
WSH
16-28

NY
26-17
WSH · top performer

Sonia Citron
G · #22
13
Pts
4
Reb
4
Ast
NY · top performer

Breanna Stewart
F · #30
14
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 2:53
WNBA · Washington Mystics at New York Liberty · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 | — | -12 | 2 | 1 | |
| 30 | 16 | 6-16 | — | 4-7 | -8 | 6 | 2 | |
| 28 | 13 | 6-12 | — | 1-4 | -9 | 5 | 4 | |
| 27 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-3 | — | -9 | 3 | 3 | |
| 35 | 13 | 5-12 | 3-6 | — | -17 | 4 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | — | — | — | +4 | 3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | — | — | 2-2 | +6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | — | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | — | +5 | 0 | 3 | |
| Team | 66 | 27-62 | 5-16 | 7-13 | 29 | 24 | ||
| DNP: J. Sheldon, G. Amoore | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 14 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | +6 | 8 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 | — | +4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 29 | 12 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | +7 | 11 | 3 | |
| 30 | 11 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +16 | 1 | 5 | |
| 27 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | +8 | 5 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -8 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 19 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | +17 | 3 | 0 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | — | +6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | — | +7 | 6 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 75 | 27-64 | 6-21 | 15-16 | 36 | 21 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
44
FG %
42
24
Ast
21
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
NY
Home
27-62
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
27-64
44
FG %
42
5-16
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
6-21
7-13
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-16
2
OR
5
27
DR
31
24
Assists
21
8
Turnovers
11
Season series
NY wins series 4-0
How it ended
NY beat WSH 75-66. B. Stewart led with 14 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 22-14 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
52 PTS · 20 REB · 14 AST
GS 34
Bench(5)
14 PTS · 9 REB · 10 AST
GS 17
Starters(5)
46 PTS · 27 REB · 20 AST
GS 39
Bench(7)
29 PTS · 9 REB · 1 AST
GS 18
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 12 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 66 |
| NY | 19 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 75 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · NY won 2
Q1
Iriafen 4
Meesseman 16
Q2
Iriafen 5
Cloud 6
Q3
Citron 8
Meesseman 9
Q4
Iriafen 6
Jones 4
Shooting comparison
44%
27-62
FG
42%
27-64
31%
5-16
3PT
29%
6-21
54%
7-13
FT
94%
15-16
Play-by-play · 362 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 66·NY 75
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 66·NY 75
- Q4·2.2
8 second turnover
WSH 66·NY 75
- Q4·11.9
Lucy Olsen makes 2-foot layup (Emily Engstler assists)
·
WSH 66·NY 75
- Q4·19.7
Isabelle Harrison makes 10-foot pullup jump shot
WSH 64·NY 75
- Q4·43.9
Madison Scott makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 64·NY 73
- Q4·43.9
Rebekah Gardner enters the game for Kennedy Burke
·
WSH 63·NY 73
- Q4·43.9
Madison Scott makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 63·NY 73
- Q4·43.9
Stephanie Talbot shooting foul
WSH 62·NY 73
- Q4·46.9
Kennedy Burke lost ball turnover (Lucy Olsen steals)
·
WSH 62·NY 73
- Q4·57.1
Jade Melbourne makes 15-foot driving floating jump shot (Emily Engstler assists)
·
WSH 62·NY 73
- Q4·1:13
Lucy Olsen defensive rebound
WSH 60·NY 73
- Q4·1:13
Isabelle Harrison misses 27-foot three point jumper
WSH 60·NY 73
- Q4·1:38
Kiki Iriafen makes driving layup (Lucy Olsen assists)
·
WSH 60·NY 73
- Q4·1:55
Emily Engstler defensive rebound
WSH 58·NY 73
- Q4·2:00
Emily Engstler blocks Nyara Sabally 's 5-foot layup
·
WSH 58·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Emily Engstler enters the game for Sonia Citron
·
WSH 58·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Madison Scott enters the game for Shakira Austin
·
WSH 58·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Kiki Iriafen makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 58·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Nyara Sabally enters the game for Emma Meesseman
·
WSH 57·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Isabelle Harrison enters the game for Breanna Stewart
·
WSH 57·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Marine Johannes enters the game for Leonie Fiebich
·
WSH 57·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Kiki Iriafen makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 57·NY 73
- Q4·2:13
Emma Meesseman shooting foul
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:30
Lucy Olsen enters the game for Alysha Clark
·
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:30
Jade Melbourne enters the game for Stefanie Dolson
·
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:30
Kiki Iriafen enters the game for Sug Sutton
·
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:30
Stephanie Talbot enters the game for Sabrina Ionescu
·
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:30
Mystics Full timeout
WSH 56·NY 73
- Q4·2:31
Emma Meesseman makes 17-foot jumper (Sabrina Ionescu assists)
·
WSH 56·NY 73
Recap · WNBA
ew York Liberty held off Washington Mystics, 75–66.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Four factors · this game
Who won the possession battle
Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.
eFG%
shooting
TOV%
ball control
OREB%
offensive glass
FT rate
free throws / FGA
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Kiki IriafenWSH · FDRB%.30197
Shakira AustinWSH · CDRB%.28195
Jonquel JonesNY · CDRB%.27493
Breanna StewartNY · FUSG%.28091
Nyara SaballyTOR · FORB%.10991
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
77.1%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
76.2%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
80.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
81.2%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
2.13 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
86% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
130
projections · 80 high confidence
Points
- Breanna StewartNY22.8± 8.7high
- Sabrina IonescuNY18.8± 6.4high
- Shakira AustinWSH16.8± 5.6high
Rebounds
- Shakira AustinWSH9.8± 3.7high
- Jonquel JonesNY9.6± 3.2high
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.0± 3.6high
Assists
- Sabrina IonescuNY4.7± 1.6high
- Sonia CitronWSH3.8± 2.0high
- Breanna StewartNY3.6± 2.7high
Blocks
- Breanna StewartNY1.6± 1.1high
- Shakira AustinWSH1.6± 1.3high
- Jonquel JonesNY1.0± 0.7high
Steals
- Breanna StewartNY1.3± 1.4high
- Leonie FiebichNY1.2± 1.1medium
- Pauline AstierNY1.2± 1.2high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Team pages
Elsewhere in the WNBA