NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

NYI

25-16-5

WPG

18-22-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 13FinalSeriesWPG wins series 2-0VegasWPG -130

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets held off New York Islanders, 5–4.

NYI +1.5 cashed (WPG won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

Emil Heineman

LW · #51

2Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYI25-16-5

WPG18-22-5

NYI25-16-5WPG18-22-5

NYI

25-16-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WPG

18-22-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WPG wins series 2-0

Oct 13

WPG5@

NYI2

Jan 14

NYI4@

WPG5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI+11048%

WPG-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat NYI 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	3	1	4
WPG	1	4	0	5

Period scoring

NYI won 1 · WPG won 2

NYI

WPG

Play-by-play · 284 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:56
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
·
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:32
Nino Niederreiter hit Matthew Schaefer
·
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:14
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:14
Timeout - Visitor
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:14
Matthew Schaefer Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Mathew Barzal (26), Emil Heineman (8)
· ·
NYI 4·WPG 5
3rd·19:05
Neal Pionk hit Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:14
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:14
Icing
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:09
Josh Morrissey Wrist Shot Wide Left
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:06
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:06
Icing
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·18:04
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot Wide Right
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·17:44
Emil Heineman Slap Shot Wide Left
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·17:23
Anders Lee Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·17:22
Anders Lee Backhand saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·17:21
Calum Ritchie Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·17:20
Emil Heineman Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·16:40
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·16:40
Icing
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·16:25
Jonathan Drouin faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·16:25
Goalie Stopped
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·16:23
Adam Lowry Backhand Wide Left
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·15:25
Emil Heineman shot blocked by Danil Zhilkin
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·13:23
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Mathew Barzal
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·13:23
Off-side
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·12:50
Jonathan Drouin faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·12:50
On-Ice Official
NYI 3·WPG 5
3rd·12:47
Dylan Samberg hit Emil Heineman
·
NYI 3·WPG 5

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI +110/WPG -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

WPG vs NYI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kyle PalmieriNYI
2.7± 1.6high

Goals

Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Anders LeeNYI
0.3± 0.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
0.3± 0.4high

Points

Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Kyle ConnorWPG
1.0± 0.9high
Gabriel VilardiWPG
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands