

3PT

47%

9-19

44%

4-9

86%

12-14

Play-by-play · 356 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
MIN 72·IND 83
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
MIN 72·IND 83
Q4·0.5
shot clock turnover
MIN 72·IND 83
Q4·24.5
Maria Kliundikova makes two point shot
MIN 72·IND 83
Q4·24.5
Maria Kliundikova offensive rebound
MIN 70·IND 83
Q4·26.4
Makayla Timpson blocks Maria Kliundikova 's 4-foot driving layup
·
MIN 70·IND 83
Q4·34.9
Natisha Hiedeman offensive rebound
MIN 70·IND 83
Q4·38.5
Camryn Taylor misses 25-foot three point jumper
MIN 70·IND 83
Q4·48.5
Odyssey Sims makes 11-foot two point shot
MIN 70·IND 83
Q4·1:11
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu makes two point shot
MIN 70·IND 81
Q4·1:11
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu offensive rebound
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·1:13
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu misses layup
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·1:27
Maria Kliundikova defensive rebound
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·1:30
Shey Peddy misses driving floating jump shot
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·1:47
Fever Full timeout
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·1:47
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu makes 3-foot layup (Natisha Hiedeman assists)
·
MIN 68·IND 81
Q4·2:00
Makayla Timpson enters the game for Brianna Turner
·
MIN 66·IND 81
Q4·2:00
Lynx defensive team rebound
MIN 66·IND 81
Q4·2:02
Damiris Dantas misses 25-foot three point jumper
MIN 66·IND 81
Q4·2:12
Jaylyn Sherrod makes driving layup (Camryn Taylor assists)
·
MIN 66·IND 81
Q4·2:34
Shey Peddy out of bounds bad pass turnover
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·2:43
Maria Kliundikova turnover
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·2:43
Maria Kliundikova offensive foul
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·2:45
Official timeout
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·2:57
Camryn Taylor defensive rebound
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·2:59
Damiris Dantas misses 7-foot two point shot
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·3:07
Camryn Taylor personal foul
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·3:26
Maria Kliundikova loose ball foul
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·3:26
Fever defensive team rebound
MIN 64·IND 81
Q4·3:28
Maria Kliundikova misses running pullup jump shot
MIN 64·IND 81

Recap · WNBA

ndiana Fever held off Minnesota Lynx, 83–72.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

MIN33/74 · 45%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim20/29

69%

In the paint9/15

60%

Mid-range2/10

20%

Top-of-arc 32/13

15%

Left corner 30/1

Right corner 30/6

IND31/64 · 48%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/17

59%

In the paint7/21

33%

Mid-range5/7

71%

Top-of-arc 37/13

54%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 31/3

33%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

MIN

IND

eFG%

shooting

45.9%

55.5%

TOV%

ball control

12.4%

15.6%

OREB%

offensive glass

33.3%

26.7%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

5.4%

18.8%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Jessica ShepardDAL · F
DRB%.32899
Natasha HowardMIN · F
ORB%.15099
Aliyah BostonIND · C
DRB%.28196
Kayla McBrideMIN · G
AST/TO2.391
Kelsey MitchellIND · G
USG%.26287

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

MIN33/74 · 45%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim20/29

69%

In the paint9/15

60%

Mid-range2/10

20%

Top-of-arc 32/13

15%

Left corner 30/1

Right corner 30/6

IND31/64 · 48%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/17

59%

In the paint7/21

33%

Mid-range5/7

71%

Top-of-arc 37/13

54%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 31/3

33%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

37.7%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
45.8%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
48.1%
P(IND win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
49.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

1.34 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

91% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

IND vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 90 high confidence

Points

Kelsey MitchellIND
25.6± 3.6high
Kayla McBrideMIN
22.2± 6.2high
Caitlin ClarkIND
21.1± 10.9high

Rebounds

Natasha HowardMIN
7.4± 2.9high
Aliyah BostonIND
7.2± 3.3high
Monique BillingsIND
5.9± 3.0high

Assists

Caitlin ClarkIND
7.3± 2.4high
Olivia MilesMIN
6.5± 1.9high
Courtney WilliamsMIN
4.6± 2.1high

Blocks

Nia CoffeyMIN
1.2± 1.1high
Dorka JuhaszMIN
1.0± 0.3low
Natasha HowardMIN
1.0± 1.2high

Steals

Kayla McBrideMIN
2.0± 1.5high
Natasha HowardMIN
1.6± 1.3high
Kelsey MitchellIND
1.5± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Minnesota LynxIndiana Fever

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop