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GB#7 · National Football Conference
Green Bay Packers
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#14 of 32
Elo rating 1529.8 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-14 → 2026-01-10 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 8 at DEN, 26-34, 2025-12-14. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 6 at CHI, 16-22, 2025-12-20. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 17 vs BAL, 24-41, 2025-12-27. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 13 at MIN, 3-16, 2026-01-04. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 4 at CHI, 27-31, 2026-01-10. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 3rd of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 920 graded plays; the defense ranked 22nd across 951.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
920 off plays · 951 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.140
Team EPA per play
3rd of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.051
Team EPA per play allowed
22nd of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split920/951 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays+0.14094
3rd of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.088 (9th)
Success48.9%90
4th of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 45.9% (13th)
Explosive9.6%90
4th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 11.6% (1st)
Dropbacks+0.28897
2nd of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.151 (12th)
Rushes-0.05645
18th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG +0.024 (8th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.05132
22nd of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG -0.018 (9th)
Success45.0%42
19th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 46.1% (25th)
Explosive7.1%65
12th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.1% (19th)
Dropbacks+0.12426
24th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.019 (8th)
Rushes-0.04445
18th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.074 (14th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG +0.140 · 2024 REG +0.088 · +0.051
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.051 · 2024 REG -0.018 · +0.068
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 920 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Jordan Love23 TD3,381
- 2Malik Willis3 TD422
- 3Clayton Tune0 TD42
Rushing yards
- 1Josh Jacobs13 TD929
- 2Emanuel Wilson3 TD496
- 3Jordan Love0 TD199
- 4Malik Willis2 TD123
- 5Chris Brooks0 TD106
Receiving yards
- 1Romeo Doubs6 TD724
- 2Christian Watson6 TD611
- 3Tucker Kraft6 TD489
- 4Matthew Golden0 TD361
- 5Dontayvion Wicks2 TD332
Receptions
- 1Romeo Doubs16 G55
- 2Josh Jacobs15 G36
- 3Christian Watson10 G35
- 4Tucker Kraft8 G32
- 5Dontayvion Wicks13 G30
Total TDs
- 1Jordan Love15 G23
- 2Josh Jacobs15 G14
- 3Romeo Doubs16 G6
- 4Christian Watson10 G6
- 5Tucker Kraft8 G6
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Jordan Love
485 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate79.5
- EPA / play+0.279
- Accuracy +3.9%
- Pressure0.2%
Built on +0.279 EPA/play and 3.9% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Strong
avg rank 12.4
YDS
16th
Total yards
PASS
18th
Pass yards
RUSH
15th
Rush yards
PTS
11th
Points
TO
2nd
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
65% pass · 35% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
346vs 342 yds/GLeague avg
Passing yards
226vs 225 yds/GLeague avg
Rushing yards
120vs 117 yds/GLeague avg
Points scored
24.7vs 23.5 pts/GSlight edge
Turnovers
0.60vs 0.90 TO/GAbove avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 6 picks
The new arrivals.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 4
Signed WR Christian Watson to a contract extension.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 46
The attack
A. Banks
G · #65
A. Belton
OT · #71
B. Melton
WR · #16
B. Banks
OT · #72
B. Rice
WR · #89
C. Brooks
RB · #30
C. Watson
WR · #9
D. Cooper
OT · #78
D. Martinez
RB · #26
D. Kinnard
OT · #70
D. Wade
G · #68
D. Jennings
G · #67
D. Dabney
TE · #49
D. Barrett
G · #74
I. Neyor
WR · #80
J. Michael Sturdivant
WR · #87
J. Monk
C · #62
J. Nixon
RB · #35
J. Burton
C · #52
J. Reed
WR · #11
J. Williams
G · #73
J. Love
QB · #10
J. Morgan
G · #77
J. Gesky
G · #76
J. Jacobs
RB · #8
J. Whyle
TE · #81
K. Prather
WR · #89
K. Barnhart
G · #61
K. McCord
QB · #18
K. Drones
QB · #13
L. Lachey
TE · #86
L. Musgrave
TE · #88
M. Lloyd
RB · #32
M. Golden
WR · #0
M. Swinson
TE · #43
P. Strong Jr.
RB · #22
R. Maryland
TE · #48
S. Williams
WR · #83
S. Rhyan
G · #75
S. Moore
WR · #23
T. Yassmin
TE · #84
T. Glover
OT · #79
T. Kraft
TE · #85
T. Taylor
QB · #6
W. Sheppard
WR · #82
Z. Tom
OT · #50
Defense · 42
The stop unit
A. Campbell
DT · #60
A. Mosby
DE · #53
B. Sorrell
DE · #99
B. St-Juste
CB · #21
B. Cisse
CB · #2
B. Cox Jr.
DE · #57
C. Valentine
CB · #24
C. McClellan
DT · #55
C. Oliver
DE · #45
D. Dennis-Sutton
DE · #51
D. Wyatt
DT · #95
D. Jackson
CB · #20
E. Cooper
LB · #56
E. Williams
S · #33
I. McDuffie
LB · #58
J. Crumedy
DT · #63
J. Bullard
S · #7
J. Hargrave
DT · #98
J. Simpson
S · #38
J. Baldwin II
S · #37
J. Ford
DT · #64
J. Riley
DT · #97
K. Hadden
CB · #36
K. Brooks
DT · #94
K. Nixon
CB · #25
K. Oladapo
S · #27
K. Welch
LB · #54
L. Van Ness
DE · #90
M. Perry
S · #41
M. Jones
CB · #46
M. Parsons
DE · #1
M. Devonshire Jr.
CB · #28
M. Kenion III
S · #39
N. Stackhouse
DT · #93
N. Niemann
LB · #31
N. Kelly
DE · #47
S. Bartholomew
CB · #34
T. Quinn
LB · #40
T. Hopper
LB · #59
W. Brinson
DT · #91
X. McKinney
S · #29
Z. Franklin
LB · #44
Special teams · 4
