Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans: Live Score & Box Score

NRG Stadium · Houston, TX

4:39 - 2ND+3LAC

LAC

0-0

107

HOU

0-0

NFL · Drive chart

7 drives · 2 TD · 1 FG · 1 Downs · 3 Punt

FGLAC11p · 58y
TDHOU11p · 75y
PuntLAC4p · 13y
PuntHOU3p · 6y
TDLAC8p · 67y
DownsHOU8p · 50y
PuntLAC3p

Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · HOU favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick

Receipts

Player props

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

LAC

league avg

HOU

21.9

Pts / game

◀

23.5

20.1

354

Yds / game

◀

342

233

Pass yds / G

225

233

122

Rush yds / G

◀

117

109

1.0

TO / G

0.9

▶

0.6

Player
Trey Lance · #5	6/12	78	0	0
Team	6/12	76	0	0

Player
Jaret Patterson · #32	4	18	0	9
Amar Johnson · #35	2	13	1	7
Trey Lance · #5	1	8	0	8
Kimani Vidal · #28	5	8	0	5
Team	12	47	1	9

Player
KeAndre Lambert-Smith · #84	3	43	0	16
Oronde Gadsden · #86	2	21	0	14
Brenen Thompson · #89	1	14	0	14
Kimani Vidal · #28	0	0	0	0
Team	6	78	0	16

Player
RJ Mickens · #27	4	3	0	0
Nikko Reed · #46	4	3	0	0
Marlowe Wax · #58	3	2	0	0
TeRah Edwards · #96	2	2	0	0
Junior Colson · #25	2	1	0	0
Garmon Randolph · #97	2	0	0	0
Jahmeer Carter · #61	1	1	1	1
Kendall Williamson · #40	1	1	0	0
Kyle Kennard · #54	1	1	0	0
Lander Barton · #57	1	1	0	0
Deane Leonard · #33	1	1	0	0
Nadame Tucker · #56	1	1	0	0
Terry Webb · #64	1	1	0	0
Del'Shawn Phillips · #53	1	0	0	0
Genesis Smith · #22	1	0	0	0
Avery Smith · #36D	0	0	0	0
Team	26	18	1	1

Player
KeAndre Lambert-Smith · #84	1	28	28	0
Jaret Patterson · #32	1	15	15	0
Team	2	43	28	0

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Player
Davis Mills · #10	4/6	49	1	0
Graham Mertz · #18	3/4	27	0	0
Team	7/10	75	1	0

Player
Noah Whittington · #26	7	35	0	11
Xavier Hutchinson · #19	1	8	0	8
Josh Pitsenberger · #31	2	4	0	3
Graham Mertz · #18	1	0	0	0
Team	11	47	0	11

Player
Marlin Klein · #83	1	31	0	31
Jared Wayne · #89	3	17	1	9
Josh Kelly · #85	1	17	0	17
Justin Watson · #84	2	11	0	7
Lewis Bond · #82	0	0	0	0
Xavier Hutchinson · #19	0	0	0	0
Team	7	76	1	31

Player
Solomon Byrd · #50	4	2	0	1
Jake Hummel · #33	3	3	0	1
Jaylen Reed · #23	3	2	0	0
Jaylin Smith · #22	2	2	0	0
Wade Woodaz · #30	2	2	0	0
Marte Mapu · #14D	2	1	0	0
Dominique Robinson · #94	1	1	1	1
Tremon Smith · #11D	1	1	0	0
Cade Stover · #8	1	1	0	0
Alijah Huzzie · #28	1	1	0	0
Collin Wright · #37	1	1	0	0
Aiden Fisher · #59	1	1	0	0
Stephen Hall · #41	1	1	0	0
Kyonte Hamilton · #58	1	0	0	0
Kayden McDonald · #93	1	0	0	0
Kamari Ramsey · #27	0	0	0	0
Team	25	19	1	3

Player
Treyvhon Saunders · #14O	1	34	34	0
Xavier Hutchinson · #19	1	26	26	0
Team	2	60	34	0

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Cameron Dicker · #11	1/1	34	1/1	4
Team	1/1	34	1/1	4

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
JK Scott · #16	2	105	52.5	1
Team	2	105	52.5	1

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Chris Freeman · #36	0/0	0	1/1	1
Team	0/0	0	1/1	1

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kai Kroeger · #38	1	46	46.0	0
Team	1	46	46.0	0