Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos: Live Score & Box Score

Empower Field at Mile High · Denver, CO

12:04 - 2ND+3DEN

0-1

710

DEN

1-0

NFL · Drive chart

5 drives · 2 TD · 1 FG · 1 Punt

TDGB12p · 63y
TDDEN6p · 65y
PuntGB5p · 14y
FGDEN9p · 25y
—GB4p

Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · DEN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick

Receipts

Player props

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

league avg

DEN

24.7

Pts / game

◀

23.5

24.0

346

Yds / game

342

▶

350

226

Pass yds / G

225

▶

231

120

Rush yds / G

117

119

0.6

TO / G

◀

0.9

0.8

Team pages

Green Bay PackersDenver Broncos

Elsewhere in the NFL

Player
Jordan Love · #10	5/7	56	1	0
Tyrod Taylor · #6	2/5	8	0	0
Team	7/12	64	1	0

Player
Evan Williams · #33	3	2	0	0
Zaire Franklin · #44	3	0	0	0
Chris McClellan · #55	3	0	0	0
Karl Brooks · #94	2	1	0	1
Benjamin St-Juste · #21	1	1	0	0
Kitan Oladapo · #27	1	1	0	0
Kamal Hadden · #36	1	1	0	1
Edgerrin Cooper · #56	1	1	0	0
Lukas Van Ness · #90	1	0	0	0
Team	16	7	0	2

Player
Pierre Strong Jr. · #22	2	89	68	0
Skyy Moore · #23	1	30	30	0
Team	3	119	68	0

Player
Trey Smack · #28S	0/0	0	1/1	1
Team	0/0	0	1/1	1

Player
Daniel Whelan · #19	1	44	44.0	0
Team	1	44	44.0	0

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

3 sub-models, blended.

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Kick Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Punt Returns

Kicking

Player
MarShawn Lloyd · #32	6	17	0	7
Tyrod Taylor · #6	2	7	0	4
Chris Brooks · #30	1	2	0	2
Team	9	26	0	7

Player
Matthew Golden · #0	1	19	0	19
Christian Watson · #9	2	19	0	14
MarShawn Lloyd · #32	1	11	1	11
Drake Dabney · #49	1	7	0	7
Skyy Moore · #23	1	7	0	7
Chris Brooks · #30	1	1	0	1
Bo Melton · #16	0	0	0	0
Team	7	64	1	19

Player
Jonah Coleman · #20	3	9	0	5
Adam Prentice · #46	1	5	0	5
RJ Harvey · #12	1	5	0	5
Team	5	19	0	5

Player
Jaylen Waddle · #17	1	35	0	35
RJ Harvey · #12	2	25	1	21
Lil'Jordan Humphrey · #5	1	14	0	14
Adam Trautman · #82	1	4	0	4
Courtland Sutton · #14	0	0	0	0
Pat Bryant · #13	0	0	0	0
Jonah Coleman · #20	1	-2	0	-2
Team	6	76	1	35

Player
Pat Surtain II · #2	4	3	0	0
Nik Bonitto · #15	3	3	0	0
Brandon Jones · #22	2	2	0	0
Talanoa Hufanga · #9	2	2	0	0
Alex Singleton · #49	2	1	0	0
Kris Abrams-Draine · #31	2	1	0	0
JL Skinner · #34	1	1	0	0
Sean Fresch · #37D	1	1	0	0
Que Robinson · #51	1	1	0	0
Karene Reid · #47	1	1	0	0
Tyler Badie · #28	1	0	0	0
Malcolm Roach · #97	0	0	0	0
Riley Moss · #21	0	0	0	0
Team	20	16	0	0

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Bo Nix · #10	6/9	76	1	0
Team	6/9	76	1	0