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FINAL+2BOS
BOS

BOS

39-23-8

42
DET

DET

38-24-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 21FinalSeriesBOS wins series 3-1VegasDET -120

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Detroit Red Wings and beat them, 4–2.

BOS +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

BOS
Morgan Geekie

Morgan Geekie

C · #39

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

DET · top performer

DET
Andrew Copp

Andrew Copp

C · #18

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
2
BOS39-23-8DET38-24-8
BOS

BOS

39-23-8

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
DET

DET

38-24-8

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

BOS wins series 3-1

Nov 30DETDET2@BOSBOS3
Dec 3BOSBOS4@DETDET5
Jan 14DETDET0@BOSBOS3
Mar 22BOSBOS4@DETDET2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS+10050%
DETDET-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat DET 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BOS0134
DET0112

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · DET won 0

0
0

1

1
1

2

3
1

3

BOS
DET

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BOS 4·DET 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BOS 4·DET 2

  3. 3rd·19:57

    Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat

    BOS 4·DET 2

  4. 3rd·19:55

    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  5. 3rd·19:53

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  6. 3rd·19:53

    Icing

    BOS 4·DET 2

  7. 3rd·19:46

    Charlie McAvoy hit James van Riemsdyk

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  8. 3rd·19:42

    Alex DeBrincat Slap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  9. 3rd·19:23

    Casey Mittelstadt Wrist Shot Wide Left

    BOS 4·DET 2

  10. 3rd·19:13

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Andrew Copp

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  11. 3rd·19:13

    Icing

    BOS 4·DET 2

  12. 3rd·19:06

    Alex DeBrincat Tip-In saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  13. 3rd·19:04

    Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  14. 3rd·18:44

    Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  15. 3rd·18:22

    Moritz Seider shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  16. 3rd·18:08

    Casey Mittelstadt faceoff won against Andrew Copp

    ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  17. 3rd·18:08

    Marat Khusnutdinov Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: David Pastrnak (58), Elias Lindholm (29)

    · ·

    BOS 4·DET 2

  18. 3rd·18:00

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  19. 3rd·18:00

    Puck in Netting

    BOS 3·DET 2

  20. 3rd·17:58

    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  21. 3rd·17:45

    Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Lucas Raymond

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  22. 3rd·17:35

    Fraser Minten faceoff won against J.T. Compher

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  23. 3rd·17:35

    Puck in Crowd

    BOS 3·DET 2

  24. 3rd·17:27

    Albert Johansson Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  25. 3rd·17:24

    Lucas Raymond Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  26. 3rd·17:03

    Ben Chiarot hit Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  27. 3rd·16:52

    Lucas Raymond Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  28. 3rd·16:01

    J.T. Compher faceoff won against Pavel Zacha

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

  29. 3rd·16:01

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    BOS 3·DET 2

  30. 3rd·15:59

    Patrick Kane Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 3·DET 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

DET

Home

27

Shots

44

33.3

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

6

22

Faceoffs W

33

12

Blocks

13

16

Giveaways

9

4

Takeaways

3

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 5.5·BOS +100/DET -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
    DIST MI252.196
  • Emmitt FinnieDET · C
    BURSTS19394
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Justin FaulkDET · D
    BURSTS6990

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · DET favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR