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ARI#1 · National Football Conference
Arizona Cardinals
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#29 of 32
Elo rating 1381.9 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-07 → 2026-01-04 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 28 vs LAR, 17-45, 2025-12-07. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 20 at HOU, 20-40, 2025-12-14. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 7 vs ATL, 19-26, 2025-12-21. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 23 at CIN, 14-37, 2025-12-28. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 17 at LAR, 20-37, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 24th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 825 graded plays; the defense ranked 25th across 852.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
825 off plays · 852 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.021
Team EPA per play
24th of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.069
Team EPA per play allowed
25th of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split825/852 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays-0.02126
24th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.065 (13th)
Success43.0%35
21st of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 46.7% (12th)
Explosive6.3%19
26th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.5% (13th)
Dropbacks+0.01929
23rd of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.099 (13th)
Rushes-0.10716
27th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG +0.010 (9th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.06923
25th of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG +0.056 (24th)
Success47.3%16
27th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 48.1% (31st)
Explosive8.7%23
25th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.9% (24th)
Dropbacks+0.12823
25th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.109 (25th)
Rushes-0.02429
23rd of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.023 (24th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG -0.021 · 2024 REG +0.065 · -0.086
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.069 · 2024 REG +0.056 · +0.013
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 825 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Jacoby Brissett23 TD3,366
- 2Kyler Murray6 TD962
- 3Matt Haack0 TD28
Rushing yards
- 1Michael Carter1 TD333
- 2Emari Demercado0 TD312
- 3Bam Knight4 TD269
- 4Kyler Murray1 TD173
- 5Jacoby Brissett1 TD168
Receiving yards
- 1Trey McBride11 TD1,239
- 2Michael Wilson7 TD1,006
- 3Marvin Harrison Jr.4 TD608
- 4Elijah Higgins0 TD301
- 5Michael Carter0 TD267
Receptions
- 1Trey McBride17 G126
- 2Michael Wilson17 G78
- 3Marvin Harrison Jr.12 G41
- 4Michael Carter13 G33
- 5Elijah Higgins17 G30
Total TDs
- 1Jacoby Brissett14 G24
- 2Trey McBride17 G11
- 3Kyler Murray5 G7
- 4Michael Wilson17 G7
- 5Bam Knight12 G5
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Jacoby Brissett
485 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate53.1
- EPA / play+0.008
- Accuracy +3.5%
- Pressure0.3%
Built on +0.008 EPA/play and 3.5% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Middle
avg rank 16.8
YDS
14th
Total yards
PASS
5th
Pass yards
RUSH
31st
Rush yards
PTS
17th
Points
TO
17th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-heavy
73% pass · 27% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
349vs 342 yds/GLeague avg
Passing yards
256vs 225 yds/GSlight edge
Rushing yards
93vs 117 yds/GBelow avg
Points scored
23.6vs 23.5 pts/GLeague avg
Turnovers
0.90vs 0.90 TO/GLeague avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 6 picks
The new arrivals.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 11
Signed TE Kenny Yeboah to a contract. Released LB Stephen Dix Jr.
- Jun 4
Signed S Isaiah Oliver. Released K Joshua Karty.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
B. Knight
RB · #20
B. Green
WR · #39
C. Beck
QB · #19
C. Bisontis
G · #57
C. Jones
OT · #75
C. Kiner
RB · #37
D. Jacobs
OT · #67
D. Duvernay
WR · #81
E. Higgins
TE · #84
E. Wilkinson
OT · #65
G. Minshew II
QB · #15
H. Wallace III
WR · #30
H. Conner
G · #58
H. Froholdt
C · #72
I. Smith-Marsette
WR · #9
I. Seumalo
G · #73
I. Adams
G · #74
J. Brissett
QB · #7
J. Brooks
WR · #86
J. Conner
RB · #6
J. Geers
TE · #46
J. Williams
OT · #66
J. Love
RB · #4
J. Gaines II
G · #71
J. Fryar
OT · #78
K. De Cambra
G · #62
K. Slovis
QB · #12
K. Bourne
WR · #17
K. Yeboah
TE · #48
M. Harrison Jr.
WR · #18
M. Pryor
OT · #76
M. Wilson
WR · #14
O. Udoh
OT · #68
P. Johnson Jr.
OT · #70
R. Virgil
WR · #82
R. Fairweather
TE · #45
S. Fehoko
WR · #80
T. Quitoriano
TE · #47
T. Palmer
WR · #83
T. Reiman
TE · #87
T. Benson
RB · #33
T. McBride
TE · #85
T. Allgeier
RB · #22
V. Senn
OT · #69
X. Weaver
WR · #89
Defense · 45
The stop unit
A. Billings
DT · #95
A. Wingard
S · #27
A. Keys
LB · #53
B. Browning
LB · #5
B. Ojulari
LB · #9
B. Baker
S · #3
C. Robertson
LB · #49
C. Simon
LB · #0
C. Izzard
DT · #93
D. Taylor-Demerson
S · #42
D. Williams
DT · #96
D. Stills
DT · #55
D. Robinson
DE · #56
D. Burke
CB · #29
E. Leota
LB · #54
E. Culp
CB · #26
E. Jones
CB · #28
E. Brown
LB · #41
G. Williams
CB · #21
I. Oliver
S · #34
J. Gibbens
LB · #50
J. Davis
CB · #39
J. Blount
S · #32
J. Williams
DE · #92
J. Burch
LB · #52
J. Sweat
LB · #10
K. Proctor
DT · #94
K. King
CB · #35
K. Sharar
LB · #43
K. Clark
CB · #13
K. Crawford
S · #36
L.J. Collier
DE · #91
M. Wilson Sr.
LB · #1
M. Melton
CB · #16
O. Pappoe
LB · #44
P. Mustipher
DT · #79
Q. Newsome
CB · #30
R. Lopez
DT · #51
S. Murphy-Bunting
CB · #23
S. Thomas V
CB · #24
W. Nolen III
DT · #97
W. Johnson
CB · #2
W. Williams Jr.
S · #31
Z. Carter
DT · #90
Z. Collins
LB · #25
Special teams · 3
