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FINAL+1CAR
NYR

NYR

19-17-5

23
CAR

CAR

24-11-3

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriesCAR leads series 2-1VegasCAR -175

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off New York Rangers, 3–2 in overtime.

NYR +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

NYR
Jonny Brodzinski

Jonny Brodzinski

C · #22

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Sebastian Aho

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
2
3
NYR19-17-5CAR24-11-3
NYR

NYR

19-17-5

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

24-11-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

CAR leads series 2-1

Nov 5CARCAR3@NYRNYR0
Nov 27NYRNYR4@CARCAR2
Dec 30NYRNYR2@CARCAR3today
Feb 6CARCAR2@NYRNYR0

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYRNYR+14541%
CARCAR-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat NYR 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
NYR11002
CAR10113

Period scoring

NYR won 1 · CAR won 2

1
1

1

1
0

2

0
1

3

0
1

OT

NYR
CAR

Play-by-play · 361 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·4:47

    Game End

    NYR 2·CAR 3

  2. OT·4:47

    End of OT

    NYR 2·CAR 3

  3. OT·4:47

    Jackson Blake Goal (12) Tip-In, assists: Sebastian Aho (21), Nikolaj Ehlers (18)

    · ·

    NYR 2·CAR 3

  4. OT·4:34

    Jackson Blake Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  5. OT·4:16

    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Jackson Blake

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  6. OT·4:10

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  7. OT·4:10

    Puck in Netting

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  8. OT·4:07

    Sebastian Aho Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  9. OT·4:02

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  10. OT·4:02

    On-Ice Official

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  11. OT·4:02

    Puck in Crowd

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  12. OT·4:00

    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Braden Schneider

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  13. OT·3:44

    Sebastian Aho Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  14. OT·3:34

    Sebastian Aho Slap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  15. OT·3:08

    Andrei Svechnikov Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  16. OT·3:01

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  17. OT·3:01

    Matthew Robertson Tripping against Taylor Hall

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  18. OT·1:54

    Nikolaj Ehlers Slap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  19. OT·1:12

    Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  20. OT·0:00

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  21. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  22. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  23. 3rd·19:50

    Noah Laba faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  24. 3rd·19:50

    Icing

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  25. 3rd·18:44

    William Carrier hit Vladislav Gavrikov

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  26. 3rd·18:41

    Giveaway by Sean Walker

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  27. 3rd·18:37

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  28. 3rd·18:37

    Hand Pass

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  29. 3rd·18:22

    Will Cuylle hit Andrei Svechnikov

    ·

    NYR 2·CAR 2

  30. 3rd·18:13

    Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    NYR 2·CAR 2

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

20

Shots

35

50.0

PCT

50.0

8

PIM

4

29

Faceoffs W

43

18

Blocks

11

15

Giveaways

18

4

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +145/CAR -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795
  • Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
    BURSTS3995
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR