
VGK
28-16-14

LA
23-20-14
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
egas Golden Knights went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 6–4.
VGK +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
VGK · top performer

Tanner Laczynski
C · #28
0
G
3
A
—
SOG
LA · top performer

Quinton Byfield
RW · #55
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


VGK
28-16-14
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
LA
23-20-14
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
7
PIM
19
Season series
VGK wins series 3-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
VGK beat LA 6-4.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| LA | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Period scoring
VGK won 1 · LA won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 301 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
VGK 6·LA 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VGK 6·LA 4
- 3rd·19:32
Alex Turcotte faceoff won against Kai Uchacz
·
VGK 6·LA 4
- 3rd·19:32
Ivan Barbashev Goal (17) Wrist Shot, assists: Tomas Hertl (28), Brayden McNabb (3)
· ·
VGK 6·LA 4
- 3rd·19:25
Tomas Hertl hit Quinton Byfield
·
VGK 5·LA 4
- 3rd·19:10
Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
·
VGK 5·LA 4
- 3rd·18:54
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
VGK 5·LA 4
- 3rd·18:54
Timeout - Home
VGK 5·LA 4
- 3rd·18:54
Brandt Clarke Goal (7) Slap Shot, assists: Adrian Kempe (27), Andrei Kuzmenko (12)
· ·
VGK 5·LA 4
- 3rd·18:40
Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·18:38
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·18:26
Brayden McNabb hit Quinton Byfield
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·18:10
Pavel Dorofeyev Wrist Shot Wide Right
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·17:45
Andrei Kuzmenko shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·17:44
Takeaway by Andrei Kuzmenko
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·17:43
Giveaway by Drew Doughty
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·17:09
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·16:27
Colton Sissons shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·16:25
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Colton Sissons
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·16:21
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·15:59
Colton Sissons faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·15:59
Pavel Dorofeyev Goal (28) Wrist Shot, assists: Tanner Laczynski (5), Braeden Bowman (15)
· ·
VGK 5·LA 3
- 3rd·15:21
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
·
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·15:16
Takeaway by Pavel Dorofeyev
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·15:10
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·15:10
Artemi Panarin Roughing against Jeremy Lauzon
·
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·14:40
Ivan Barbashev faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·14:40
Puck Frozen - Goalie
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·14:38
Jeremy Lauzon hit Brian Dumoulin
·
VGK 4·LA 3
- 3rd·13:50
Alex Laferriere shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
·
VGK 4·LA 3
Team stats
VGK
Away
Stat
LA
Home
25
Shots
19
50.0
PCT
100.0
7
PIM
19
24
Faceoffs W
28
24
Blocks
14
8
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
5
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·VGK +150/LA -180
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 skaters with EDGE
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · DDIST MI54.196
Ivan BarbashevVGK · LWDIST MI44.194
Pavel DorofeyevVGK · RWDIST MI41.193
Kaedan KorczakVGK · DBURSTS1691
Brayden McNabbVGK · DDIST MI42.789
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+150
Close price
+150
Open no-vig
38.4%
Close no-vig
38.4%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit