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FINAL+1NYI
NYI

NYI

22-14-4

32
CHI

CHI

14-18-7

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 30FinalSeriesNYI lead series 1-0VegasNYI -135

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 3–2.

CHI +1.5 cashed (NYI won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
3
2
NYI22-14-4CHI14-18-7
NYI

NYI

22-14-4

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

14-18-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

NYI lead series 1-0

Dec 31NYINYI3@CHICHI2today
Mar 24CHICHI4@NYINYI3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYINYI-13557%
CHICHI+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat CHI 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
NYI200013
CHI020002

Period scoring

NYI won 2 · CHI won 1

2
0

1

0
2

2

0
0

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

NYI
CHI

Play-by-play · 318 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  4. SO·0:00

    Ryan Donato Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich

    ·

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  5. SO·0:00

    Bo Horvat Goal Snap Shot

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  6. SO·0:00

    Teuvo Teravainen Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich

    ·

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  7. SO·0:00

    Mathew Barzal Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  8. SO·0:00

    Nick Lardis Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  9. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    NYI 1·CHI 0

  10. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  11. OT·4:54

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Nick Foligno

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  12. OT·4:54

    Icing

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  13. OT·4:28

    Anders Lee Tip-In saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  14. OT·4:08

    Giveaway by Mathew Barzal

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  15. OT·3:15

    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Alex Vlasic

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  16. OT·2:43

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Ilya Mikheyev

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  17. OT·2:43

    Off-side

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  18. OT·2:43

    Artyom Levshunov Tripping against Emil Heineman

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  19. OT·1:52

    Teuvo Teravainen Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  20. OT·1:30

    Matthew Schaefer Slap Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  21. OT·1:15

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  22. OT·1:09

    Giveaway by Bo Horvat

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  23. OT·0:56

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  24. OT·0:43

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Bo Horvat

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  25. OT·0:43

    Goalie Stopped

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  26. OT·0:40

    Nick Lardis Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  27. OT·0:00

    Jonathan Drouin faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  28. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  29. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NYI 2·CHI 2

  30. 3rd·19:54

    Nick Foligno Wrist Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    NYI 2·CHI 2

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

21

Shots

19

33.3

PCT

50.0

6

PIM

8

27

Faceoffs W

23

9

Blocks

16

24

Giveaways

12

6

Takeaways

5

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI -135/CHI +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
    BURSTS26999+
  • Ryan PulockNYI · D
    SHOT MPH103.099+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Mathew BarzalNYI · C
    DIST MI274.399
  • Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
    SHOT MPH97.399

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR