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FINAL+6EDM
EDM

EDM

24-17-8

60
VAN

VAN

16-27-5

NHLSat, Jan 17FinalSeriesEDM leads series 2-1VegasEDM -185

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 6–0.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 6). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

8

Season series

EDM leads series 2-1

Oct 12VANVAN1@EDMEDM3
Oct 27EDMEDM3@VANVAN4
Jan 18EDMEDM6@VANVAN0today
Apr 17VANVAN1@EDMEDM6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDMEDM-18565%
VANVAN+15439%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat VAN 6-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
EDM0606
VAN0000

Period scoring

EDM won 1 · VAN won 0

0
0

1

6
0

2

0
0

3

EDM
VAN

Play-by-play · 284 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  3. 3rd·19:52

    Conor Garland Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  4. 3rd·19:29

    Max Sasson Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  5. 3rd·19:21

    Mattias Janmark Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  6. 3rd·19:00

    Jake DeBrusk hit Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  7. 3rd·18:56

    Takeaway by Connor McDavid

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  8. 3rd·17:57

    Mattias Ekholm hit Tom Willander

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  9. 3rd·17:29

    Filip Hronek hit Isaac Howard

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  10. 3rd·17:22

    Giveaway by David Kampf

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  11. 3rd·17:07

    Drew O'Connor Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  12. 3rd·16:41

    Evander Kane Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  13. 3rd·16:21

    Giveaway by Spencer Stastney

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  14. 3rd·16:08

    Giveaway by Andrew Mangiapane

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  15. 3rd·15:47

    Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Max Sasson

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  16. 3rd·15:47

    Puck in Netting

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  17. 3rd·15:39

    Evander Kane shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  18. 3rd·15:14

    Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  19. 3rd·14:38

    Linus Karlsson Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  20. 3rd·14:30

    Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Curtis Lazar

    · ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  21. 3rd·14:30

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  22. 3rd·14:28

    Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  23. 3rd·14:21

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  24. 3rd·14:21

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  25. 3rd·14:17

    Linus Karlsson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  26. 3rd·14:16

    Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  27. 3rd·13:46

    Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  28. 3rd·13:46

    TV Timeout

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  29. 3rd·13:46

    Jack Roslovic High-sticking against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

  30. 3rd·13:41

    Tyler Myers Slap Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 6·VAN 0

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

35

Shots

31

25.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

8

19

Faceoffs W

26

7

Blocks

8

14

Giveaways

19

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -185/VAN +154

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Jake WalmanEDM · D
    SHOT MPH99.599
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5496
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

40.1%

ensemble · EDM favored

  • Elo Static

    49.8%

    P(VAN win)

    67%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    49.8%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    49.8%

    P(VAN win)

    17%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+154

Close price

+154

Open no-vig

37.8%

Close no-vig

37.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR