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FINAL+24CHI
CON

CON

10-31

6488
CHI

CHI

10-30

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBAWed, Sep 3FinalSeriestied 2-2

Recap · WNBA

hicago Sky held off Connecticut Sun, 88–64. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WNBA · Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
64
88
CON10-31CHI10-30
CON

CON

10-31

64
box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
Player
5210001-15
241920001-16
29841113-14
25036012-20
22831112-16
12352001-4
28481113-14
12441101+1
261621111-14
17001001-8
Team6432145516
DNP: O. Nelson-Ododa, B. Hartley

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

38

FG %

48

14

Ast

25

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Jun 15CHICHI78@CONCON66
Aug 13CHICHI62@CONCON71
Aug 23CONCON94@CHICHI84
Sep 4CONCON64@CHICHI88today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCON CHI
CONCON
T. Charles

T. Charles

C

Game leader · 24 min

19 PTS · 2 REB · 0 AST

CHICHI
A. Reese

A. Reese

F

Game leader · 31 min

18 PTS · 13 REB · 4 AST

How it ended

CHI beat CON 88-64. A. Reese led with 18 PTS, 13 REB, 4 AST. CHI outscored the other side 28-10 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CHI vs CON

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CONCONstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

37 PTS · 13 REB · 8 AST

GS 20

Bench(5)

27 PTS · 19 REB · 6 AST

GS 15

CHICHIstarters 63% of pts

Starters(5)

55 PTS · 25 REB · 17 AST

GS 55

Bench(5)

33 PTS · 8 REB · 8 AST

GS 26

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CON1017172064
CHI2814242288

Period scoring

CON won 1 · CHI won 3

10
28

Q1

Charles 6

Cardoso 8

17
14

Q2

Charles 7

Banham 5

17
24

Q3

Lacan 6

Nurse 8

20
22

Q4

Rivers 11

Westbeld 4

CON
CHI

Shooting comparison

CON
CHI

38%

25-65

FG

48%

31-65

31%

5-16

3PT

47%

7-15

75%

9-12

FT

79%

19-24

Play-by-play · 383 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CON 64·CHI 88

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CON 64·CHI 88

  3. Q4·20.7

    Rayah Marshall out of bounds bad pass turnover

    CON 64·CHI 88

  4. Q4·42.3

    Kia Nurse makes two point shot (Angel Reese assists)

    ·

    CON 64·CHI 88

  5. Q4·44.8

    Angel Reese defensive rebound

    CON 64·CHI 86

  6. Q4·46.6

    Aaliyah Edwards misses driving layup

    CON 64·CHI 86

  7. Q4·58.9

    Rebecca Allen makes 23-foot three point jumper (Angel Reese assists)

    · ·

    CON 64·CHI 86

  8. Q4·1:13

    Lindsay Allen makes driving layup

    ·

    CON 64·CHI 83

  9. Q4·1:14

    Lindsay Allen offensive rebound

    ·

    CON 62·CHI 83

  10. Q4·1:17

    Saniya Rivers misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot

    CON 62·CHI 83

  11. Q4·1:33

    Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 1

    CON 62·CHI 83

  12. Q4·1:33

    Rayah Marshall enters the game for Haley Peters

    ·

    CON 62·CHI 82

  13. Q4·1:33

    Haley Peters shooting foul

    CON 62·CHI 82

  14. Q4·1:33

    Angel Reese makes driving layup (Maddy Westbeld assists)

    ·

    CON 62·CHI 82

  15. Q4·1:45

    Kia Nurse defensive rebound

    CON 62·CHI 80

  16. Q4·1:47

    Mamignan Toure misses 13-foot pullup jump shot

    CON 62·CHI 80

  17. Q4·2:04

    Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 2 of 2

    CON 62·CHI 80

  18. Q4·2:04

    Sky offensive team rebound

    CON 62·CHI 79

  19. Q4·2:04

    Maddy Westbeld misses free throw 1 of 2

    CON 62·CHI 79

  20. Q4·2:04

    Lindsay Allen personal foul

    ·

    CON 62·CHI 79

  21. Q4·2:27

    Saniya Rivers makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot

    CON 62·CHI 79

  22. Q4·2:35

    Angel Reese personal foul

    CON 59·CHI 79

  23. Q4·2:38

    Sun offensive team rebound

    CON 59·CHI 79

  24. Q4·2:38

    Saniya Rivers misses 14-foot step back jumpshot

    CON 59·CHI 79

  25. Q4·2:55

    Haley Peters defensive rebound

    CON 59·CHI 79

  26. Q4·2:57

    Angel Reese misses free throw 2 of 2

    CON 59·CHI 79

  27. Q4·2:57

    Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2

    CON 59·CHI 79

  28. Q4·2:57

    Kia Nurse enters the game for Ariel Atkins

    ·

    CON 59·CHI 78

  29. Q4·2:57

    Sun Full timeout

    CON 59·CHI 78

  30. Q4·2:57

    Lindsay Allen shooting foul

    ·

    CON 59·CHI 78

Team stats

CON

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

25-65

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

31-65

38

FG %

48

5-16

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-15

9-12

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

19-24

14

Assists

25

16

Turnovers

10

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP
CONCON25/65 · 38%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim11/22
50%
In the paint4/6
67%
Mid-range5/21
24%
Top-of-arc 35/15
33%
Left corner 30/1
0%
CHICHI31/65 · 48%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim18/29
62%
In the paint2/10
20%
Mid-range4/11
36%
Top-of-arc 36/10
60%
Left corner 30/4
0%
Right corner 31/1
100%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

3 of 11 players in cohort
  • Aneesah MorrowCON · F
    DRB%.37199+
  • Angel ReeseATL · F
    ORB%.20699+
  • Marina MabreyTOR · G
    USG%.30598

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP
CONCON25/65 · 38%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim11/22
50%
In the paint4/6
67%
Mid-range5/21
24%
Top-of-arc 35/15
33%
Left corner 30/1
0%
CHICHI31/65 · 48%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim18/29
62%
In the paint2/10
20%
Mid-range4/11
36%
Top-of-arc 36/10
60%
Left corner 30/4
0%
Right corner 31/1
100%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · CON favored

  • Elo Static

    54.8%

    P(CHI win)

    31%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    55.4%

    P(CHI win)

    35%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    58.9%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

1.81 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

88% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs CON.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    16.0± 11.0low
  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    14.4± 9.9low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    12.5± 5.6low

Rebounds

  • Aneesah MorrowCON
    10.7± 5.4low
  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    9.4± 4.3low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    5.0± 2.4low

Assists

  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    4.8± 3.2low
  • Natasha CloudCHI
    4.3± 4.1low
  • Saniya RiversCON
    3.4± 2.8low

Blocks

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    1.7± 2.4low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    1.3± 1.7low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    1.2± 1.6low

Steals

  • Aicha CoulibalyCHI
    1.3± 1.2low
  • Ashlon JacksonCON
    1.3± 1.6low
  • Jacy SheldonCHI
    1.2± 2.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CON

CON

league avg

CHI

CHI

41.4%

FG%

44.3

41.4%

25.9%

3PT %

32.9

27.2%

75.5

PPG

84.8

81.6

17.8

Assists / G

18.0

19.2

14.8

Turnovers / G

13.0

11.8

Data via ESPN · wehoop