Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CBJ at NJ?

The model favors NJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CBJ

CBJ

28-20-7

28-26-2

NHLTue, Feb 3FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNJ -108

CBJ · top performer

Mathieu Olivier

RW · #24

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Timo Meier

RW · #28

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	16:35
A. FantilliC · #19	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	17:56
D. HeinenLW · #43	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:54
B. JennerC · #38	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	15:30
K. JohnsonC · #91	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	10:58
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:02
M. MarchmentLW · #17	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	16:43
S. MonahanC · #23	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	15:54
M. OlivierRW · #24	2	0	2	1	3	0	0	14:09
C. SillingerC · #4	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	14:14
D. VoronkovLW · #10	0	0	1	2	3	1	0	11:10
M. WoodLW · #11	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	10:42

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	1	0	1	3	0	2	0	14:17
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	17:54
D. MateychukD · #5	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	17:57
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	22:21
D. SeversonD · #78	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	24:38
Z. WerenskiD · #8	0	1	1	2	0	1	2	23:11

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	24	0	24	1.000	59:55

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrattLW · #63	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	18:52
C. BrownRW · #16	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	24:10
P. CotterLW · #47	0	0	-1	0	8	0	0	13:07
C. GlassC · #12	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:48
L. GlendeningC · #14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	8:04
A. GritsyukRW · #81	0	0	-1	4	1	1	2	18:06
L. HameenahoRW · #29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	14:15
N. HischierC · #13	0	0	-2	3	0	0	2	21:21
J. LammikkoC · #83	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7:13
T. MeierRW · #28	0	0	-2	5	1	0	0	20:06
D. MercerC · #91	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	12:17
M. TsyplakovRW · #42	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	7:52

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DillonD · #5	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	18:15
D. HamiltonD · #7	0	0	-2	4	0	2	0	23:27
J. KovacevicD · #8	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	17:15
S. NemecD · #17	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	18:30
B. PesceD · #22	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	19:59
J. SiegenthalerD · #71	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	17:41

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. MarkstromG · #25	25	2	23	.920	58:42

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 13

NJ3@

CBJ2

Dec 2

CBJ5@

NJ3

Jan 1

NJ3@

CBJ2

Feb 4

CBJ3@

NJ0today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-11253%

NJ-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 32 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NJ 3-0. M. Olivier led the way — 2 G · 1 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	0	0	3	3
NJ	0	0	0	0

Period scoring

CBJ won 1 · NJ won 0

CBJ

Play-by-play · 279 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:56
Brenden Dillon shot blocked by Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:24
Brenden Dillon hit Dmitri Voronkov
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:10
Luke Glendening faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:10
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·19:09
Denton Mateychuk Slap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·17:11
Takeaway by Johnathan Kovacevic
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:27
Arseny Gritsyuk Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:19
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:19
Mason Marchment Roughing against Brenden Dillon
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:19
Brenden Dillon Interference against Mason Marchment
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:00
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·16:00
Mathieu Olivier Goal (8) , assists: Charlie Coyle (25), Zach Werenski (42)
· ·
CBJ 3·NJ 0
3rd·15:36
Jesper Bratt Snap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:30
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:30
Puck in Netting
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:28
Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:18
Nico Hischier Tip-In saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:10
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:10
Icing
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·15:03
Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Ivan Provorov
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:54
Miles Wood hit Brenden Dillon
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:33
Takeaway by Jesper Bratt
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:27
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:27
Icing
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:07
Boone Jenner Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·14:00
Paul Cotter hit Dante Fabbro
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·13:20
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
CBJ 2·NJ 0
3rd·13:20
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 2·NJ 0

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·CBJ -112/NJ -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 3–0.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.8%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
55.8%
P(NJ win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
55.8%
P(NJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
55.8%
P(NJ win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-108

Close price

-108

Open no-vig

49.6%

Close no-vig

49.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CBJ at NJ?: The model favors NJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

Team pages

Columbus Blue JacketsNew Jersey Devils

Elsewhere in the NHL