Live · 4
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FINAL+3CBJ
SEA

SEA

31-29-9

25
CBJ

CBJ

37-21-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 21FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-0VegasCBJ -180

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Seattle Kraken, 5–2.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
5
SEA31-29-9CBJ37-21-11
SEA

SEA

31-29-9

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

37-21-11

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

2

Season series

CBJ win series 2-0

Nov 12CBJCBJ2@SEASEA1
Mar 21SEASEA2@CBJCBJ5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+15040%
CBJCBJ-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat SEA 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA1102
CBJ3115

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · CBJ won 2

1
3

1

1
1

2

0
1

3

SEA
CBJ

Play-by-play · 258 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Shane Wright

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  4. 3rd·19:50

    Icing

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  5. 3rd·19:19

    Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Shane Wright

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  6. 3rd·18:38

    Ryker Evans hit Conor Garland

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  7. 3rd·18:34

    Giveaway by Ben Meyers

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  8. 3rd·18:05

    Jamie Oleksiak Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  9. 3rd·17:34

    Shane Wright faceoff won against Boone Jenner

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  10. 3rd·17:34

    Cole Sillinger Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Mathieu Olivier (11)

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 5

  11. 3rd·17:29

    Jordan Eberle shot blocked by Cole Sillinger

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  12. 3rd·17:21

    Jordan Eberle shot blocked by Ivan Provorov

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  13. 3rd·17:16

    Takeaway by Vince Dunn

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  14. 3rd·17:00

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  15. 3rd·17:00

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  16. 3rd·16:57

    Cole Sillinger Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  17. 3rd·16:55

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  18. 3rd·16:55

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  19. 3rd·16:51

    Mathieu Olivier Deflected saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  20. 3rd·16:32

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  21. 3rd·16:32

    Off-side

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  22. 3rd·16:03

    Giveaway by Matty Beniers

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  23. 3rd·16:01

    Mathieu Olivier hit Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  24. 3rd·15:49

    Matty Beniers shot blocked by Sean Monahan

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  25. 3rd·15:44

    Giveaway by Zach Werenski

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  26. 3rd·15:42

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  27. 3rd·15:42

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  28. 3rd·15:39

    Matty Beniers shot blocked by Charlie Coyle

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  29. 3rd·15:36

    Takeaway by Jordan Eberle

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

  30. 3rd·15:27

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 2·CBJ 4

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

17

Shots

28

100.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

2

21

Faceoffs W

28

13

Blocks

13

19

Giveaways

10

4

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +150/CBJ -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CBJ vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 135 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    3.4± 2.5high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high
  • Brandon MontourSEA
    3.0± 1.3high

Goals

  • Adam FantilliCBJ
    0.3± 0.5high
  • Boone JennerCBJ
    0.3± 0.5high
  • Charlie CoyleCBJ
    0.3± 0.7high

Points

  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    0.8± 0.9high
  • Mason MarchmentCBJ
    0.8± 0.7high
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    0.7± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR