NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CBJ

SEA

31-29-9

CBJ

37-21-11

NHLSat, Mar 21FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-0VegasCBJ -180

SEA · top performer

Kaapo Kakko

RW · #84

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Cole Sillinger

C · #4

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BeniersC · #10	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	16:27
B. CattonC · #27	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14:12
J. EberleRW · #7	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	16:10
F. GaudreauC · #89	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	17:57
K. KakkoRW · #84	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	14:58
B. McMannC · #74	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	16:58
J. MelansonRW · #63	0	0	-3	1	3	1	0	9:06
B. MeyersC · #59	0	0	-3	1	1	0	0	11:21
J. NymanRW · #38	0	0	-4	0	2	0	0	8:15
C. StephensonC · #9	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	20:13
E. TolvanenRW · #20	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	15:39
S. WrightC · #51	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13:37

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. DunnD · #29	1	0	-1	2	0	1	0	21:21
R. EvansD · #41	0	0	-1	1	1	2	0	18:18
A. LarssonD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	24:45
R. LindgrenD · #55	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	19:45
B. MontourD · #62	0	1	-3	1	1	1	2	17:30
J. OleksiakD · #24	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	18:01

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DaccordG · #35	27	4	23	.852	59:27

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	17:31
A. FantilliC · #19	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	18:54
C. GarlandRW · #83	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	14:39
D. HeinenLW · #43	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	10:46
B. JennerC · #38	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	12:20
K. JohnsonC · #91	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	15:52
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:31
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	19:06
M. MarchmentLW · #17	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	19:22
S. MonahanC · #23	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	16:23
M. OlivierRW · #24	1	1	3	2	6	0	0	14:14
C. SillingerC · #4	1	2	3	5	1	2	0	13:59

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	15:18
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	16:26
D. MateychukD · #5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:01
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	22:41
D. SeversonD · #78	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	21:19
Z. WerenskiD · #8	0	3	4	4	0	0	0	24:07

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	17	2	15	.882	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

CBJ win series 2-0

Nov 12

CBJ2@

SEA1

Mar 21

SEA2@

CBJ5today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+15040%

CBJ-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 25 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat SEA 5-2. C. Sillinger led the way — 1 G · 2 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SEA	1	1	0	2
CBJ	3	1	1	5

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · CBJ won 2

SEA

CBJ

Play-by-play · 258 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·19:50
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·19:50
Icing
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·19:19
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Shane Wright
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·18:38
Ryker Evans hit Conor Garland
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·18:34
Giveaway by Ben Meyers
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·18:05
Jamie Oleksiak Snap Shot Wide Left
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·17:34
Shane Wright faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·17:34
Cole Sillinger Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Mathieu Olivier (11)
·
SEA 2·CBJ 5
3rd·17:29
Jordan Eberle shot blocked by Cole Sillinger
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·17:21
Jordan Eberle shot blocked by Ivan Provorov
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·17:16
Takeaway by Vince Dunn
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·17:00
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·17:00
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:57
Cole Sillinger Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:55
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:55
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:51
Mathieu Olivier Deflected saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:32
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:32
Off-side
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:03
Giveaway by Matty Beniers
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·16:01
Mathieu Olivier hit Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:49
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Sean Monahan
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:44
Giveaway by Zach Werenski
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:42
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:42
Puck Frozen - Goalie
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:39
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:36
Takeaway by Jordan Eberle
SEA 2·CBJ 4
3rd·15:27
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·CBJ 4

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +150/CBJ -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Seattle Kraken, 5–2.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Mathieu Olivier · CBJ14:060.5766.7%89.6%14:06 TOI · 0.57 iXG · 66.7% CF · 89.6% xGF
Vince Dunn · SEA21:300.3436.4%35.2%21:30 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 36.4% CF · 35.2% xGF
Charlie Coyle · CBJ17:420.3360.0%81.4%17:42 TOI · 0.33 iXG · 60.0% CF · 81.4% xGF
Jordan Eberle · SEA16:060.3255.3%36.3%16:06 TOI · 0.32 iXG · 55.3% CF · 36.3% xGF
Cole Sillinger · CBJ13:480.2963.0%89.6%13:48 TOI · 0.29 iXG · 63.0% CF · 89.6% xGF
Kent Johnson · CBJ16:000.2859.3%46.4%16:00 TOI · 0.28 iXG · 59.3% CF · 46.4% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Elvis Merzlikins · CBJ15–2.882-0.2815–2 · .882 SV% · -0.28 GSAx
Joey Daccord · SEA23–4.852-1.1623–4 · .852 SV% · -1.16 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

63.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
63.1%
P(CBJ win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
63.1%
P(CBJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
63.1%
P(CBJ win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Seattle KrakenColumbus Blue Jackets

Elsewhere in the NHL