NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1DAL

CHI

23-29-11

DAL

39-14-10

NHLSun, Mar 8FinalSeriesCHI wins series 2-1VegasDAL -325

Recap · NHL

allas Stars held off Chicago Blackhawks, 4–3 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (DAL won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

Frank Nazar

C · #91

2Points

—

SOG

DAL · top performer

Mavrik Bourque

C · #22

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
C. BedardC · #98	1	0	-1	3	1	0	0	19:33
T. BertuzziLW · #59	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	20:19
A. BurakovskyLW · #28	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	15:30
R. DonatoC · #8	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	14:09
R. GreeneC · #20	0	0	-3	1	0	0	0	18:34
N. LardisLW · #76	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	10:08
A. MangiapaneLW · #26	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	12:11
I. MikheyevRW · #95	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	17:27
O. MooreC · #11	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1:49
F. NazarC · #91	0	2	1	3	0	3	0	18:48
L. SlaggertLW · #84	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:24
T. TeravainenC · #86	0	2	3	2	0	1	0	18:22

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
L. CrevierD · #46	0	0	-1	1	4	2	2	19:28
M. GrzelcykD · #48	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	15:11
W. KaiserD · #44	0	0	1	1	0	2	2	20:25
A. LevshunovD · #55	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	18:00
S. RinzelD · #6	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	22:20
A. VlasicD · #72	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	23:03

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
A. SoderblomG · #40	31	4	27	.871	59:56

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
O. BackC · #10	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	11:36
N. BastianRW · #11	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	11:32
J. BennLW · #14	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	17:16
C. BlackwellC · #15	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	11:04
M. BourqueC · #22	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	17:20
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	14:43
M. DucheneC · #95	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	19:48
A. ErneLW · #73	0	0	-1	1	5	0	0	11:38
J. HryckowianC · #49	1	0	-1	4	0	0	0	14:28
W. JohnstonC · #53	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	19:20
J. RobertsonLW · #21	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	19:55
S. SteelC · #18	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	15:32

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
L. BichselD · #6	0	1	-1	0	5	0	0	13:45
T. HarleyD · #55	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	23:18
M. HeiskanenD · #4	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	24:26
E. LindellD · #23	0	1	0	1	1	4	0	23:23
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:47
T. MyersD · #57	0	0	-2	2	3	1	0	13:05

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmithG · #1	19	3	16	.842	59:32

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CHI wins series 2-1

Dec 28

CHI4@

DAL3

Jan 2

DAL3@

CHI4

Mar 8

CHI3@

DAL4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI+26028%

DAL-32576%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat CHI 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
CHI	2	0	1	0	3
DAL	1	0	2	1	4

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · DAL won 2

CHI

DAL

Play-by-play · 267 plays

period

event

player

OT·0:22
Game End
CHI 3·DAL 4
OT·0:22
End of OT
CHI 3·DAL 4
OT·0:22
Miro Heiskanen Goal (9) Backhand, assists: Matt Duchene (17)
· ·
CHI 3·DAL 4
OT·0:00
Matt Duchene faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
CHI 3·DAL 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·19:37
Giveaway by Wyatt Kaiser
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·19:22
Miro Heiskanen Slap Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom
·
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·18:58
Andrew Mangiapane hit Miro Heiskanen
·
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·18:45
Louis Crevier hit Michael Bunting
·
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·18:40
Justin Hryckowian faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·18:40
Connor Bedard Goal (26) Snap Shot, assists: Teuvo Teravainen (17), Frank Nazar (21)
· ·
CHI 3·DAL 3
3rd·18:30
Wyatt Johnston hit Connor Bedard
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·18:14
Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Ryan Donato
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·18:14
Puck in Netting
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·18:11
Ryan Greene Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·17:50
Sam Rinzel Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·17:43
Connor Bedard Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·17:29
Tyler Bertuzzi Tip-In saved by Casey DeSmith
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·17:15
Teuvo Teravainen Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·17:03
Takeaway by Connor Bedard
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·16:34
Esa Lindell hit Tyler Bertuzzi
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:57
Frank Nazar faceoff won against Justin Hryckowian
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:57
TV Timeout
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:57
Wyatt Johnston Holding against Connor Bedard
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:50
Connor Bedard hit Wyatt Johnston
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:47
Mavrik Bourque Snap Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom
·
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:31
Giveaway by Jason Robertson
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·15:29
Giveaway by Sam Rinzel
CHI 2·DAL 3
3rd·14:43
Jamie Benn Backhand Wide Right
· ·
CHI 2·DAL 3

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

DAL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +260/DAL -325

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Louis CrevierCHI · D
SHOT MPH102.899
Ilya MikheyevCHI · RW
SKATE MPH23.595
Connor BedardCHI · C
BURSTS19595
Alex VlasicCHI · D
BURSTS7190
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
SHOT MPH91.388

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

63.4%

ensemble · DAL favored

Elo Static
71.1%
P(DAL win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
71.1%
P(DAL win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
71.1%
P(DAL win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+260

Close price

+260

Open no-vig

26.6%

Close no-vig

26.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss