MLBBot 2
PHI 2@MIN 1
-23.5ppmedium
WNBA5:27 - 1st
LA 6@NY 8
-0.4ppmedium
WNBAHalftime
ATL 51@CON 32
NFL10:29 - 1st
ARI 0@LV 0
NFL12:38 - 1st
LAC 0@HOU 0
NFL4:08 - 2nd
GB 3@PIT 0
NFL0:41 - 1st
IND 0@NE 3
NFL3:50 - 2nd
DET 0@CIN 10
TONIGHTGraded picks 2-4 so far (MLB 2-4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBA. Bregman (CHC): 3 H · 3 HR · 7 RBI in a win over WSH — Standout Index 97
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Castillo (CHW): 7.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CIN — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBT. Grisham (NYY): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over SEA — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Sent C Rafael Marchán on a rehab assignment to Lehigh Valley (IL) (Aug 13)
TRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Sent RHP Lyon Richardson outright to Nashville (IL) (Aug 13)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Sent RHP Jonathan Hernández outright to Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 13)
MLBBot 2
PHI 2@MIN 1
-23.5ppmedium
WNBA5:27 - 1st
LA 6@NY 8
-0.4ppmedium
WNBAHalftime
ATL 51@CON 32
NFL10:29 - 1st
ARI 0@LV 0
NFL12:38 - 1st
LAC 0@HOU 0
NFL4:08 - 2nd
GB 3@PIT 0
NFL0:41 - 1st
IND 0@NE 3
NFL3:50 - 2nd
DET 0@CIN 10
TONIGHTGraded picks 2-4 so far (MLB 2-4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBA. Bregman (CHC): 3 H · 3 HR · 7 RBI in a win over WSH — Standout Index 97
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Castillo (CHW): 7.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CIN — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBT. Grisham (NYY): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over SEA — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Sent C Rafael Marchán on a rehab assignment to Lehigh Valley (IL) (Aug 13)
TRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Sent RHP Lyon Richardson outright to Nashville (IL) (Aug 13)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Sent RHP Jonathan Hernández outright to Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 13)
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NFL logoNFLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersFantasyDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
GB logo
GB
3
Live6:01 - 2nd
PIT logo
PIT
0
Updated 8:12 PM ET
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
6:01 - 2ND+3GB↑
GB

GB

0-0

3
0
PIT

PIT

0-0

NFL · Drive chart

7 drives · 1 FG · 1 Downs · 4 Punt
  1. FGGB10p · 46y
  2. PuntPIT3p · 3y
  3. PuntGB3p · 7y
  4. DownsPIT15p · 84y
  5. PuntGB9p · 52y
  6. PuntPIT5p · 9y
  7. —GB4p · 17y
Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · PIT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick
Receipts
Player props
Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

GB

GB

league avg

PIT

PIT

24.7

Pts / game

◀

23.5

24.0

346

Yds / game

◀

342

317

226

Pass yds / G

◀

225

214

120

Rush yds / G

◀

117

103

0.6

TO / G

◀

0.9

0.7

↳ Data via ESPN · nflverse · Next Gen Stats (via nflverse)

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Team pages

Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Steelers

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Cardinals0@Raiders012:22 - 1st
  • Chargers0@Texans014:55 - 1st
  • Colts0@Patriots33:06 - 1st
  • Lions0@Bengals104:47 - 2nd
  • Titans@49ers8/13 - 9:00 PM EDT

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

66%Last 7 · 72-37
63%Last 30 · 285-165
Receipts →

On the call · NFL

7 officials

Back Judge

Greg Yette

Side Judge

David Meslow

Down Judge

Patrick Turner

Umpire

Bryan Neale

Line Judge

Kevin Codey

Umpire

Mike Morton

Field Judge

Joe Blubaugh

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

QB · live passing line

ESPN leaders · live

T. Taylor

GB · #6 · QB

21 yds4/8 · 0 TD · 0 INT

M. Rudolph

PIT · #2 · QB

93 yds10/11 · 0 TD · 0 INT

Recent plays · last 8

ESPN PBP · live
  1. GB · Pass Reception2nd & 12 · +11 ydsQ2
  2. GB · Rush3rd & 1 · +2 ydsQ2
  3. GB · Rush1st & 10 · +6 ydsQ2
  4. GB · Pass Incompletion2nd & 4 · no gainQ2
  5. GB · Rush3rd & 4 · +5 ydsQ2
  6. GB · Rush1st & 10 · -1 ydsQ2
  7. GB · Rush2nd & 11 · +1 ydsQ2
  8. GB · Sack3rd & 10 · -6 ydsQ2
NFL·Thu, Aug 13·6:01 - 2nd/VegasGB -3
Updated 0s ago

GB · top performer

GB
Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor

· #6

21Pass yds

4/8

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

PIT · top performer

PIT
Mason Rudolph

Mason Rudolph

· #2

93Pass yds

10/11

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

Game flowGB ↔ PIT

NFL · Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers · live

NFL · Box score

6:01 - 2nd

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tyrod Taylor · #6
4/82100
Jordan Love · #10
3/51800
Kyle McCord · #18
1/21100
Team8/155000

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
MarShawn Lloyd · #32
41305
Pierre Strong Jr. · #22
3909
Skyy Moore · #23
1606
Tyrod Taylor · #6
1404
Kyle McCord · #18
1202
Jaden Nixon · #35O
1-20-2
Team113209

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jayden Reed · #11
119019
Skyy Moore · #23
111011
Savion Williams · #83
2807
Bo Melton · #16
1707
Isaiah Neyor · #80
1606
Josh Whyle · #81
1303
Christian Watson · #9
0000
MarShawn Lloyd · #32
1-40-4
Team850019

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Murvin Kenion III · #39
4400
Mark Perry · #41
3300
Brandon Cisse · #2
3300
Anthony Campbell · #60
2100
Zaire Franklin · #44
1111
Brenton Cox Jr. · #57
1111
Kitan Oladapo · #27
1111
Isaiah McDuffie · #58
1100
Xavier McKinney · #29
1100
Benjamin St-Juste · #21
1100
Keisean Nixon · #25
1100
Warren Brinson · #91
1101
Lukas Van Ness · #90
1100
Chris McClellan · #55
1100
Nick Niemann · #31
1000
Cal Adomitis · #43S
1000
Ty'Ron Hopper · #59
0000
Team242134

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Skyy Moore · #23
114140
Team114140

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Trey Smack · #28S
1/1370/03
Team1/1370/03

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Daniel Whelan · #19
28844.01
Team28844.01

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Mason Rudolph · #2
10/119300
Will Howard · #18
1/2900
Team11/138300

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Lew Nichols · #35O
319011
Travis Homer · #21
4804
Team727011

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Germie Bernard · #17
451025
Ben Skowronek · #15
119019
Brandon Smith · #87
21309
Travis Homer · #21
21008
Roman Wilson · #14
1707
Pat Freiermuth · #88
1202
Team11102025

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Carson Bruener · #44
4300
Devan Boykin · #40
2201
Daylen Everette · #23D
2200
Doneiko Slaughter · #19D
2201
Robert Spears-Jennings · #28D
2201
Alex Highsmith · #56
2100
Jamin Davis · #50
2100
Rayshawn Jenkins · #31
2000
Yahya Black · #94
2000
Cole Holcomb · #55
1100
Payton Wilson · #41
1100
D'Shawn Jamison · #38
1000
Jack Sawyer · #33
1000
Derrick Harmon · #99
1000
Asante Samuel Jr. · #22
0000
Team251503

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kaden Wetjen · #10
125250
Team125250

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kaden Wetjen · #10
1660
Team1660

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Cameron Johnston · #19S
29547.50
Team29547.50

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

82

Total yds

110

32

Rush yds

27

0

TO

0

Team stats

GB

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

82

Total yards

110

32

Rushing yds

27

0

Turnovers

0

1-5

totalPenaltiesYards

7-84

12:04

possessionTime

12:36

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

GB -3.0

★ on key 3

Total

38.5

Defensive · -8.5 vs avg

Moneyline

GBGB-16262%
PITPIT+13642%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet GB -3.0↗SpreadBet GB -3.0↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

3.0

+1.0 since open

Total

38.5

+2.0 since open

How it's going

GB lead PIT 3-0 (6:01 - 2nd). Tyrod Taylor led the way — 4/8 · 21 YDS · 56.2 QBR.

Win probability

PIT vs GB

0255075100

Linescore (quarters)

Team12T
GB303
PIT000

Period scoring

GB won 1 · PIT won 0

3
0

Q1

0
0

Q2

GB
PIT

Play-by-play · 66 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

  3. —

    +1pp

  4. —

    −5pp

  5. —

    +2pp

  6. —

    −0.6pp

  7. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +6pp

  8. —

    BIG MOMENT

    −10pp

  9. —

    +1pp

  10. —

    −1.0pp

  11. —

    +5pp

  12. —

    −2pp

  13. —

  14. —

    −0.5pp

  15. —

  16. —

    −4pp

  17. —

  18. —

    −0.6pp

  19. —

  20. —

    +2pp

  21. —

    +1pp

  22. —

    +2pp

  23. —

  24. —

  25. —

    −5pp

  26. —

    +3pp

  27. —

    +5pp

  28. —

    −1pp

  29. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +5pp

  30. —

    −4pp

Betting line

GB -3·O/U 38.5·GB -162/PIT +136

DraftKings · via ESPN