NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2STL

MTL

22-13-6

STL

17-18-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 3FinalSeriesSTL wins series 2-0VegasMTL -155

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues held off Montreal Canadiens, 2–0.

STL +1.5 cashed (MTL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MTL · top performer

Owen Beck

C · #62

0Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Jonatan Berggren

RW · #29

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

MTL22-13-6

STL17-18-8

MTL22-13-6STL17-18-8

MTL

22-13-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

STL

17-18-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

STL wins series 2-0

Dec 8

STL4@

MTL3

Jan 3

MTL0@

STL2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MTL-15561%

STL+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

STL beat MTL 2-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
MTL	0	0	0	0
STL	1	1	0	2

Period scoring

MTL won 0 · STL won 2

MTL

STL

Play-by-play · 290 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·19:28
Brayden Schenn Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·19:19
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Nick Suzuki
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·19:19
Icing
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·19:15
Brayden Schenn Snap Shot Wide Right
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·19:11
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:58
Lane Hutson Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:41
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Juraj Slafkovský
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:41
Puck in Netting
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:36
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Colton Parayko
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:26
Otto Stenberg shot blocked by Lane Hutson
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·18:16
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·17:15
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·17:15
Goalie Stopped
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·17:12
Pavel Buchnevich Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Fowler
· ·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:54
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Brayden Schenn
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:54
High Stick
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:50
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:48
Ivan Demidov Slap Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:44
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:39
Noah Dobson Snap Shot Wide Right
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:19
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·16:19
Icing
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·15:45
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Nick Suzuki
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·15:45
Off-side
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·15:30
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·14:57
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Colton Parayko
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·14:51
Cole Caufield Wrap-around saved by Jordan Binnington
·
MTL 0·STL 2
3rd·14:39
Giveaway by Jimmy Snuggerud
MTL 0·STL 2

Team stats

MTL

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·MTL -155/STL +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699
Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Arber XhekajMTL · D
SHOT MPH98.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

STL vs MTL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Dylan HollowaySTL
3.1± 1.3high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
2.6± 2.1high

Goals

Robert ThomasSTL
0.7± 1.2high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Alex NewhookMTL
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Robert ThomasSTL
1.4± 1.1high
Dylan HollowaySTL
1.2± 1.1high
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
1.0± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands