
CON
10-31

CHI
10-30
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky held off Connecticut Sun, 88–64. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CON · top performer

Tina Charles
C · #31
19
Pts
2
Reb
0
Ast
CHI · top performer

Angel Reese
F · #5
18
Pts
13
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING


CON
10-31
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15 | |
| 24 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16 | |
| 29 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -14 | |
| 25 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -20 | |
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -16 | |
| 12 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | |
| 28 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -14 | |
| 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | |
| 26 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -14 | |
AST/TO1.960 USG%.18929 ORB%.01712 | ||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | |
| Team | 64 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 16 | ||
| DNP: O. Nelson-Ododa, B. Hartley | ||||||||
CHI
10-30
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +11 | |
| 31 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +18 | |
ORB%.20699+ DRB%.22883 USG%.23762 | ||||||||
| 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +17 | |
| 22 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +16 | |
| 29 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +15 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +8 | |
| 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +10 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +12 | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| Team | 88 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 10 | ||
| DNP: C. Vandersloot, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
38
FG %
48
14
Ast
25
Season series
Series tied 2-2
Headlines · top performers
T. Charles
CGame leader · 24 min
19 PTS · 2 REB · 0 AST
A. Reese
FGame leader · 31 min
18 PTS · 13 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
CHI beat CON 88-64. A. Reese led with 18 PTS, 13 REB, 4 AST. CHI outscored the other side 28-10 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs CON
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
37 PTS · 13 REB · 8 AST
GS 20
Bench(5)
27 PTS · 19 REB · 6 AST
GS 15
Starters(5)
55 PTS · 25 REB · 17 AST
GS 55
Bench(5)
33 PTS · 8 REB · 8 AST
GS 26
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 10 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 64 |
| CHI | 28 | 14 | 24 | 22 | 88 |
Period scoring
CON won 1 · CHI won 3
Q1
Charles 6
Cardoso 8
Q2
Charles 7
Banham 5
Q3
Lacan 6
Nurse 8
Q4
Rivers 11
Westbeld 4
Shooting comparison
38%
25-65
FG
48%
31-65
31%
5-16
3PT
47%
7-15
75%
9-12
FT
79%
19-24
Play-by-play · 383 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CON 64·CHI 88
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CON 64·CHI 88
- Q4·20.7
Rayah Marshall out of bounds bad pass turnover
CON 64·CHI 88
- Q4·42.3
Kia Nurse makes two point shot (Angel Reese assists)
·
CON 64·CHI 88
- Q4·44.8
Angel Reese defensive rebound
CON 64·CHI 86
- Q4·46.6
Aaliyah Edwards misses driving layup
CON 64·CHI 86
- Q4·58.9
Rebecca Allen makes 23-foot three point jumper (Angel Reese assists)
· ·
CON 64·CHI 86
- Q4·1:13
Lindsay Allen makes driving layup
·
CON 64·CHI 83
- Q4·1:14
Lindsay Allen offensive rebound
·
CON 62·CHI 83
- Q4·1:17
Saniya Rivers misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
CON 62·CHI 83
- Q4·1:33
Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 1
CON 62·CHI 83
- Q4·1:33
Rayah Marshall enters the game for Haley Peters
·
CON 62·CHI 82
- Q4·1:33
Haley Peters shooting foul
CON 62·CHI 82
- Q4·1:33
Angel Reese makes driving layup (Maddy Westbeld assists)
·
CON 62·CHI 82
- Q4·1:45
Kia Nurse defensive rebound
CON 62·CHI 80
- Q4·1:47
Mamignan Toure misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
CON 62·CHI 80
- Q4·2:04
Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 2 of 2
CON 62·CHI 80
- Q4·2:04
Sky offensive team rebound
CON 62·CHI 79
- Q4·2:04
Maddy Westbeld misses free throw 1 of 2
CON 62·CHI 79
- Q4·2:04
Lindsay Allen personal foul
·
CON 62·CHI 79
- Q4·2:27
Saniya Rivers makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
CON 62·CHI 79
- Q4·2:35
Angel Reese personal foul
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:38
Sun offensive team rebound
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:38
Saniya Rivers misses 14-foot step back jumpshot
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:55
Haley Peters defensive rebound
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:57
Angel Reese misses free throw 2 of 2
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:57
Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2
CON 59·CHI 79
- Q4·2:57
Kia Nurse enters the game for Ariel Atkins
·
CON 59·CHI 78
- Q4·2:57
Sun Full timeout
CON 59·CHI 78
- Q4·2:57
Lindsay Allen shooting foul
·
CON 59·CHI 78
Team stats
CON
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
25-65
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
31-65
38
FG %
48
5-16
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
7-15
9-12
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
19-24
14
Assists
25
16
Turnovers
10
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
3 of 11 players in cohort
Aneesah MorrowCON · FDRB%.37199+
Angel ReeseATL · FORB%.20699+
Marina MabreyTOR · GUSG%.30598
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
48.2%
ensemble · CON favored
Elo Static
54.8%
P(CHI win)
31%
weight
Elo Recent
55.4%
P(CHI win)
35%
weight
Pace Efficiency
58.9%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
1.81 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
88% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs CON.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
125
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Skylar DigginsCHI14.4± 9.9low
- Brittney GrinerCON12.5± 5.6low
Rebounds
- Aneesah MorrowCON10.7± 5.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI9.4± 4.3low
- Brittney GrinerCON5.0± 2.4low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI4.8± 3.2low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.3± 4.1low
- Saniya RiversCON3.4± 2.8low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.7± 2.4low
- Brittney GrinerCON1.3± 1.7low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Ashlon JacksonCON1.3± 1.6low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.2± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CON
league avg
CHI
41.4%
FG%
44.3
41.4%
25.9%
3PT %
32.9
▶27.2%
75.5
PPG
84.8
▶81.6
17.8
Assists / G
18.0
▶19.2
14.8
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.8















