
DET
55-59

SEA
56-59
Line movement
200 snapshots
SEA spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 8.0
open O/U 8.0
SEA no-vig %
58.3%
open 57.2% · +1.1
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SEA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Matchup · 2026
MLB Stats API
DET
league avg
SEA
.729
OPS
.719
.688
.319
OBP
.318
.310
4.52
Runs / G
4.50
3.98
3.57
Team ERA
4.18
3.77
1.21
WHIP
1.30
▶1.19
8.5
K / 9
8.5
▶8.7
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
SEA wins
DET 2 · SEA 4 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked SEA +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
On the call · MLB
4 officials
Home Plate Umpire
Carlos Torres
First Base Umpire
Mark Wegner
Second Base Umpire
Steven Jaschinski
Third Base Umpire
Nate Tomlinson
Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.
Line shopping · 1 book
Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.
DET
no live price
SEA
no live price
| Book | DET | SEA | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +108 | -124 | +0.8 |
Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.
DET · top performer

Dillon Dingler
C
3-2
AB-H
1
R
2
RBI
SEA · top performer

Julio Rodriguez
CF
3-2
AB-H
1
R
3
RBI
Biggest swing: 33pp · Bottom 6th Inning
MLB · Box scoreADVANCED
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .282 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .268 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .275 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| .276 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .269 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .218 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| .368 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .412 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .219 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .266 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 29 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| Player | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | |
| 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | |
| Team | 8.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 104 |
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .265 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .284 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .254 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| .258 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| .260 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .162 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .264 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .167 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .199 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| .241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 28 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Player | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 91 | |
| 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| Team | 9.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 120 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
Hits
7
2
Runs
4
0
Errors
0
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
2
Runs
4
4
Hits
7
0
Errors
0
7
TB
14
1
HR
2
1
BB
2
9
K
3
11
LOB
9
Current series
Series tied 1-1
Season series
DET leads series 3-2
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
7· 4h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
SEA beat DET 4-2. J. Rodriguez led the way — 2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS. Rodr's play in the bottom 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (33pp).
Win probability
SEA vs DET
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactTorres · singled to right.
Rodr · íguez homered to right (366 feet), Arozarena scored and Canzone scored.
Dingler · homered to center (424 feet), Torres scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | — | 4 |
Period scoring
DET won 1 · SEA won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Rodr 3
Inn 7
Inn 8
Dingler 2
Emerson 1
Inn 9
Play-by-play · 466 plays
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Clark grounded out to second.
·
DET 2·SEA 4
+0.9pp
Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 1 : Ball 1
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Andres Munoz pitches to Max Clark
·
DET 2·SEA 4
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Torkelson struck out swinging.
·
DET 2·SEA 4
+2pp
Pitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 3 : Ball 1
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Andres Munoz pitches to Spencer Torkelson
·
DET 2·SEA 4
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Keith struck out swinging.
·
DET 2·SEA 4
+3pp
Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 4 : Ball 2
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Looking
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 2 : Ball 1
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Andres Munoz pitches to Colt Keith
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Muñoz relieved Bazardo
·
DET 2·SEA 4
Robles in right field.
DET 2·SEA 4
Top of the 9th inning
DET 2·SEA 4
End of the 8th inning
DET 2·SEA 4
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
Rodríguez flied out to right.
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
−0.6pp
Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Foul
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
Enmanuel De Jesus pitches to Julio Rodriguez
· ·
DET 2·SEA 4
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·DET +136/SEA -144
Recap · MLB
eattle Mariners held off Detroit Tigers, 4–2.
SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Team pages
Elsewhere in the MLB
The receipts
-1.26
CLV pp
Open price
+123
Close price
+130
Open no-vig
42.8%
Close no-vig
41.6%
Market faded the model · Graded: miss
How we read this game