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FINAL+1CHI
CHI

CHI

21-22-7

43
CAR

CAR

31-15-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 22FinalSeriesCHI leads series 1-0VegasCAR -298

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Carolina Hurricanes and beat them, 4–3.

CHI +1.5 cashed (CAR lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Ilya Mikheyev

Ilya Mikheyev

RW · #95

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Jackson Blake

Jackson Blake

RW · #53

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
4
3
CHI21-22-7CAR31-15-5
CHI

CHI

21-22-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

31-15-5

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

15

PIM

7

Season series

CHI leads series 1-0

Jan 23CHICHI4@CARCAR3today
Apr 10CARCAR7@CHICHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+24029%
CARCAR-29875%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat CAR 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
CHI111014
CAR111003

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · CAR won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

1
1

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

CHI
CAR

Play-by-play · 332 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Oliver Moore Goal Snap Shot

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  5. SO·0:00

    Mark Jankowski Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Ryan Donato Backhand saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Logan Stankoven Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Andre Burakovsky Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  9. SO·0:00

    K'Andre Miller Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  10. SO·0:00

    Frank Nazar Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  11. SO·0:00

    Seth Jarvis Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  12. SO·0:00

    Connor Bedard Goal Snap Shot

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  13. SO·0:00

    Andrei Svechnikov Goal Snap Shot

    CHI 2·CAR 1

  14. SO·0:00

    Nick Lardis Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 1·CAR 1

  15. SO·0:00

    Jackson Blake Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 0·CAR 1

  16. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    CHI 0·CAR 1

  17. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  18. OT·4:49

    Sean Walker shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  19. OT·4:42

    Sean Walker hit Alex Vlasic

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  20. OT·4:37

    Sebastian Aho hit Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  21. OT·4:03

    Tyler Bertuzzi hit Sean Walker

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  22. OT·4:00

    Tyler Bertuzzi faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  23. OT·4:00

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  24. OT·3:59

    Oliver Moore Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  25. OT·3:51

    Nikolaj Ehlers Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  26. OT·3:46

    Giveaway by Oliver Moore

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  27. OT·3:12

    Frank Nazar Slap Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  28. OT·2:16

    Wyatt Kaiser Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  29. OT·1:31

    Seth Jarvis hit Oliver Moore

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

  30. OT·0:51

    Oliver Moore faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    CHI 3·CAR 3

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

22

Shots

31

0.0

PCT

0.0

15

PIM

7

21

Faceoffs W

39

14

Blocks

6

11

Giveaways

13

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +240/CAR -298

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+240

Close price

+240

Open no-vig

28.2%

Close no-vig

28.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR