
BUF
20-14-4

STL
15-17-8
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
uffalo Sabres went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 4–2.
BUF -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
BUF · top performer

Zach Benson
LW · #6
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
STL · top performer

Robby Fabbri
C · #9
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


BUF
20-14-4
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
STL
15-17-8
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
2
PIM
6
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BUF -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BUF beat STL 4-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| STL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
BUF won 2 · STL won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 300 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 4·STL 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 4·STL 2
- 3rd·19:39
Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Josh Norris
·
BUF 4·STL 2
- 3rd·18:44
Dalibor Dvorsky faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 4·STL 2
- 3rd·18:44
Peyton Krebs Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Beck Malenstyn (3)
·
BUF 4·STL 2
- 3rd·18:37
Giveaway by Jake Neighbours
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:56
Philip Broberg shot blocked by Robert Thomas
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:51
Justin Faulk Slap Shot Wide Left
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:33
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:33
Goalie Stopped
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:31
Rasmus Dahlin Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:15
Tage Thompson Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·16:02
Colton Parayko hit Josh Doan
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·15:55
Oskar Sundqvist faceoff won against Josh Norris
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·15:55
Pavel Buchnevich High-sticking against Zach Metsa
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·15:02
Giveaway by Michael Kesselring
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:49
Giveaway by Alex Tuch
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:44
Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Alexey Toropchenko
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:41
Giveaway by Philip Broberg
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:36
Michael Kesselring Slap Shot Wide Right
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:34
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Colton Parayko
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:32
Josh Norris faceoff won against Brayden Schenn
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:32
Goalie Stopped
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:31
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Mathieu Joseph
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·14:22
Justin Faulk hit Jack Quinn
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·13:59
Jack Quinn Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·13:53
Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·13:53
Goalie Stopped
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·13:51
Rasmus Dahlin Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
BUF 3·STL 2
- 3rd·13:38
Takeaway by Tage Thompson
BUF 3·STL 2
Team stats
BUF
Away
Stat
STL
Home
34
Shots
18
0.0
PCT
0.0
2
PIM
6
30
Faceoffs W
24
11
Blocks
18
12
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
3
Betting line
BUF -1.5·O/U 5.5·BUF -115/STL -105
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Ryan McLeodBUF · CBURSTS7299
Philip BrobergSTL · DBURSTS15898
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RWSHOT MPH95.697
Colton ParaykoSTL · DBURSTS9494
Cam FowlerSTL · DDIST MI260.294
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · STL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-105
Close price
-105
Open no-vig
48.9%
Close no-vig
48.9%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss