NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NSH

EDM

23-16-8

NSH

22-20-4

NHLTue, Jan 13FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasEDM -135

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators held off Edmonton Oilers, 4–3 in overtime.

NSH +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

3Points

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

Michael Bunting

LW · #58

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
L. DraisaitlC · #29	1	2	0	4	0	0	0	23:59
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	-1	0	4	0	0	6:53
I. HowardLW · #53	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	6:14
Z. HymanLW · #18	2	0	0	3	0	1	0	19:13
M. JanmarkC · #13	0	0	-1	0	0	2	2	10:01
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	1	0	3	1	0	2	17:43
A. MangiapaneLW · #88	0	0	-1	1	2	0	2	10:20
C. McDavidC · #97	0	2	-1	3	0	0	0	26:25
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	20:44
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	15:17
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	-1	1	3	1	0	14:48
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	12:39

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
E. BouchardD · #2	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	27:21
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	-1	0	4	4	0	21:59
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	18:56
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	0	5	2	1	5	21:30
S. StastneyD · #24	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	13:53
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	17:14

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
T. JarryG · #35	27	4	23	.852	63:43

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	14:55
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	17:27
F. ForsbergLW · #9	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	17:38
E. HaulaLW · #56	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	16:33
T. JostC · #17	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	10:53
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	0	2	3	3	5	13:59
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	22:15
R. SchaeferLW · #49	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	11:39
C. SmithRW · #36	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	17:06
S. StamkosC · #91	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	16:49
F. SvechkovC · #40	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	13:31
M. WoodRW · #71	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	10:56

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15:01
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	17:12
R. JosiD · #59	2	0	2	3	0	2	0	25:36
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	20:14
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	22:42
A. WilsbyD · #83	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	21:30

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. SarosG · #74	31	3	28	.903	63:43

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 7

NSH2@

EDM6

Jan 14

EDM3@

NSH4today

Mar 16

NSH1@

EDM3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDM-13557%

NSH+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat EDM 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
EDM	1	2	0	0	3
NSH	1	2	0	1	4

Period scoring

EDM won 0 · NSH won 1

EDM

NSH

Play-by-play · 302 plays

period

event

player

OT·3:43
Game End
EDM 3·NSH 4
OT·3:43
End of OT
EDM 3·NSH 4
OT·3:43
Roman Josi Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Brady Skjei (13), Ryan O'Reilly (26)
· ·
EDM 3·NSH 4
OT·2:38
Giveaway by Ryan O'Reilly
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·2:28
Leon Draisaitl Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·2:06
Roman Josi Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·1:48
Jack Roslovic hit Erik Haula
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·1:31
Erik Haula faceoff won against Jack Roslovic
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·1:31
Off-side
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·1:13
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·0:57
Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·0:00
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·19:51
Giveaway by Nick Perbix
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·19:17
Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Adam Wilsby
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·18:33
Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·17:16
Roman Josi shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·17:00
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Ty Emberson
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·16:58
Roman Josi Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·16:48
Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·16:48
Mattias Janmark Tripping against Erik Haula
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·16:10
Takeaway by Adam Wilsby
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·16:07
Filip Forsberg hit Mattias Ekholm
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·15:51
Brady Skjei Slap Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·15:32
Kasperi Kapanen hit Brady Skjei
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·15:23
Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·15:23
Icing
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·15:11
Cole Smith hit Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 3·NSH 3
3rd·14:31
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
EDM 3·NSH 3

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -135/NSH +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
DIST MI265.898
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
SKATE MPH23.497
Connor McDavidEDM · C
BURSTS5496
Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
DIST MI246.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.7%

ensemble · NSH favored

Elo Static
54.9%
P(NSH win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.9%
P(NSH win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.9%
P(NSH win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit