NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1BUF

BUF

33-19-6

28-28-2

NHLWed, Feb 25FinalSeriesBUF wins series 2-1VegasNJ -112

BUF · top performer

Tage Thompson

C · #72

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Timo Meier

RW · #28

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DoanRW · #91	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:58
J. DunneC · #44	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:15
T. KozakC · #48	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	12:04
P. KrebsC · #19	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	13:41
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	11:49
R. McLeodC · #71	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	17:34
J. NorrisC · #9	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:33
N. OstlundC · #86	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:28
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	15:45
T. ThompsonC · #72	1	1	2	3	1	0	0	19:19
A. TuchRW · #89	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	19:50
J. ZuckerLW · #17	0	0	0	3	1	1	5	13:28

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	23:08
R. DahlinD · #26	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	24:07
M. KesselringD · #8	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	14:43
Z. MetsaD · #73	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:16
O. PowerD · #25	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	21:51
M. SamuelssonD · #23	0	0	0	4	5	1	0	24:15

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
U. LuukkonenG · #1	28	1	27	.964	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. BjugstadC · #72	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	10:35
J. BrattLW · #63	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	18:49
C. BrownRW · #16	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	18:38
P. CotterLW · #47	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7:45
C. GlassC · #12	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	11:53
A. GritsyukRW · #81	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	14:25
L. HameenahoRW · #29	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	12:31
N. HischierC · #13	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	21:11
J. HughesC · #86	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	21:25
T. MeierRW · #28	1	0	1	6	4	0	0	19:47
D. MercerC · #91	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	18:15
M. TsyplakovRW · #42	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	9:20

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DillonD · #5	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	20:15
D. HamiltonD · #7	0	0	0	3	2	3	0	20:02
J. KovacevicD · #8	0	0	-2	0	1	2	2	15:13
S. NemecD · #17	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	22:23
B. PesceD · #22	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	18:50
J. SiegenthalerD · #71	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	15:59

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AllenG · #34	30	2	28	.933	56:44

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BUF wins series 2-1

Nov 28

NJ5@

BUF0

Dec 22

BUF3@

NJ1

Feb 26

BUF2@

NJ1today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUF-10852%

NJ-11253%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat NJ 2-1. T. Thompson led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2
NJ	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

BUF won 1 · NJ won 0

BUF

Play-by-play · 317 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·19:56
Dawson Mercer Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·19:35
Lenni Hameenaho hit Josh Norris
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·19:32
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Bowen Byram
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·18:34
Jesper Bratt hit Tage Thompson
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·18:21
Connor Brown Tip-In Above Crossbar
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·18:09
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Alex Tuch
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:45
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:45
Off-side
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:41
Giveaway by Peyton Krebs
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:30
Cody Glass faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:30
Timo Meier Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Hughes (25), Jesper Bratt (29)
· ·
BUF 2·NJ 1
3rd·17:27
Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·17:19
Giveaway by Owen Power
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·17:16
Timo Meier Tip-In Wide Right
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·17:06
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·16:59
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·16:45
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Owen Power
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·16:16
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·16:03
Simon Nemec hit Tyson Kozak
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:32
Jack Quinn Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:04
Arseny Gritsyuk shot blocked by Bowen Byram
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:44
Owen Power Snap Shot High and Wide Right
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:41
Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Lenni Hameenaho
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:21
Josh Norris faceoff won against Nick Bjugstad
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:21
Icing
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:08
Rasmus Dahlin hit Maksim Tsyplakov
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·13:40
Ryan McLeod Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
BUF 2·NJ 0
3rd·13:33
Timo Meier hit Bowen Byram
·
BUF 2·NJ 0

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -108/NJ -112

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 2–1.

BUF +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.2%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
50.2%
P(NJ win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.2%
P(NJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.2%
P(NJ win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Buffalo SabresNew Jersey Devils

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