WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1SEA

23-20

7374

SEA

23-21

WNBATue, Sep 9FinalSeriestied 2-2

GS · top performer

Janelle Salaun

F · #13

18.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

SEA · top performer

Nneka Ogwumike

F · #3

12.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowGS ↔ SEA

Biggest swing: 23pp · 4th Quarter · 43.2

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. SalaunF · #13	35	22	8-13	5-7	1-2	+5	6	0
T. FagbenleC · #14	38	14	6-13	1-4	1-2	-1	6	1
I. RupertC · #12	17	6	2-6	2-4	—	+9	3	2
K. CharlesG · #6	28	12	3-7	1-2	5-5	0	9	2
V. BurtonG · #22	34	14	5-14	0-5	4-5	+4	2	11
Bench
M. BillingsF · #25	25	5	2-4	1-2	—	-7	5	1
C. ZandalasiniF · #24	5	0	0-2	0-2	—	-3	1	0
K. MartinG · #20	13	0	0-4	0-2	—	-7	3	0
C. LeiteG · #0	6	0	0-2	0-1	—	-5	0	1
Team		73	26-65	10-29	11-14		35	18
DNP: K. Thornton, L. Amihere, T. Hayes, K. Chen

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. OgwumikeF · #3	32	16	7-13	0-4	2-4	+1	8	0
G. WilliamsF · #5	23	2	1-5	—	—	+10	1	6
E. MagbegorF · #13	26	6	2-5	2-2	—	+3	9	0
S. DigginsG · #4	28	10	3-12	0-2	4-5	-9	4	6
B. SykesG · #20	37	14	3-9	0-2	8-8	-1	3	3
Bench
D. MalongaC · #14	22	9	4-7	—	1-3	-2	7	1
E. WheelerG · #17	32	17	6-13	5-7	—	+3	5	2
Team		74	26-64	7-17	15-20		37	18
DNP: K. Samuelson, M. Holmes, T. Mitchell, L. Brown, Z. Cooke

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

26-65

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

26-64

FG %

10-29

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-17

11-14

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-20

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Jun 15

SEA70@

GS76

Jun 30

SEA57@

GS84

Jul 16

GS58@

SEA67

Sep 10

GS73@

SEA74today

How it ended

SEA beat GS 74-73. N. Ogwumike led with 16 PTS, 8 REB, 0 AST. SEA outscored the other side 21-12 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

SEA vs GS

Starters vs bench

production by unit

GSstarters 93% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 26 REB · 16 AST

GS 57

Bench(4)

5 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST

GS 3

SEAstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

48 PTS · 25 REB · 15 AST

GS 37

Bench(2)

26 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST

GS 19

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

SEA4th Quarter · 2:11 · 68-70

+22pp→ 68% WP

Erica Wheeler · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Skylar Diggins assists)

GS4th Quarter · 1:18 · 70-70

+23pp→ 47% WP

Skylar Diggins · misses driving layup

SEA4th Quarter · 43.2 · 70-71

+23pp→ 64% WP

Kate Martin · misses 17-foot pullup jump shot

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
GS	18	18	25	12	73
SEA	12	21	20	21	74

