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LAC#10 · American Football Conference
Los Angeles Chargers
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#13 of 32
Elo rating 1534.6 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-14 → 2026-01-11 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 3 at KC, 16-13, 2025-12-14. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 17 at DAL, 34-17, 2025-12-21. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 4 vs HOU, 16-20, 2025-12-27. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 16 at DEN, 3-19, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 13 at NE, 3-16, 2026-01-11. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 23rd of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 928 graded plays; the defense ranked 7th across 841.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
928 off plays · 841 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.012
Team EPA per play
23rd of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.076
Team EPA per play allowed
7th of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split928/841 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays-0.01229
23rd of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.067 (12th)
Success43.3%39
20th of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 43.0% (17th)
Explosive6.8%29
23rd of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.8% (10th)
Dropbacks+0.01726
24th of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.155 (10th)
Rushes-0.06332
21st of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.071 (18th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays-0.07681
7th of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG -0.074 (5th)
Success41.0%87
5th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 40.8% (5th)
Explosive6.9%68
11th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.8% (12th)
Dropbacks-0.06477
8th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG -0.039 (5th)
Rushes-0.09581
7th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.130 (7th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG -0.012 · 2024 REG +0.067 · -0.078
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG -0.076 · 2024 REG -0.074 · -0.002
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 928 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Justin Herbert26 TD3,727
- 2Trey Lance0 TD226
Rushing yards
- 1Kimani Vidal3 TD643
- 2Omarion Hampton4 TD545
- 3Justin Herbert2 TD498
- 4Jaret Patterson1 TD159
- 5Trey Lance0 TD85
Receiving yards
- 1Ladd McConkey6 TD789
- 2Keenan Allen4 TD777
- 3Quentin Johnston8 TD735
- 4Oronde Gadsden II3 TD664
- 5Tre Harris1 TD324
Receptions
- 1Keenan Allen17 G81
- 2Ladd McConkey16 G66
- 3Quentin Johnston13 G51
- 4Oronde Gadsden II15 G49
- 5Omarion Hampton9 G32
Total TDs
- 1Justin Herbert16 G28
- 2Quentin Johnston13 G8
- 3Ladd McConkey16 G6
- 4Omarion Hampton9 G5
- 5Keenan Allen17 G4
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
Yards per carry
- 1Justin Herbert83 car6.0
- 2Omarion Hampton124 car4.4
- 3Kimani Vidal155 car4.1
Min 50 carries.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Justin Herbert
543 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate55.5
- EPA / play+0.034
- Accuracy +2.7%
- Pressure0.3%
Built on +0.034 EPA/play and 2.7% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Middle
avg rank 15.2
YDS
10th
Total yards
PASS
15th
Pass yards
RUSH
12th
Rush yards
PTS
20th
Points
TO
19th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
66% pass · 34% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
354vs 342 yds/GLeague avg
Passing yards
233vs 225 yds/GLeague avg
Rushing yards
122vs 117 yds/GLeague avg
Points scored
21.9vs 23.5 pts/GSlight gap
Turnovers
1.00vs 0.90 TO/GSlight gap
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 8 picks
The new arrivals.
RND 1 · PICK 22
Akheem Mesidor
EDGE · Miami
RND 2 · PICK 63
Jake Slaughter
C · Florida
RND 4 · PICK 105
Brenen Thompson
WR · Mississippi St.
RND 4 · PICK 117
Travis Burke
OT · Memphis
RND 4 · PICK 131
Genesis Smith
SAF · Arizona
RND 5 · PICK 145
Nick Barrett
DT · South Carolina
RND 6 · PICK 202
Logan Taylor
G · Boston Col.
RND 6 · PICK 206
Alex Harkey
G · Oregon
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- May 27
Signed S Derwin James to a three-year contract extension.
- May 21
Waived DB Jerry Wilson.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
A. Ingold
FB · #30
A. Harkey
G · #73
A. Johnson
RB · #35
B. Taylor
G · #71
B. Thompson
WR · #89
C. Kolar
TE · #88
C. Strange
G · #69
D. Campbell
WR · #81
D. Njoku
TE · #83
D. Davis
WR · #12
D. Ross
WR · #24
D. Uiagalelei
QB · #7
E. Svoboda
TE · #49
G. Desrosiers Jr.
RB · #31
I. World
OT · #67
J. Spomer
C · #60
J. Slaughter
C · #66
J. Jackson
WR · #82
J. Patterson
RB · #32
J. Bradley
TE · #36
J. Alt
OT · #76
J. Pascuzzi
TE · #42
J. Kaltenberger
C · #68
J. Herbert
QB · #10
K. Awosika
G · #74
K. Lambert-Smith
WR · #84
K. Mitchell
RB · #34
K. Vidal
RB · #28
L. McConkey
WR · #15
L. Vakalahi
OT · #78
L. Taylor
G · #65
L. Grimm
WR · #87
M
M. Morrow
WR
O. Hampton
RB · #8
O. Gadsden
TE · #86
Q. Johnston
WR · #1
R. Slater
OT · #70
S. Matlock
FB · #44
S. Brown
WR · #38
T. Burke
OT · #77
T. Harris
WR · #9
T. Penning
G · #75
T. Lance
QB · #5
T. Pipkins III
OT · #79
T. Biadasz
C · #63
Defense · 42
The stop unit
A. Mesidor
LB · #90
A. Smith
CB · #36
B. Dupree
LB · #48
C. Hart
CB · #20
D. Henley
LB · #0
D. Tomlinson
DT · #94
D. Leonard
CB · #33
D. Phillips
LB · #53
D. Perryman
LB · #6
D. James Jr.
S · #3
D. Grant
S · #38
D. Jackson
CB · #26
E. Molden
CB · #2
E. Johnson
LB · #50
E. Rogers
CB · #39
G. Randolph
LB · #97
G. Smith
S · #22
I. Waxter
CB · #37
J. Guillory II
DT · #95
J. Carter
DT · #61
J. Caldwell
DT · #99
J. Colson
LB · #25
J. Eboigbe
DT · #92
K. Williamson
S · #40
K. Mack
LB · #52
K. Kennard
LB · #54
L. Barton
LB · #57
M. Wax
LB · #58
M. Purchase
S · #41
N. Tucker
LB · #56
N. Barrett
DT · #91
N. Reed
CB · #46
N. Avinger
S · #31
R. Mickens
S · #27
R. Shelley
CB · #24
T. Still
CB · #29
T. Tart
DT · #93
T. Edwards
DT · #96
T. Webb
DT · #64
T. Jefferson
S · #23
T. Dye
LB · #43
T. Tuipulotu
LB · #45
Special teams · 4
