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FINAL+3NSH
BOS

BOS

34-22-5

36
NSH

NSH

28-26-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 5FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNSH -110

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators held off Boston Bruins, 6–3.

NSH -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
6
BOS34-22-5NSH28-26-8
BOS

BOS

34-22-5

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NSH

NSH

28-26-8

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

12

PIM

10

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 28NSHNSH2@BOSBOS3
Mar 6BOSBOS3@NSHNSH6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS-11052%
NSHNSH-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat BOS 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BOS0123
NSH1416

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · NSH won 2

0
1

1

1
4

2

2
1

3

BOS
NSH

Play-by-play · 322 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  3. 3rd·19:52

    Nikita Zadorov hit Ozzy Wiesblatt

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  4. 3rd·19:50

    Matthew Wood shot blocked by Mason Lohrei

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  5. 3rd·19:45

    Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  6. 3rd·19:41

    Ozzy Wiesblatt shot blocked by Mason Lohrei

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  7. 3rd·19:40

    Matthew Wood Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  8. 3rd·19:39

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Sean Kuraly

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  9. 3rd·19:39

    Icing

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  10. 3rd·19:22

    Michael Eyssimont hit Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  11. 3rd·19:10

    Zachary L'Heureux shot blocked by Michael Eyssimont

    · ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  12. 3rd·19:03

    Zachary L'Heureux shot blocked by Mason Lohrei

    · ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  13. 3rd·18:59

    Michael Eyssimont hit Brady Skjei

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  14. 3rd·18:56

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Fraser Minten

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  15. 3rd·18:56

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  16. 3rd·18:54

    Fraser Minten Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  17. 3rd·18:38

    Takeaway by Reid Schaefer

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  18. 3rd·18:15

    Fedor Svechkov Snap Shot Short

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  19. 3rd·18:12

    Andrew Peeke hit Zachary L'Heureux

    · ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  20. 3rd·17:55

    Justin Barron shot blocked by Mark Kastelic

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  21. 3rd·17:51

    Andrew Peeke hit Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  22. 3rd·17:41

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Mark Kastelic

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  23. 3rd·17:41

    Objects on Ice

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  24. 3rd·17:33

    Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  25. 3rd·17:33

    Luke Evangelista Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Filip Forsberg (25)

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 6

  26. 3rd·17:30

    Takeaway by Filip Forsberg

    BOS 3·NSH 5

  27. 3rd·17:21

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Erik Haula

    · ·

    BOS 3·NSH 5

  28. 3rd·17:21

    Icing

    BOS 3·NSH 5

  29. 3rd·17:17

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot Wide Left

    BOS 3·NSH 5

  30. 3rd·17:15

    Casey Mittelstadt faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    BOS 3·NSH 5

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

23

Shots

29

25.0

PCT

20.0

12

PIM

10

38

Faceoffs W

23

15

Blocks

18

15

Giveaways

10

3

Takeaways

6

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS -110/NSH -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Roman JosiNSH · D
    DIST MI245.490
  • Morgan GeekieBOS · C
    SHOT MPH88.989

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR