Sep 4, 25sim 95
1864
19(H)88
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+9CON
CHI
8-24
6271
CON
6-26
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
onnecticut Sun held off Chicago Sky, 71–62.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
18.8Game score
24
Pts
9
Reb
3
Ast
CON · top performer
Leila Lacan
G · #47
15.6Game score
17
Pts
4
Reb
5
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Connecticut Sun · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI8-24
6271
CON6-26
CHI8-24CON6-26
CHI
8-24
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 28 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10 | |
| 34 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | |
| 29 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | |
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | |
| 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | |
| 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | |
| 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| Team | 62 | 37 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 19 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot | ||||||||
CON
6-26
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 28 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +11 | |
DRB%.37199+ ORB%.13693 USG%.25476 | ||||||||
| 21 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | |
| 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 36 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +14 | |
USG%.30598 eFG%.53560 TS%.58557 | ||||||||
| 31 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | |
| 32 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | |
AST/TO1.960 USG%.18929 ORB%.01712 | ||||||||
| Team | 71 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 5 | ||
| DNP: H. Peters, R. Marshall | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
39
FG %
41
17
Ast
20
Season series
Series tied 2-2
Jun 15CHI78@CON66
CHI78@CON66Aug 13CHI62@CON71today
CHI62@CON71todayAug 23CON94@CHI84
CON94@CHI84Sep 4CON64@CHI88
CON64@CHI88Headlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ CON
Biggest swing: 17pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:00
CHIK. Cardoso
CGame leader · 34 min
24 PTS · 9 REB · 3 AST
CONL. Lacan
GGame leader · 31 min
17 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST
How it ended
CON beat CHI 71-62. L. Lacan led with 17 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST. CON outscored the other side 21-10 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CON vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 82% of ptsStarters(5)
51 PTS · 30 REB · 12 AST
GS 36
Bench(5)
11 PTS · 7 REB · 5 AST
CONstarters 72% of ptsStarters(5)
51 PTS · 23 REB · 11 AST
GS 37
Bench(5)
20 PTS · 8 REB · 9 AST
GS 25
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCON2nd Quarter · 3:00 · 26-36
+17pp→ 83% WP
Sevgi Uzun · steps out of bounds turnover
CHI4th Quarter · 5:54 · 54-60
+9pp→ 28% WP
Marina Mabrey · personal foul
CON4th Quarter · 5:31 · 56-63
+10pp→ 85% WP
Tina Charles · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Leila Lacan assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 18 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 62 |
| CON | 21 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 71 |
Period scoring
CHI won 1 · CON won 3
18
21
Q1
Williams 5
Lacan 7
10
21
Q2
Atkins 3
Mabrey 13
17
18
Q3
Cardoso 10
Charles 6
17
11
Q4
Cardoso 8
Charles 5
CHI
CON
Shooting comparison
CHI
CON
39%
24-62
FG
41%
29-71
25%
5-20
3PT
24%
4-17
75%
9-12
FT
60%
9-15
Play-by-play · 377 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·18.0
Aneesah Morrow defensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·21.6
Kia Nurse misses 27-foot three point jumper
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·23.0
Elizabeth Williams offensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·27.0
Rachel Banham misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·37.1
Sky timeout
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·37.1
Leila Lacan makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 62·CON 71
- Q4·37.1
Sun offensive team rebound
CHI 62·CON 70
- Q4·37.1
Leila Lacan misses free throw 1 of 2
CHI 62·CON 70
- Q4·37.1
Sevgi Uzun personal foul
CHI 62·CON 70
- Q4·38.0
Sevgi Uzun personal foul
CHI 62·CON 70
+2pp
- Q4·55.3
Sevgi Uzun lost ball turnover (Tina Charles steals)
·
CHI 62·CON 70
−0.9pp
- Q4·55.3
Sky Full timeout
CHI 62·CON 70
- Q4·58.3
Rachel Banham defensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 70
- Q4·1:00
Saniya Rivers misses driving layup
CHI 62·CON 70
−0.6pp
- Q4·1:11
Aneesah Morrow offensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 70
+1pp
- Q4·1:13
Marina Mabrey misses driving layup
CHI 62·CON 70
−0.5pp
- Q4·1:40
Marina Mabrey defensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 70
+0.5pp
- Q4·1:41
Kia Nurse misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 62·CON 70
+2pp
- Q4·2:00
Leila Lacan makes driving layupBIG MOMENT
CHI 62·CON 70
+7pp
- Q4·2:06
Leila Lacan enters the game for Lindsay Allen
· ·
CHI 62·CON 68
- Q4·2:06
Saniya Rivers makes free throw 1 of 1
CHI 62·CON 68
- Q4·2:06
Rachel Banham transition take foul
CHI 62·CON 67
- Q4·2:07
Rachel Banham bad pass (Saniya Rivers steals)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 62·CON 67
+7pp
- Q4·2:09
Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound
CHI 62·CON 67
−2pp
- Q4·2:12
Saniya Rivers misses 25-foot three point jumper
CHI 62·CON 67
−4pp
- Q4·2:32
Elizabeth Williams makes free throw 1 of 1
CHI 62·CON 67
+5pp
- Q4·2:32
Aneesah Morrow shooting foulBIG MOMENT
CHI 61·CON 67
−9pp
- Q4·2:32
Elizabeth Williams makes layup
CHI 61·CON 67
−2pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
CON
Home
24-62
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
29-71
39
FG %
41
5-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-17
9-12
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
9-15
17
Assists
20
19
Turnovers
5
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBPCHI24/62 · 39%● made · ○ missed
At the rim13/25
52%
In the paint5/13
38%
Mid-range1/4
25%
Top-of-arc 35/16
31%
Left corner 30/2
0%
Right corner 30/1
0%
CON29/71 · 41%● made · ○ missed
At the rim9/16
56%
In the paint7/13
54%
Mid-range9/25
36%
Top-of-arc 33/11
27%
Left corner 31/6
17%
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
2 of 11 players in cohort
Aneesah MorrowCON · FDRB%.37199+
Marina MabreyTOR · GUSG%.30598
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBPCHI24/62 · 39%● made · ○ missed
At the rim13/25
52%
In the paint5/13
38%
Mid-range1/4
25%
Top-of-arc 35/16
31%
Left corner 30/2
0%
Right corner 30/1
0%
CON29/71 · 41%● made · ○ missed
At the rim9/16
56%
In the paint7/13
54%
Mid-range9/25
36%
Top-of-arc 33/11
27%
Left corner 31/6
17%
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
46.6%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
56.1%
P(CON win)
31%
weight
Elo Recent
55.5%
P(CON win)
35%
weight
Pace Efficiency
52.0%
P(CON win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
1.81 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
88% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CON vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
125
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Skylar DigginsCHI14.4± 9.9low
- Brittney GrinerCON12.5± 5.6low
Rebounds
- Aneesah MorrowCON10.7± 5.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI9.4± 4.3low
- Brittney GrinerCON5.0± 2.4low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI4.8± 3.2low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.3± 4.1low
- Saniya RiversCON3.4± 2.8low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.7± 2.4low
- Brittney GrinerCON1.3± 1.7low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Ashlon JacksonCON1.3± 1.6low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.2± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
CON
41.4%
FG%
44.3
41.4%
27.2%
3PT %
◀
32.9
25.9%
81.6
PPG
◀
84.8
75.5
19.2
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.8
11.8
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.8