HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Bratt (ARI): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBP. Crow-Armstrong (CHC): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over LAD
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: RHP Lou Trivino III elected free agency (Aug 5)
LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Harrison (MIL): 5.0 IP · 10 K in a win over PIT
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER in a win over MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Sent RHP Bobby Miller on a rehab assignment to Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 5)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAD. Malonga (SEA): 31 PTS · 10 REB · 3 AST against NY
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Austin (WSH): 27 PTS · 13 REB · 2 AST in a win over DAL
TRANSACTION · MLBDiamondbacks: Reinstated C Gabriel Moreno from the paternity list (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NBARockets: Waived G JD Davison (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Reinstated LB T.J (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NFLBrowns: Reverted WR Aaron Anderson to injured reserve after he cleared waivers (Aug 5)
TONIGHT · WNBALA @ MIN, 8/6 - 9:00 PM EDT — MIN -15.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Bratt (ARI): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBP. Crow-Armstrong (CHC): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over LAD
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: RHP Lou Trivino III elected free agency (Aug 5)
LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Harrison (MIL): 5.0 IP · 10 K in a win over PIT
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER in a win over MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Sent RHP Bobby Miller on a rehab assignment to Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 5)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAD. Malonga (SEA): 31 PTS · 10 REB · 3 AST against NY
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Austin (WSH): 27 PTS · 13 REB · 2 AST in a win over DAL
TRANSACTION · MLBDiamondbacks: Reinstated C Gabriel Moreno from the paternity list (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NBARockets: Waived G JD Davison (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Reinstated LB T.J (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · NFLBrowns: Reverted WR Aaron Anderson to injured reserve after he cleared waivers (Aug 5)
TONIGHT · WNBALA @ MIN, 8/6 - 9:00 PM EDT — MIN -15.5
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
FINAL+2SEA
DET

DET

55-59

2
4
SEA

SEA

56-59

T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
40,743 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

SEA spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 8.0

open O/U 8.0

SEA no-vig %

58.3%

open 57.2% · +1.1

-1.0-2.0SEA SPREADO/U 8.5O/U 7.5TOTAL62.3%53.2%SEA NO-VIG %MODEL 54.3%Aug 4, 9 PMAug 5, 1 AM

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SEA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

DET

DET

league avg

SEA

SEA

.729

OPS

◀

.719

.688

.319

OBP

◀

.318

.310

4.52

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.98

3.57

Team ERA

◀

4.18

3.77

1.21

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.19

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

DET 2 · SEA 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
DET0000000202
SEA000003014

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 65-35
63%Last 30 · 265-155
Receipts →

On the call · MLB

4 officials

Home Plate Umpire

Carlos Torres

First Base Umpire

Mark Wegner

Second Base Umpire

Steven Jaschinski

Third Base Umpire

Nate Tomlinson

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

DET

no live price

SEA

no live price

BookDETSEABest edge
DraftKings+108-124+0.8

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

MLB·Wed, Aug 5·Final/Seriestied 1-1/VegasSEA -144
Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1B. HanifeeDET−37.4pp
  2. 2R. ArozarenaSEA+32.6pp
  3. 3D. CanzoneSEA+30.0pp

DET · top performer

DET
Dillon Dingler

Dillon Dingler

C

2.417OPS

3-2

AB-H

1

R

2

RBI

SEA · top performer

SEA
Julio Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez

CF

2.417OPS

3-2

AB-H

1

R

3

RBI

Game flowDET ↔ SEA

Biggest swing: 33pp · Bottom 6th Inning

MLB · Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners · final

MLB · Box scoreADVANCED

Final

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. McGonigleSS
.2824000000
G. Torres2B
.2683110001
D. DinglerC
.2753122111
R. GreeneLF
.2763000001
C. Keith3B
.2694000001
S. Torkelson1B
.2184000002
M. ClarkCF
.3683010001
E. ValenciaC
.4123000001
Z. McKinstry2B
.2191000000
- H. Lee2B
.2661000001
- J. OutmanCF
.1760000000
Team29242119

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. AndersonRP
3.23001042
T. HoltonRP
2.00000123
B. HanifeeRP
0.0233106
D. SommersRP
0.1000014
E. De JesusRP
2.02110129
Team8.074423104

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Young2B
.2654000000
R. ArozarenaLF
.2844120000
D. CanzoneDH
.2543100010
J. RodriguezCF
.2583123110
J. Naylor1B
.2603000001
C. RaleighC
.1622000001
B. Donovan3B
.2643010000
T. WardLF
.1673010001
C. EmersonSS
.1993111100
- V. RoblesRF
.2410000000
Team28474223

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WooSP
7.03001591
G. SpeierRP
0.2011019
E. BazardoRP
0.1111019
A. MunozRP
1.00000211
Team9.042219120

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

Hits

7

2

Runs

4

0

Errors

0

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

2

Runs

4

4

Hits

7

0

Errors

0

7

TB

14

1

HR

2

1

BB

2

9

K

3

11

LOB

9

Current series

Series tied 1-1

Aug 5DETDET8@SEASEA0
Aug 6DETDET2@SEASEA4today
Aug 6DETDET@SEASEAupcoming

Season series

DET leads series 3-2

Jun 5SEASEA3@DETDET7
Jun 6SEASEA4@DETDET0
Jun 7SEASEA4@DETDET5
Aug 5DETDET8@SEASEA0
Aug 6DETDET2@SEASEA4today
Aug 6DETDET@SEASEAupcoming

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+13642%
SEASEA-14459%

↘7· 4h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat DET 4-2. J. Rodriguez led the way — 2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS. Rodr's play in the bottom 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (33pp).

Win probability

SEA vs DET

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
DETTop 4th Inning · 0-0
+15pp→ 49% WP

Torres · singled to right.

SEABottom 6th Inning · 0-3
+33pp→ 92% WP

Rodr · íguez homered to right (366 feet), Arozarena scored and Canzone scored.

DETTop 8th Inning · 2-3
+9pp→ 13% WP

Dingler · homered to center (424 feet), Torres scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
DET0000000202
SEA00000301—4

Period scoring

DET won 1 · SEA won 1

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
3

Inn 6

Rodr 3

0
0

Inn 7

2
1

Inn 8

Dingler 2

Emerson 1

0

Inn 9

DET
SEA

Play-by-play · 466 plays

period
event
player
  1. T9

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  2. T9

    Clark grounded out to second.

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

    +0.9pp

  3. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball In Play

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  4. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  5. T9

    Andres Munoz pitches to Max Clark

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  6. T9

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  7. T9

    Torkelson struck out swinging.

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

    +2pp

  8. T9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  9. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 1

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  10. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  11. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  12. T9

    Andres Munoz pitches to Spencer Torkelson

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  13. T9

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  14. T9

    Keith struck out swinging.

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

    +3pp

  15. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  16. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  17. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Looking

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  18. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  19. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  20. T9

    Andres Munoz pitches to Colt Keith

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  21. T9

    Muñoz relieved Bazardo

    ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  22. T9

    Robles in right field.

    DET 2·SEA 4

  23. T9

    Top of the 9th inning

    DET 2·SEA 4

  24. End 8t

    End of the 8th inning

    DET 2·SEA 4

  25. B8

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  26. B8

    Rodríguez flied out to right.

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

    −0.6pp

  27. B8

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  28. B8

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  29. B8

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

  30. B8

    Enmanuel De Jesus pitches to Julio Rodriguez

    · ·

    DET 2·SEA 4

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·DET +136/SEA -144

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · MLB

Seattle Mariners held off Detroit Tigers, 4–2.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Team pages

Detroit TigersatSeattle Mariners

Elsewhere in the MLB

  • Blue Jays5@Astros4Final/10
  • Dodgers6@Cubs7Final
  • Giants0@Rangers6Final
  • Rays4@Rockies0Final
  • Angels2@Orioles5Final
  • Athletics2@Reds3Final
  • Mets6@Guardians5Final/10
  • Cardinals3@Yankees1Final
  • Nationals10@Phillies4Final/11
  • White Sox0@Red Sox4Final
  • Marlins1@Braves4Final
  • Pirates2@Brewers4Final
  • Twins1@Royals2Final
  • Padres4@Diamondbacks10Final

The receipts

Closing-line value.

-1.26

CLV pp

Open price

+123

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

42.8%

Close no-vig

41.6%

Market faded the model · Graded: miss

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in DET at SEA?
The model favors DET, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?
Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.