NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+11CHI

CHI

31-49

119108

WSH

17-63

NBAThu, Apr 9FinalSeriesCHI wins series 3-0VegasCHI -6.5

Recap · NBA

hicago Bulls went into Washington Wizards and beat them, 119–108.

CHI -6.5 cashed (won by 11). Total stayed UNDER 249.5 by 22.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

Tre Jones

G · #30

28.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WSH · top performer

Will Riley

G · #27

19.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
G. YabuseleF · #28	16	5	2-4	1-3	—	+8	5	3
P. WilliamsF · #44	39	15	4-11	3-6	4-4	+11	8	4
L. MillerF · #11	39	26	11-14	2-2	2-2	+11	11	3
C. SextonG · #2	34	27	12-21	1-2	2-2	+12	3	2
T. JonesG · #30	30	31	9-14	1-3	12-12	+19	6	3
Bench
L. OlbrichC · #47	17	2	1-6	0-3	—	+1	7	1
M. McClungG · #5	15	2	1-7	0-3	—	-4	2	2
R. DillinghamG · #7	27	5	2-10	1-4	—	-3	5	4
Y. KawamuraG · #8	22	6	1-6	0-4	4-5	0	4	4
Team		119	43-93	9-30	24-25		51	26
DNP: Z. Collins, I. Okoro, A. Simons

DNP: Z. Collins, I. Okoro, A. Simons

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. GillF · #16	39	14	3-7	0-2	8-10	-18	3	3
L. BlackF · #12	41	14	6-14	2-8	—	-12	9	0
J. ReeseF · #15	39	16	5-14	—	6-7	-17	15	1
B. CarringtonG · #7	24	12	4-10	4-7	—	-7	0	4
W. RileyG · #27	38	23	8-22	1-9	6-7	-18	9	7
Bench
J. ChampagnieF · #9	18	11	5-11	1-4	—	+10	8	2
S. CooperG · #13	14	9	4-6	1-1	—	+9	2	4
J. WatkinsG · #5	28	9	3-12	1-7	2-3	-2	6	3
Team		108	38-96	10-38	22-27		52	24
DNP: T. Vukcevic, J. Hardy, B. Coulibaly, T. Johnson

DNP: T. Vukcevic, J. Hardy, B. Coulibaly, T. Johnson

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

CHI wins series 3-0

Nov 23

WSH120@

CHI121

Apr 7

CHI129@

WSH98

Apr 9

CHI119@

WSH108today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -6.5

Half-pt below key 7

Total

249.5

High-scoring · +23.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI-28574%

WSH+23030%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -6.5↗SpreadBet CHI -6.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

6.5

0.0 since open

Total

249.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHI ↔ WSH

Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 3:17

CHI

T. Jones

Game leader · 30 min30-point game

31 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST

WSH

W. Riley

Game leader · 38 min

23 PTS · 9 REB · 7 AST

How it ended

CHI beat WSH 119-108. T. Jones paced them with 31 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST. CHI outscored the other side 35-23 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs CHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 87% of pts

Starters(5)

104 PTS · 33 REB · 15 AST

GS 96

Bench(4)

15 PTS · 18 REB · 11 AST

GS 5

WSHstarters 73% of pts

Starters(5)

79 PTS · 36 REB · 15 AST

GS 61

Bench(3)

29 PTS · 16 REB · 9 AST

GS 27

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

WSH3rd Quarter · 4:03 · 71-70

+6pp→ 29% WP

Jamir Watkins · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Will Riley assists)

CHI3rd Quarter · 3:17 · 75-70

+8pp→ 83% WP

Julian Reese · misses 6-foot floating jump shot

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	32	20	35	32	119
WSH	24	27	23	34	108

Period scoring

CHI won 2 · WSH won 2

Jones 8

Carrington 6

Miller 6

Cooper 7

Sexton 13

Carrington 12

Miller 9

Riley 11

CHI

WSH

Shooting comparison

CHI

WSH

46%

43-93

40%

38-96

30%

9-30

3PT

26%

10-38

96%

24-25

81%

22-27

Play-by-play · 505 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 119·WSH 108
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 119·WSH 108
Q4·14.6
Patrick Williams defensive rebound
CHI 119·WSH 108
Q4·16.3
Will Riley misses 21-foot step back jumpshot
CHI 119·WSH 108
Q4·32.7
Rob Dillingham makes 5-foot turnaround jump shot
CHI 119·WSH 108
Q4·50.9
Will Riley makes driving layup
CHI 117·WSH 108
Q4·59.2
Leaky Black defensive rebound
CHI 117·WSH 106
Q4·1:01
Collin Sexton misses driving layup
CHI 117·WSH 106
Q4·1:16
Will Riley makes driving layup
CHI 117·WSH 106
Q4·1:24
Will Riley defensive rebound
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:28
Rob Dillingham misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:41
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:43
Anthony Gill misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:43
Yuki Kawamura enters the game for Tre Jones
·
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:43
Anthony Gill makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 117·WSH 104
Q4·1:43
Collin Sexton loose ball foul
CHI 117·WSH 103
Q4·1:43
Wizards offensive team rebound
CHI 117·WSH 103
Q4·1:45
Jamir Watkins misses 29-foot three point jumper
CHI 117·WSH 103
Q4·1:52
Rob Dillingham lost ball turnover (Jamir Watkins steals)
·
CHI 117·WSH 103
Q4·2:14
Leaky Black makes 28-foot three point jumper (Will Riley assists)
·
CHI 117·WSH 103
Q4·2:28
Wizards defensive team rebound
CHI 117·WSH 100
Q4·2:31
Patrick Williams misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
CHI 117·WSH 100
Q4·2:50
Will Riley makes 10-foot pullup jump shot
CHI 117·WSH 100
Q4·3:11
Wizards Full timeout
CHI 117·WSH 98
Q4·3:12
Patrick Williams makes 25-foot three point jumper (Collin Sexton assists)
·
CHI 117·WSH 98
Q4·3:22
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
CHI 114·WSH 98
Q4·3:24
Jamir Watkins misses 23-foot three point jumper
CHI 114·WSH 98
Q4·3:38
Tre Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 114·WSH 98
Q4·3:38
Tre Jones makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 113·WSH 98
Q4·3:38
Leaky Black shooting foul
CHI 112·WSH 98

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

43-93

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

38-96

FG %

9-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

10-38

24-25

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

22-27

Assists

Turnovers

Betting line

CHI -6.5·O/U 249.5·CHI -285/WSH +230

DraftKings · via ESPN

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 145 high confidence

Points

Anthony DavisWSH
20.5± 9.2high
Collin SextonCHI
17.9± 4.5high
Tre JonesCHI
17.5± 7.4high

Rebounds

Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low
Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Trae YoungWSH
8.1± 3.5medium
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high

Steals

Collin SextonCHI
1.6± 1.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
1.4± 1.7low
Leaky BlackWSH
1.4± 1.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CHI

league avg

WSH

54.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

53.5%

46.9%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.3%

116.3

PPG

◀

114.9

112.9

28.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

14.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.1

Data via ESPN · hoopR