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LAR#8 · National Football Conference
Los Angeles Rams
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#4 of 32
Elo rating 1597.7 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-29 → 2026-01-25 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 3 at ATL, 24-27, 2025-12-29. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 17 vs ARI, 37-20, 2026-01-04. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 3 at CAR, 34-31, 2026-01-10. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 3 at CHI, 20-17, 2026-01-18. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 4 at SEA, 27-31, 2026-01-25. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 2nd of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 890 graded plays; the defense ranked 9th across 887.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
890 off plays · 887 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.161
Team EPA per play
2nd of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.038
Team EPA per play allowed
9th of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split890/887 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays+0.16197
2nd of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.015 (16th)
Success52.5%99+
1st of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 47.0% (10th)
Explosive10.9%99+
1st of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.1% (24th)
Dropbacks+0.23394
3rd of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.062 (16th)
Rushes+0.03584
6th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.049 (13th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays-0.03874
9th of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG +0.028 (18th)
Success42.7%77
8th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 45.4% (23rd)
Explosive6.4%87
5th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.9% (14th)
Dropbacks-0.00965
12th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.084 (20th)
Rushes-0.07974
9th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.055 (20th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG +0.161 · 2024 REG +0.015 · +0.146
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG -0.038 · 2024 REG +0.028 · -0.067
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 890 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Matthew Stafford46 TD4,707
Rushing yards
- 1Kyren Williams10 TD1,252
- 2Blake Corum6 TD746
- 3Puka Nacua1 TD105
- 4Ronnie Rivers0 TD46
- 5Jordan Whittington0 TD12
Receiving yards
- 1Puka Nacua10 TD1,715
- 2Davante Adams14 TD789
- 3Colby Parkinson8 TD408
- 4Xavier Smith0 TD303
- 5Tyler Higbee3 TD281
Receptions
- 1Puka Nacua16 G129
- 2Davante Adams14 G60
- 3Colby Parkinson14 G43
- 4Kyren Williams17 G36
- 5Tyler Higbee10 G25
Total TDs
- 1Matthew Stafford17 G46
- 2Davante Adams14 G14
- 3Kyren Williams17 G13
- 4Puka Nacua16 G11
- 5Colby Parkinson14 G8
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Matthew Stafford
716 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate70.0
- EPA / play+0.190
- Accuracy +0.8%
- Pressure0.2%
Built on +0.190 EPA/play and 0.8% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Elite
avg rank 4.0
YDS
2nd
Total yards
PASS
2nd
Pass yards
RUSH
7th
Rush yards
PTS
1st
Points
TO
8th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
69% pass · 31% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
404vs 342 yds/GAbove avg
Passing yards
277vs 225 yds/GAbove avg
Rushing yards
127vs 117 yds/GSlight edge
Points scored
38.5vs 23.5 pts/GAbove avg
Turnovers
0.80vs 0.90 TO/GSlight edge
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 5 picks
The new arrivals.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 9
Signed OLB Tomon Fox to a contract.
- Jun 4
Placed OL Chad Lindberg and OLB Eddie Walls III on injured reserve. Signed DT Time Kennan III to a rookie contract.
- Jun 2
Waived DE Jalen Logan-Redding.
- Jun 1
Traded LB Jared Verse, a 2027 first-round draft pick, a 2028 second-round draft pick and a 2029 third-round draft pick to Cleveland Browns for DE Myles Garrett.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 44
The attack
A. Arcuri
OT · #61
A. Jackson
OT · #77
A. Blaske
OT · #64
B. Limmer
C · #50
B. Murray
G · #66
B. Corum
RB · #24
B. Hance
G · #72
B. Presley
WR · #81
B. Henderson
OT · #70
C. Daniels
WR · #6
C. Parkinson
TE · #84
C. Shelton
C · #65
D. Villari
TE · #38
D. Adams
WR · #17
D. Quessenberry
OT · #68
D. Allen
TE · #87
D. Connors
RB · #33
D. McMahon
C · #63
J. Hunter
RB · #27
J. Waters
RB · #32
J. Whittington
WR · #88
J. Dedich
G · #67
K. Trost
OT · #79
K. Dotson
G · #69
K. Mumpfield
WR · #4
K. Williams
RB · #23
M. Williams
WR · #14
M. Redman
TE · #83
M. Caldwell
QB · #2
M. Stafford
QB · #9
M. Klare
TE · #86
P. Nacua
WR · #12
R. Jones
TE · #46
R. Rivers
RB · #20
S. Bennett IV
QB · #13
S. Avila
G · #73
T. Ferguson
TE · #18
T. Edwards
WR · #16
T. Simpson
QB · #15
T. Higbee
TE · #89
T. Scott
WR · #82
W. McClendon Jr.
OT · #71
W. Bowles
G · #60
X. Smith
WR · #19
Defense · 42
The stop unit
A. Hamilton
CB · #31
A. Cook
S · #39
A. Johnson
CB · #36
B. Norton
DT · #93
B. Fiske
DE · #55
B. Young
LB · #0
C. Lampkin
CB · #21
D. Peterson III
LB · #59
D. Johnson
DE · #94
D. Norwood
CB · #26
E. Walls III
LB · #51
E. Neal
LB · #58
E. Forbes Jr.
CB · #1
G. Stuard
LB · #44
J. Moi
DT · #98
J. McCollough
S · #2
J. Watson
CB · #35
J. Stewart
LB · #10
J. Wallace
CB · #30
K. Curl
S · #3
K. Kinchens
S · #5
K. Thomas II
LB · #11
K. Turner
DE · #91
L. Murchison
DE · #52
M. Garrett
DE · #95
N. Landman
LB · #53
N. Valcarcel
S · #43
N. Andersen
S · #45
N. Hill-Green
LB · #54
N. Fourqurean
CB · #25
O. Speights
LB · #48
P. Zdroik
DT · #62
P. Ford
DT · #97
Q. Lake
S · #37
S. Dolac
LB · #56
T. Ingle
S · #34
T. Keenan III
DT · #96
T. Fox
LB · #51
T. McDuffie
CB · #22
T. Hamilton
DT · #57
T. Davis
DE · #90
W. Bailey
LB · #47
Special teams · 3