Period scoring

GS won 2 · SEA won 2

Charles 6

Ogwumike 4

Charles 6

Diggins 4

Salaun 12

Ogwumike 6

Salaun 5

Wheeler 11

SEA

Shooting comparison

SEA

40%

26-65

41%

26-64

34%

10-29

3PT

41%

7-17

79%

11-14

75%

15-20

Play-by-play · 360 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th QuarterBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
+6pp
Q4·0.0
(00:00) [Golden State Valkyries] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (CALL OVERTURNED)
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·2.2
Erica Wheeler defensive reboundBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
+16pp
Q4·7.0
Janelle Salaun misses 22-foot three point step back jumpshotBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
+22pp
Q4·10.6
Kate Martin offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
−12pp
Q4·14.0
Janelle Salaun misses driving layupBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
+13pp
Q4·18.5
Gabby Williams enters the game for Skylar Diggins
·
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·18.5
Kate Martin enters the game for Monique Billings
·
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·18.5
Iliana Rupert enters the game for Kaila Charles
·
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·18.5
Golden State Valkyries timeout
GS 73·SEA 74
Q4·19.2
Erica Wheeler makes 16-foot pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 74
+9pp
Q4·28.1
Nneka Ogwumike offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 72
+10pp
Q4·31.1
Nneka Ogwumike misses 7-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
GS 73·SEA 72
−11pp
Q4·36.6
Kaila Charles enters the game for Iliana Rupert
·
GS 73·SEA 72
Q4·36.6
Storm Full timeout
GS 73·SEA 72
Q4·37.4
Iliana Rupert makes 26-foot three point jumper (Veronica Burton assists)BIG MOMENT
·
GS 73·SEA 72
−19pp
Q4·41.4
Iliana Rupert enters the game for Kate Martin
·
GS 70·SEA 72
Q4·41.4
Golden State Valkyries Full timeout
GS 70·SEA 72
Q4·41.4
Nneka Ogwumike makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 70·SEA 72
−2pp
Q4·41.4
Storm offensive team reboundBIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
−8pp
Q4·41.4
Nneka Ogwumike misses free throw 1 of 2BIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
−7pp
Q4·41.4
Temi Fagbenle loose ball foulBIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
+15pp
Q4·41.4
Storm defensive team rebound
GS 70·SEA 71
+3pp
Q4·43.2
Kate Martin misses 17-foot pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
+23pp
Q4·53.8
Skylar Diggins personal foulBIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
−23pp
Q4·1:16
Monique Billings defensive rebound
GS 70·SEA 71
Q4·1:17
Skylar Diggins misses free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
−16pp
Q4·1:17
Kate Martin enters the game for Kaila Charles
·
GS 70·SEA 71
Q4·1:17
Skylar Diggins makes free throw 1 of 2BIG MOMENT
GS 70·SEA 71
+7pp

Recap · WNBA

eattle Storm held off Golden State Valkyries, 74–73. It came down to the final possession.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS26/65 · 40%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/15

67%

In the paint5/17

29%

Mid-range1/4

25%

Top-of-arc 36/18

33%

Left corner 34/6

67%

Right corner 30/5

SEA26/64 · 41%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim9/14

64%

In the paint6/19

32%

Mid-range4/14

29%

Top-of-arc 34/10

40%

Left corner 32/3

67%

Right corner 31/3

33%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

SEA

eFG%

shooting

47.7%

46.1%

TOV%

ball control

11.2%

15.2%

OREB%

offensive glass

29.4%

34.2%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

16.9%

23.4%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 players in cohort

Veronica BurtonGS · G
AST/TO3.797
Brittney SykesTOR · G
USG%.29195
Skylar DigginsCHI · G
AST/TO2.792
Nneka OgwumikeLA · F
DRB%.25989
Gabby WilliamsGS · F
USG%.27488

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS26/65 · 40%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/15

67%

In the paint5/17

29%

Mid-range1/4

25%

Top-of-arc 36/18

33%

Left corner 34/6

67%

Right corner 30/5

SEA26/64 · 41%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim9/14

64%

In the paint6/19

32%

Mid-range4/14

29%

Top-of-arc 34/10

40%

Left corner 32/3

67%

Right corner 31/3

33%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.0%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
56.2%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
56.2%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
57.5%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.61 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs GS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 100 high confidence

Points

Natisha HiedemanSEA
16.6± 8.6high
Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
15.0± 7.7high
Dominique MalongaSEA
14.9± 7.9high

Rebounds

Dominique MalongaSEA
9.5± 3.3high
Awa FamSEA
6.6± 2.6high
Kiah StokesGS
5.1± 1.9high

Assists

Veronica BurtonGS
5.7± 2.7high
Natisha HiedemanSEA
4.4± 2.5high
Jade MelbourneSEA
3.8± 1.0high

Blocks

Kiah StokesGS
2.1± 1.9high
Awa FamSEA
1.3± 0.7high
Dominique MalongaSEA
1.2± 1.2high

Steals

Gabby WilliamsGS
1.7± 1.1high
Veronica BurtonGS
1.7± 1.1high
Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
1.7± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Golden State ValkyriesSeattle Storm

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop