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FINAL+1WPG
WPG

WPG

23-26-8

32
VAN

VAN

18-33-7

NHLWed, Feb 25FinalSeriesWPG leads series 2-0VegasWPG -130

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.

VAN +1.5 cashed (WPG won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

6

Season series

WPG leads series 2-0

Nov 12WPGWPG5@VANVAN3
Feb 26WPGWPG3@VANVAN2today
Mar 8VANVAN2@WPGWPG3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPGWPG-13057%
VANVAN+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

WPGWPG
K. Connor

K. Connor

LW

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

E. Comrie

E. Comrie

G

Goaltender

21 SV · 2 GA · .913

VANVAN
E. Kane

E. Kane

LW

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

N. Tolopilo

N. Tolopilo

G

Goaltender

25 SV · 3 GA · .893

How it ended

WPG beat VAN 3-2. K. Connor led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
WPG11013
VAN11002

Period scoring

WPG won 1 · VAN won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

0
0

3

1
0

OT

WPG
VAN

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·1:37

    Game End

    WPG 3·VAN 2

  2. OT·1:37

    End of OT

    WPG 3·VAN 2

  3. OT·1:37

    Cole Perfetti Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Adam Lowry (11), Dylan Samberg (10)

    · ·

    WPG 3·VAN 2

  4. OT·1:12

    Dylan Samberg Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  5. OT·1:03

    Brock Boeser Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  6. OT·0:52

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  7. OT·0:37

    Mark Scheifele Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  8. OT·0:00

    David Kampf faceoff won against Mark Scheifele

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  9. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  10. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  11. 3rd·19:52

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  12. 3rd·19:52

    Puck in Netting

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  13. 3rd·19:51

    Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  14. 3rd·19:23

    Conor Garland Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  15. 3rd·19:20

    Teddy Blueger Snap Shot saved by Eric Comrie

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  16. 3rd·17:54

    David Kampf faceoff won against Jonathan Toews

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  17. 3rd·17:54

    Goalie Stopped

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  18. 3rd·17:51

    Alex Iafallo Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  19. 3rd·17:45

    Alex Iafallo shot blocked by Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  20. 3rd·17:38

    Cole Perfetti Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  21. 3rd·17:24

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  22. 3rd·17:24

    Puck in Netting

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  23. 3rd·17:22

    Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  24. 3rd·17:09

    Conor Garland Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  25. 3rd·16:32

    Filip Hronek Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  26. 3rd·16:26

    Elias Salomonsson Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  27. 3rd·16:23

    Vladislav Namestnikov shot blocked by Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  28. 3rd·16:20

    Dylan Samberg shot blocked by Brock Boeser

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  29. 3rd·16:07

    Giveaway by Brock Boeser

    WPG 2·VAN 2

  30. 3rd·15:42

    Zeev Buium shot blocked by Linus Karlsson

    ·

    WPG 2·VAN 2

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

28

Shots

23

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

6

33

Faceoffs W

32

7

Blocks

21

16

Giveaways

16

3

Takeaways

6

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 6.5·WPG -130/VAN +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
    SKATE MPH24.299
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    iXG34.998
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

  • Elo Static

    52.0%

    P(VAN win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    52.0%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    52.0%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API