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FINAL+9NY
WSH

WSH

16-28

6675
NY

NY

26-17

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBATue, Sep 9FinalSeriesNY wins series 4-0

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty held off Washington Mystics, 75–66.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

WSH
Sonia Citron

Sonia Citron

G · #22

12.8Game score

13

Pts

4

Reb

4

Ast

NY · top performer

NY
Breanna Stewart

Breanna Stewart

F · #30

15.2Game score

14

Pts

8

Reb

3

Ast

WNBA · Washington Mystics at New York Liberty · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
66
75
WSH16-28NY26-17
WSH

WSH

16-28

66
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
A. ClarkA. Clark★F · #32
22521010-12
K. IriafenK. Iriafen★F · #44
301662001-8
S. AustinS. Austin★C · #0
281354001-9
S. SuttonS. Sutton★G · #1
27533003-9
S. CitronS. Citron★G · #22
351344300-17
S. DolsonS. DolsonC · #31
17042011-5
L. OlsenL. OlsenG · #33
146221000
J. MelbourneJ. MelbourneG · #5
20603012+5
Team662924448
DNP: J. Sheldon, G. Amoore
NY

NY

26-17

75
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
B. StewartB. Stewart★F · #30
271483210+6
L. FiebichL. Fiebich★F · #13
23320000+4
J. JonesJ. Jones★C · #35
2912113102+7
N. CloudN. Cloud★G · #9
301115003+16
S. IonescuS. Ionescu★G · #20
27659102+8
E. MeessemanE. MeessemanC · #33
201930101+17
R. GardnerR. GardnerG · #7
15300000+6
K. BurkeK. BurkeG · #22
21561003+7
Team7536215111

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

44

FG %

42

24

Ast

21

Season series

NY wins series 4-0

May 30NYNY85@WSHWSH63
Jun 5NYNY86@WSHWSH78
Aug 28WSHWSH63@NYNY89
Sep 9WSHWSH66@NYNY75today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowWSH ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 2:53

WSHWSH
S. Citron

S. Citron

G

Game leader · 35 min

13 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST

NYNY
B. Stewart

B. Stewart

F

Game leader · 27 min

14 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST

How it ended

NY beat WSH 75-66. B. Stewart led with 14 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 22-14 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs WSH

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
WSHWSHstarters 79% of pts

Starters(5)

52 PTS · 20 REB · 14 AST

GS 34

Bench(5)

14 PTS · 9 REB · 10 AST

GS 17

NYNYstarters 61% of pts

Starters(5)

46 PTS · 27 REB · 20 AST

GS 39

Bench(7)

29 PTS · 9 REB · 1 AST

GS 18

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
WSH1214241666
NY1922201475

Period scoring

WSH won 2 · NY won 2

12
19

Q1

Iriafen 4

Meesseman 16

14
22

Q2

Iriafen 5

Cloud 6

24
20

Q3

Citron 8

Meesseman 9

16
14

Q4

Iriafen 6

Jones 4

WSH
NY

Shooting comparison

WSH
NY

44%

27-62

FG

42%

27-64

31%

5-16

3PT

29%

6-21

54%

7-13

FT

94%

15-16

Play-by-play · 362 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    WSH 66·NY 75

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    WSH 66·NY 75

  3. Q4·2.2

    8 second turnover

    WSH 66·NY 75

  4. Q4·11.9

    Lucy Olsen makes 2-foot layup (Emily Engstler assists)

    ·

    WSH 66·NY 75

  5. Q4·19.7

    Isabelle Harrison makes 10-foot pullup jump shot

    WSH 64·NY 75

  6. Q4·43.9

    Madison Scott makes free throw 2 of 2

    WSH 64·NY 73

  7. Q4·43.9

    Rebekah Gardner enters the game for Kennedy Burke

    ·

    WSH 63·NY 73

  8. Q4·43.9

    Madison Scott makes free throw 1 of 2

    WSH 63·NY 73

  9. Q4·43.9

    Stephanie Talbot shooting foul

    WSH 62·NY 73

  10. Q4·46.9

    Kennedy Burke lost ball turnover (Lucy Olsen steals)

    ·

    WSH 62·NY 73

  11. Q4·57.1

    Jade Melbourne makes 15-foot driving floating jump shot (Emily Engstler assists)

    ·

    WSH 62·NY 73

  12. Q4·1:13

    Lucy Olsen defensive rebound

    WSH 60·NY 73

  13. Q4·1:13

    Isabelle Harrison misses 27-foot three point jumper

    WSH 60·NY 73

  14. Q4·1:38

    Kiki Iriafen makes driving layup (Lucy Olsen assists)

    ·

    WSH 60·NY 73

  15. Q4·1:55

    Emily Engstler defensive rebound

    WSH 58·NY 73

  16. Q4·2:00

    Emily Engstler blocks Nyara Sabally 's 5-foot layup

    ·

    WSH 58·NY 73

  17. Q4·2:13

    Emily Engstler enters the game for Sonia Citron

    ·

    WSH 58·NY 73

  18. Q4·2:13

    Madison Scott enters the game for Shakira Austin

    ·

    WSH 58·NY 73

  19. Q4·2:13

    Kiki Iriafen makes free throw 2 of 2

    WSH 58·NY 73

  20. Q4·2:13

    Nyara Sabally enters the game for Emma Meesseman

    ·

    WSH 57·NY 73

  21. Q4·2:13

    Isabelle Harrison enters the game for Breanna Stewart

    ·

    WSH 57·NY 73

  22. Q4·2:13

    Marine Johannes enters the game for Leonie Fiebich

    ·

    WSH 57·NY 73

  23. Q4·2:13

    Kiki Iriafen makes free throw 1 of 2

    WSH 57·NY 73

  24. Q4·2:13

    Emma Meesseman shooting foul

    WSH 56·NY 73

  25. Q4·2:30

    Lucy Olsen enters the game for Alysha Clark

    ·

    WSH 56·NY 73

  26. Q4·2:30

    Jade Melbourne enters the game for Stefanie Dolson

    ·

    WSH 56·NY 73

  27. Q4·2:30

    Kiki Iriafen enters the game for Sug Sutton

    ·

    WSH 56·NY 73

  28. Q4·2:30

    Stephanie Talbot enters the game for Sabrina Ionescu

    ·

    WSH 56·NY 73

  29. Q4·2:30

    Mystics Full timeout

    WSH 56·NY 73

  30. Q4·2:31

    Emma Meesseman makes 17-foot jumper (Sabrina Ionescu assists)

    ·

    WSH 56·NY 73

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

NY

Home

27-62

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

27-64

44

FG %

42

5-16

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-21

7-13

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-16

24

Assists

21

8

Turnovers

11

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 14 players in cohort
  • Jonquel JonesNY · C
    ORB%.08986
  • Breanna StewartNY · F
    USG%.27771

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · WSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

95

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Breanna StewartNY
    17.3± 11.0low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    17.1± 6.1low
  • Sonia CitronWSH
    15.8± 11.7low

Rebounds

  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    9.6± 5.6low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    8.7± 4.7low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    8.2± 2.4low

Assists

  • Marine JohannesNY
    4.2± 4.0low
  • Pauline AstierNY
    3.6± 2.5low
  • Georgia AmooreWSH
    3.6± 2.4low

Blocks

  • Jonquel JonesNY
    1.2± 1.9low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    1.1± 1.6low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.0± 1.7low

Steals

  • Marine JohannesNY
    1.7± 2.1low
  • Rori HarmonWSH
    1.4± 1.7low
  • Angela DugalicWSH
    1.2± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

WSH

WSH

league avg

NY

NY

45.7%

FG%

44.7

45.6%

28.0%

3PT %

32.6

▶

35.3%

83.4

PPG

85.4

▶

86.6

18.7

Assists / G

18.0

▶

21.7

15.6

Turnovers / G

13.0

▶

14.4

Data via ESPN · wehoop