NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3DET

DET

36-21-7

32-30-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Mar 8FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNJ -105

Recap · NHL

etroit Red Wings went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 3–0.

DET +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

Patrick Kane

RW · #88

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Nick Bjugstad

C · #72

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

DET36-21-7

NJ32-30-2

DET36-21-7NJ32-30-2

DET

36-21-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

32-30-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 25

DET3@

NJ4

Mar 8

DET3@

NJ0today

Apr 11

NJ5@

DET3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DET-11553%

NJ-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat NJ 3-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DET	1	1	1	3
NJ	0	0	0	0

Period scoring

DET won 3 · NJ won 0

DET

Play-by-play · 305 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:39
Michael Rasmussen faceoff won against Nick Bjugstad
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:39
Puck in Netting
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:37
Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:29
Takeaway by Lenni Hameenaho
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:22
Nick Bjugstad Tip-In saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:15
Arseny Gritsyuk Wrist Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:13
Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:13
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:11
Luke Hughes Slap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
· ·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:04
Luke Hughes shot blocked by Connor Brown
· ·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·18:38
Jesper Bratt shot blocked by Mason Appleton
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·18:16
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·18:11
Takeaway by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·17:32
Giveaway by Lucas Raymond
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:33
Andrew Copp Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:17
Giveaway by Patrick Kane
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:59
Cody Glass faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:59
Puck in Benches
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:45
Cody Glass faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:45
Simon Nemec Tripping against Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:18
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:10
Dougie Hamilton Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·14:56
Lenni Hameenaho Slap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·14:53
Cody Glass faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·14:53
Puck Frozen - Goalie
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·14:28
Brenden Dillon hit Marco Kasper
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·13:46
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NJ 0
3rd·13:02
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
DET 3·NJ 0

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

20.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·DET -115/NJ -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394
Justin FaulkDET · D
BURSTS6990
J.T. CompherDET · LW
BURSTS15888

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss