Aug 28, 25sim 96
18101
3(H)95
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+10CON
CON
9-27
9484
CHI
9-27
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
onnecticut Sun went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 94–84.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CON · top performer
Tina Charles
C · #31
19.1Game score
23
Pts
10
Reb
2
Ast
CHI · top performer
Kia Nurse
G · #11
15.0Game score
19
Pts
2
Reb
0
Ast
WNBA · Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CON9-27
9484
CHI9-27
CON9-27CHI9-27
CON
9-27
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +11 | |
DRB%.37199+ ORB%.13693 USG%.25476 | ||||||||
| 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +12 | |
| 32 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9 | |
| 37 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +6 | |
USG%.30598 eFG%.53560 TS%.58557 | ||||||||
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | |
| 27 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
AST/TO1.960 USG%.18929 ORB%.01712 | ||||||||
| Team | 94 | 28 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 8 | ||
| DNP: H. Peters, R. Marshall, L. Allen | ||||||||
CHI
9-27
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 | |
| 31 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 | |
ORB%.20699+ DRB%.22883 USG%.23762 | ||||||||
| 34 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -18 | |
| 23 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14 | |
| 29 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -22 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6 | |
| 22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6 | |
| Team | 84 | 32 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 17 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld, C. Vandersloot | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
49
24
Ast
25
Season series
Series tied 2-2
Jun 15CHI78@CON66
CHI78@CON66Aug 13CHI62@CON71
CHI62@CON71Aug 23CON94@CHI84today
CON94@CHI84todaySep 4CON64@CHI88
CON64@CHI88Headlines · top performers
Game flowCON ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 8pp · 4th Quarter · 4:36
CONT. Charles
CGame leader · 31 min
23 PTS · 10 REB · 2 AST
CHIK. Nurse
GGame leader · 18 min
19 PTS · 2 REB · 0 AST
How it ended
CON beat CHI 94-84. T. Charles led with 23 PTS, 10 REB, 2 AST. CON outscored the other side 28-13 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs CON
Starters vs bench
production by unitCONstarters 84% of ptsStarters(5)
79 PTS · 21 REB · 19 AST
GS 67
Bench(4)
15 PTS · 7 REB · 5 AST
GS 18
CHIstarters 62% of ptsStarters(5)
52 PTS · 24 REB · 18 AST
GS 36
Bench(5)
32 PTS · 8 REB · 7 AST
GS 25
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCHI4th Quarter · 7:39 · 76-68
+7pp→ 20% WP
Marina Mabrey · shooting foul
CHI4th Quarter · 7:05 · 77-73
+7pp→ 23% WP
Kia Nurse · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sevgi Uzun assists)
CON4th Quarter · 4:36 · 84-77
+8pp→ 90% WP
Aneesah Morrow · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Marina Mabrey assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28 | 27 | 18 | 21 | 94 |
| CHI | 13 | 28 | 20 | 23 | 84 |
Period scoring
CON won 1 · CHI won 3
28
13
Q1
Mabrey 12
Cardoso 6
27
28
Q2
Charles 8
Banham 7
18
20
Q3
Charles 8
Atkins 7
21
23
Q4
Hartley 8
Nurse 10
CON
CHI
Shooting comparison
CON
CHI
52%
34-66
FG
49%
30-61
40%
8-20
3PT
47%
9-19
82%
18-22
FT
58%
15-26
Play-by-play · 380 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·17.0
Saniya Rivers defensive rebound
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·19.2
Kia Nurse misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·19.8
Angel Reese offensive rebound
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·26.9
Sevgi Uzun misses 23-foot three point jumper
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·32.3
Sky timeout
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·32.3
Bria Hartley makes free throw 2 of 2
CON 94·CHI 84
- Q4·32.3
Sun offensive team rebound
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·32.3
Bria Hartley misses free throw 1 of 2
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·32.3
Ariel Atkins personal take foul
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·33.3
Kamilla Cardoso bad pass (Aaliyah Edwards steals)
·
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·36.7
Sky Full timeout
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·36.7
Saniya Rivers makes free throw 2 of 2
CON 93·CHI 84
- Q4·36.7
Aaliyah Edwards enters the game for Tina Charles
·
CON 92·CHI 84
- Q4·36.7
Saniya Rivers makes free throw 1 of 2
CON 92·CHI 84
- Q4·36.7
Sevgi Uzun personal foul
CON 91·CHI 84
−0.7pp
- Q4·42.8
Ariel Atkins makes 23-foot three point jumper
CON 91·CHI 84
+0.8pp
- Q4·45.5
Ariel Atkins offensive rebound
CON 91·CHI 81
- Q4·45.5
Kia Nurse misses 23-foot three point jumper
CON 91·CHI 81
- Q4·54.4
Tina Charles makes 8-foot jumper (Saniya Rivers assists)
·
CON 91·CHI 81
−0.8pp
- Q4·1:06
Kamilla Cardoso makes free throw 2 of 2
CON 89·CHI 81
−0.9pp
- Q4·1:06
Kamilla Cardoso makes free throw 1 of 2
CON 89·CHI 80
- Q4·1:06
Tina Charles shooting foul
CON 89·CHI 79
+1pp
- Q4·1:11
Sky Full timeout
CON 89·CHI 79
- Q4·1:11
Ariel Atkins defensive rebound
CON 89·CHI 79
- Q4·1:12
Marina Mabrey misses 28-foot three point step back jumpshot
CON 89·CHI 79
- Q4·1:30
Marina Mabrey defensive rebound
CON 89·CHI 79
- Q4·1:32
Kamilla Cardoso misses driving layup
CON 89·CHI 79
−0.7pp
- Q4·2:00
Bria Hartley makes 25-foot three pointer
CON 89·CHI 79
−2pp
Team stats
CON
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
34-66
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
30-61
52
FG %
49
8-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-19
18-22
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-26
24
Assists
25
8
Turnovers
17
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBPCON34/66 · 52%● made · ○ missed
At the rim15/24
63%
In the paint1/3
33%
Mid-range9/18
50%
Top-of-arc 35/14
36%
Left corner 31/3
33%
Right corner 33/4
75%
CHI30/61 · 49%● made · ○ missed
At the rim15/24
63%
In the paint4/11
36%
Mid-range2/7
29%
Top-of-arc 35/13
38%
Left corner 33/3
100%
Right corner 31/3
33%
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
3 of 14 players in cohort
Aneesah MorrowCON · FDRB%.37199+
Angel ReeseATL · FORB%.20699+
Marina MabreyTOR · GUSG%.30598
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBPCON34/66 · 52%● made · ○ missed
At the rim15/24
63%
In the paint1/3
33%
Mid-range9/18
50%
Top-of-arc 35/14
36%
Left corner 31/3
33%
Right corner 33/4
75%
CHI30/61 · 49%● made · ○ missed
At the rim15/24
63%
In the paint4/11
36%
Mid-range2/7
29%
Top-of-arc 35/13
38%
Left corner 33/3
100%
Right corner 31/3
33%
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
51.2%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
58.5%
P(CHI win)
31%
weight
Elo Recent
59.1%
P(CHI win)
35%
weight
Pace Efficiency
62.6%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
1.81 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
88% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs CON.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
125
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Skylar DigginsCHI14.4± 9.9low
- Brittney GrinerCON12.5± 5.6low
Rebounds
- Aneesah MorrowCON10.7± 5.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI9.4± 4.3low
- Brittney GrinerCON5.0± 2.4low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI4.8± 3.2low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.3± 4.1low
- Saniya RiversCON3.4± 2.8low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.7± 2.4low
- Brittney GrinerCON1.3± 1.7low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Ashlon JacksonCON1.3± 1.6low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.2± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CON
league avg
CHI
41.4%
FG%
44.3
41.4%
25.9%
3PT %
32.9
▶27.2%
75.5
PPG
84.8
▶81.6
17.8
Assists / G
18.0
▶19.2
14.8
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.8