
GB
0-0

PIT
0-0
NFL · Drive chart
7 drives · 1 FG · 1 Downs · 4 PuntModel ensemble · how the prediction is built
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.0%
ensemble · PIT favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Team rate stats · season-to-date
nflverse · weekly aggregates
GB
league avg
PIT
24.7
Pts / game
23.5
24.0
346
Yds / game
342
317
226
Pass yds / G
225
214
120
Rush yds / G
117
103
0.6
TO / G
0.9
0.7
Data via ESPN · nflverse · Next Gen Stats (via nflverse)
On the call · NFL
7 officials
Back Judge
Greg Yette
Side Judge
David Meslow
Down Judge
Patrick Turner
Umpire
Bryan Neale
Line Judge
Kevin Codey
Umpire
Mike Morton
Field Judge
Joe Blubaugh
Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.
QB · live passing line
ESPN leaders · liveT. Taylor
GB · #6 · QB
M. Rudolph
PIT · #2 · QB
Recent plays · last 8
ESPN PBP · liveGB · top performer

Tyrod Taylor
· #6
4/8
C/A
0
TD
0
INT
PIT · top performer

Mason Rudolph
· #2
10/11
C/A
0
TD
0
INT
NFL · Box score
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3/5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1/2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 8/15 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | -2 | 0 | -2 | |
| Team | 11 | 32 | 0 | 9 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 0 | 19 | |
| 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 2 | 8 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | -4 | 0 | -4 | |
| Team | 8 | 50 | 0 | 19 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 24 | 21 | 3 | 4 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | |
| Team | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | 37 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Team | 1/1 | 37 | 0/0 | 3 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 88 | 44.0 | 1 | |
| Team | 2 | 88 | 44.0 | 1 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | 93 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1/2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 11/13 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 19 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | |
| Team | 7 | 27 | 0 | 11 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 51 | 0 | 25 | |
| 1 | 19 | 0 | 19 | |
| 2 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 2 | 10 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team | 11 | 102 | 0 | 25 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 25 | 15 | 0 | 3 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 25 | 0 | |
| Team | 1 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | |
| Team | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 95 | 47.5 | 0 | |
| Team | 2 | 95 | 47.5 | 0 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
82
Total yds
110
32
Rush yds
27
0
TO
0
Team stats
GB
Away
Stat
PIT
Home
82
Total yards
110
32
Rushing yds
27
0
Turnovers
0
1-5
totalPenaltiesYards
7-84
12:04
possessionTime
12:36
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
GB -3.0
★ on key 3
Total
38.5
Defensive · -8.5 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.0
+1.0 since open
Total
38.5
+2.0 since open
How it's going
GB lead PIT 3-0 (6:01 - 2nd). Tyrod Taylor led the way — 4/8 · 21 YDS · 56.2 QBR.
Win probability
PIT vs GB
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
GB won 1 · PIT won 0
Q1
Q2
Play-by-play · 66 plays
+1pp
−5pp
+2pp
−0.6pp
BIG MOMENT
+6pp
BIG MOMENT
−10pp
+1pp
−1.0pp
+5pp
−2pp
−0.5pp
−4pp
−0.6pp
+2pp
+1pp
+2pp
−5pp
+3pp
+5pp
−1pp
BIG MOMENT
+5pp
−4pp
Betting line
GB -3·O/U 38.5·GB -162/PIT +136