NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NJ

40-34-3

MTL

45-22-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Apr 5FinalSeriesNJ wins series 2-1VegasMTL -148

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into Montreal Canadiens and beat them, 3–0.

NJ +1.5 cashed (MTL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

Jack Hughes

C · #86

2Points

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

Josh Anderson

RW · #17

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NJ40-34-3

MTL45-22-10

NJ40-34-3MTL45-22-10

40-34-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MTL

45-22-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NJ wins series 2-1

Nov 7

MTL3@

NJ4

Apr 4

MTL4@

NJ3

Apr 5

NJ3@

MTL0today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJ+12445%

MTL-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat MTL 3-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NJ	1	1	1	3
MTL	0	0	0	0

Period scoring

NJ won 3 · MTL won 0

MTL

Play-by-play · 309 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:50
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Alex Newhook
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:50
Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:45
Johnathan Kovacevic hit Zachary Bolduc
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:43
Alex Newhook Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:14
Zachary Bolduc Tip-In High and Wide Left
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:08
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:06
Alex Newhook faceoff won against Jack Hughes
· ·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:06
Connor Brown Misconduct
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·19:06
Icing
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·18:36
Connor Brown hit Lane Hutson
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·18:32
Cody Glass hit Ivan Demidov
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·17:25
Jonas Siegenthaler hit Cole Caufield
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·17:17
Noah Dobson Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·17:05
Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·17:01
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Phillip Danault
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·17:01
Goalie Stopped
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:59
Cole Caufield Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:57
Cole Caufield Snap Shot Short
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:55
Giveaway by Cody Glass
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:35
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:35
Connor Brown Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Jack Hughes (47), Jesper Bratt (48)
· ·
NJ 3·MTL 0
3rd·16:11
Takeaway by Dawson Mercer
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:50
Giveaway by Timo Meier
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:45
Takeaway by Timo Meier
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:38
Nico Hischier hit Mike Matheson
·
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:27
Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
·
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:17
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
NJ 2·MTL 0
3rd·15:17
Goalie Stopped
NJ 2·MTL 0

Team stats

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·NJ +124/MTL -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Josh AndersonMTL · RW
BURSTS7699+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699
Arber XhekajMTL · D
SHOT MPH98.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-148

Close price

-148

Open no-vig

57.2%

Close no-vig

57.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

MTL vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Alex NewhookMTL
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands