Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 27, 2026

FINAL+3LAA

ATH

40-43

LAA

35-49

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

37,064 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

LAA spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.5

LAA no-vig %

50.3%

open 51.5% · -1.2

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.9%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
51.8%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
55.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
51.9%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.48 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

90% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+9.2pp

best edge · ATH · DraftKings

ATH

★ best

+148DraftKings

edge +9.2pp · implied 37.9%

LAA

no live price

Book	ATH	LAA	Best edge
DraftKings	+148★	-195	+9.2

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

LAA vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 3.2low
Jose SorianoLAA
5.2± 2.6high

Hits

Tommy WhiteATH
1.1± 2.0low
Mike TroutLAA
1.1± 1.2high
Jeff McNeilATH
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Jonah HeimATH
1.7± 2.1high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.6± 2.1high
Jo AdellLAA
1.5± 1.8high

RBIs

Vaughn GrissomLAA
0.8± 0.9high
Jo AdellLAA
0.6± 0.9high
Jorge SolerLAA
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
4.0± 1.6high
Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.9± 3.0low
Jack PerkinsATH
3.1± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

LAA

.724

OPS

◀

.720

.697

.321

OBP

◀

.318

.314

4.39

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.21

5.37

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.54

1.49

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.37

8.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

ATH 2 · LAA 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked LAA +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
LAA	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	2	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Team pages

AthleticsLos Angeles Angels

Elsewhere in the MLB

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. BolteCF	.305	5	0	0	0	0	0	4
N. Kurtz1B	.280	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
S. LangeliersC	.267	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
T. SoderstromLF	.242	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. HeimC	.253	3	1	1	1	1	1	1
C. ThomasRF	.211	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.232	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. McNeil2B	.233	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. WilliamsSS	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. ButlerRF	.198	1	0	1	0	0	2	0
C. CortesRF	.275	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Meneses1B	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	2	5	2	1	5	13

Player

.305

.280

.267

.242

.253

.211

.232

.233

.286

.198

.275

.125

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PerkinsRP	5.0	4	2	2	1	5	81
J. SternerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17
G. HartliebRP	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	9
M. KrookRP	0.2	1	2	1	0	1	12
M. BarnettRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	7
Team	8.0	9	5	4	1	8	126

Player

5.0

1.0

0.2

0.2

0.2

Team

8.0

126

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.225	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Guzman3B	.270	4	0	2	1	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.266	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. SolerDH	.217	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
W. MecklerLF	.278	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. AdellRF	.252	2	1	2	2	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.318	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. O'HoppeC	.235	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. LoweLF	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
V. Grissom2B	.235	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.259	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.271	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	5	9	5	0	1	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. DetmersSP	5.2	4	2	2	3	8	99
C. SilsethRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	9
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16
S. BachmanRP	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	26
K. YatesRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
Team	9.0	5	2	2	5	13	159

Team

ATH

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

LAA vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs ATH.

3 sub-models, blended.