NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CAR

OTT

27-22-7

CAR

35-15-6

NHLTue, Feb 3FinalSeriesCAR leads series 2-0VegasCAR -180

OTT · top performer

Jake Sanderson

D · #85

2Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Seth Jarvis

C · #24

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AmadioRW · #22	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	18:43
D. BathersonRW · #19	0	1	-2	3	1	0	0	18:29
N. CousinsC · #21	0	0	0	3	2	2	0	14:58
D. CozensC · #24	0	2	0	1	3	0	0	19:16
L. EllerC · #89	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	8:57
C. GirouxRW · #28	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	13:25
R. GreigC · #71	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	16:04
S. HallidayC · #83	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	7:12
S. PintoC · #12	0	0	0	2	4	1	0	18:58
T. StutzleC · #18	1	0	-3	3	0	1	0	18:35
B. TkachukLW · #7	0	0	-1	4	2	1	0	18:28
F. ZetterlundLW · #20	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	10:26

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. ChabotD · #72	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	21:57
N. JensenD · #3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:43
T. KlevenD · #43	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	16:28
J. SandersonD · #85	1	1	-3	2	0	0	0	23:15
J. SpenceD · #10	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	16:27
A. ZubD · #2	0	0	-3	1	0	1	0	19:55

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ReimerG · #47	19	4	15	.789	58:38

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	1	2	2	2	2	0	0	16:50
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:06
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	-1	0	5	0	2	8:30
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	16:51
T. HallLW · #71	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	15:52
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	-1	0	0	0	2	10:44
S. JarvisC · #24	2	0	2	4	0	1	0	15:50
J. KotkaniemiC · #82	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	8:34
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	17:54
J. StaalC · #11	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	17:33
L. StankovenC · #22	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	16:31
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	1	2	1	4	0	2	16:26

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	20:51
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	15:57
K. MillerD · #19	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	22:52
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	15:45
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	20:37
S. WalkerD · #26	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	21:51

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BussiG · #32	27	3	24	.889	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

66.7

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Playoff series

Apr 18

OTT0@

CAR2

Apr 20

OTT2@

CAR3

Apr 23

CAR2@

OTT1

Apr 25

CAR4@

OTT2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTT+15040%

CAR-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat OTT 4-3. S. Jarvis led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	1	1	3
CAR	1	2	1	4

Period scoring

OTT won 0 · CAR won 1

OTT

CAR

Play-by-play · 325 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:43
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:43
On-Ice Official
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:43
Hand Pass
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:37
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Jordan Martinook
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:24
Giveaway by Jalen Chatfield
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:21
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:21
Icing
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·19:15
Jake Sanderson Slap Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:54
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:54
Icing
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:51
Jaccob Slavin Snap Shot Wide Left
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:29
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:29
High Stick
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:15
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Tim Stützle
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·18:15
Icing
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·17:55
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·17:53
Giveaway by Sean Walker
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·17:25
Jackson Blake shot blocked by Taylor Hall
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·17:20
Thomas Chabot hit Taylor Hall
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·16:51
Shane Pinto hit Jackson Blake
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·16:39
Giveaway by Sean Walker
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·16:16
Dylan Cozens hit Nikolaj Ehlers
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·16:08
Takeaway by Ridly Greig
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·15:17
Tim Stützle faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·15:17
Puck in Benches
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·14:53
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Tim Stützle
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·14:53
Jordan Staal Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (28)
·
OTT 3·CAR 4
3rd·14:44
Jordan Staal hit Tyler Kleven
·
OTT 3·CAR 3

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT +150/CAR -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Ottawa Senators, 4–3.

OTT +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.9%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
61.9%
P(CAR win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.9%
P(CAR win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.9%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Ottawa SenatorsCarolina Hurricanes

Elsewhere in the NHL