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QBDay 2#4 QB · 2026 class★ R3 · #65
Carson Beck
Miami6'4 6/8"·233 lb
Traditional Pocket Passer
ATH
—
DOM
66
draft score82
rank#51
Projected
Round 2-3
Drafted · Round 3 · Pick 65 · 65th overall
Now on the Cardinals.
Beck suits up at /p/carson-beck
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 2Projected · Round 2-3Traditional Pocket Passer
Carson Beck projects as a traditional pocket passer. A QB out of Miami who tested with an unmeasured athletic profile. Limited combine sample. Works off 6'4 6/8" · 233 lb and the position film. College career: 966/1390 for 11,725 yards · 88 TD · 32 INT across 5 seasons. Dominance score 66 (matched the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
66B
Dominance score · college production
Cohort-average producer
Blends 20% age-weighted career volume, 45% peak single-season production, 10% breakout, and 25% position-specific efficiency.
73pct
Above avg
Career volume
20% wtage-weighted
60pct
Above avg
Peak season
45% wt2023
27pct
Below avg
Breakout
10% wtearly-career + jump year
87pct
Strong
Efficiency
25% wtY/A · 8.44
Scouting Combine · 2026
Combine percentiles
Y · PERCENTILE vs QB CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
0
Athletic composite
0thREPLACEMENT
2 of 2 metrics graded
1× Excellent1× Poor
Arm
30.6″·18th of 160
Hand
10.0″·81st of 161
Not tested40-YardVerticalBroad3-ConeShuttleBench
30.618thPOOR
Arm
vs. 160
10.081stEXCELLENT
i
Hand
vs. 161
Not tested40-YardVerticalBroad3-ConeShuttleBench
Trait grades
6 dimensions evaluated
A-
Arm Talent
80th percentile · 8.67 college AYA on 1390 attempts (adj. yards/att, NFL-predictive)
N/A
Speed
No combine number on file — —s 40-yard
N/A
Athleticism
No combine number on file — Composite of speed + explosion + agility percentiles
B+
Frame
78th percentile · 6'4 6/8" · 233 lb
N/A
Mobility
No combine number on file — — · —
N/A
Burst
No combine number on file — no vert · no broad
NFL comparisons
Top 3 historical · similarity-ranked
Closest distance · 0.58
- #1
Clayton Thorson
2019 R5 · #167 · Northwestern · 6-4/222lb
69
sim
- #2
Bryce Petty
2015 R4 · #103 · Baylor · 6-3/230lb · 4.87s 40
69
sim
- #3
B.J. Coleman
2012 R7 · #243 · Tenn-Chattanooga · 6-3/233lb · 4.94s 40
71
sim
X-Factor
Arm Talent grades in the 80th percentile. 8.67 college AYA on 1390 attempts (adj. yards/att, NFL-predictive).
Primary risk
Athletic profile is balanced. The primary risk is positional value, not measurable holes.
Scheme fit
West Coast progression-based offense with built-in answers vs pressure.
College career · ESPN
Career stats
| Season | Team | CMP | ATT | CMP% | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | LNG | SACK | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | UGA | 10 | 23 | 43.5 | 176 | 7.7 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 119.1 |
| 2022 | UGA | 26 | 35 | 74.3 | 310 | 8.9 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 186.4 |
| 2023 | UGA | 302 | 417 | 72.4 | 3,941 | 9.5 | 24 | 6 | 55 | 11 | 167.9 |
| 2024 | UGA | 290 | 448 | 64.7 | 3,485 | 7.8 | 28 | 12 | 67 | 18 | 145.3 |
| 2025 | MIA | 338 | 467 | 72.4 | 3,813 | 8.2 | 30 | 12 | 61 | 18 | 157.0 |
| Career | 966 | 1390 | 69.5 | 11,725 | 8.4 | 88 | 32 | 67 | 47 | 156.6 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jun 2, 2026Workout · Combine