OKC
64-16
LAC
41-39
Recap · NBA
klahoma City Thunder went into LA Clippers and beat them, 128–110.
OKC -8.5 cashed (won by 18). Total cleared the 223.5 OVER by 14.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
OKC · top performer
Chet Holmgren
C · #7
30
Pts
14
Reb
5
Ast
LAC · top performer
Kobe Sanders
G · #4
17
Pts
2
Reb
1
Ast
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 20 | 10 | 4-5 | — | 2-2 | +14 | 7 | 1 | |
| 31 | 30 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 7-10 | +19 | 14 | 5 | |
| 30 | 20 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | +10 | 1 | 11 | |
| 20 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | — | +12 | 2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 18 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | +13 | 6 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 14 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | — | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | — | +5 | 4 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 21 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 5-5 | +10 | 2 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | -3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 | — | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +14 | 1 | 3 | |
| Team | 128 | 48-83 | 13-34 | 19-24 | 44 | 30 | ||
| DNP: B. Carlson, N. Topic | ||||||||
DNP: B. Carlson, N. Topic
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 20 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | -10 | 8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -16 | 9 | 3 | |
| 30 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | -10 | 5 | 1 | |
| 30 | 16 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | -29 | 6 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-4 | — | -24 | 1 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 16 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | -6 | 3 | 6 | |
| 24 | 10 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | -5 | 2 | 2 | |
| 7 | 0 | — | — | — | +5 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 110 | 40-86 | 14-32 | 16-24 | 36 | 27 | ||
| DNP: N. Omier, B. Bogdanovic, S. Pedulla | ||||||||
DNP: N. Omier, B. Bogdanovic, S. Pedulla
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
58
FG %
47
30
Ast
27
Season series
OKC wins series 3-0
OKC126@LAC107LAC101@OKC122OKC128@LAC110todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
OKC -8.5
Between 7 and 10
Total
223.5
Standard · -2.5 vs avg
Moneyline
OKC-37579%LAC+29525%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
8.5
0.0 since open
Total
223.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
OKCC. Holmgren
CGame leader · 31 min30-point game
30 PTS · 14 REB · 5 AST
LACK. Sanders
GGame leader · 24 min
17 PTS · 2 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
OKC beat LAC 128-110. C. Holmgren paced them with 30 PTS, 14 REB, 5 AST. OKC outscored the other side 34-23 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAC vs OKC
Starters vs bench
production by unitOKCstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
84 PTS · 30 REB · 23 AST
GS 85
Bench(8)
44 PTS · 14 REB · 7 AST
GS 30
LACstarters 56% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 29 REB · 16 AST
GS 44
Bench(6)
48 PTS · 7 REB · 11 AST
GS 43
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 34 | 35 | 25 | 34 | 128 |
| LAC | 23 | 26 | 31 | 30 | 110 |
Period scoring
OKC won 3 · LAC won 1
Q1
Holmgren 14
Leonard 8
Q2
Holmgren 10
Miller 7
Q3
Gilgeous-Alexander 8
Lopez 11
Q4
Joe 13
Sanders 11
Shooting comparison
58%
48-83
FG
47%
40-86
38%
13-34
3PT
44%
14-32
79%
19-24
FT
67%
16-24
Play-by-play · 451 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
OKC 128·LAC 110
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
OKC 128·LAC 110
- Q4·15.4
Bennedict Mathurin makes free throw 2 of 2
OKC 128·LAC 110
- Q4·15.4
Bennedict Mathurin makes free throw 1 of 2
OKC 128·LAC 109
- Q4·15.4
Aaron Wiggins shooting foul
OKC 128·LAC 108
- Q4·26.3
Isaiah Joe makes free throw 2 of 2
OKC 128·LAC 108
- Q4·26.3
Isaiah Joe makes free throw 1 of 2
OKC 127·LAC 108
- Q4·26.3
TyTy Washington Jr. shooting foul
OKC 126·LAC 108
- Q4·38.2
Kobe Sanders out of bounds bad pass turnover
OKC 126·LAC 108
- Q4·40.4
Jared McCain lost ball turnover (Kobe Sanders steals)
·
OKC 126·LAC 108
- Q4·52.9
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point shot
OKC 126·LAC 108
- Q4·1:08
Jared McCain makes 12-foot step back jumpshot
OKC 126·LAC 106
- Q4·1:30
Kobe Sanders makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jordan Miller assists)
·
OKC 124·LAC 106
- Q4·1:44
Aaron Wiggins makes driving layup
OKC 124·LAC 103
- Q4·1:57
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:00
Bennedict Mathurin misses 28-foot three point step back jumpshot
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:13
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:16
Jared McCain misses 30-foot three point jumper
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:28
Thunder defensive team rebound
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:30
Kobe Sanders misses 21-foot jumper
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·2:46
Jared McCain makes 16-foot pullup jump shot
OKC 122·LAC 103
- Q4·3:01
Bennedict Mathurin makes running layup (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)
·
OKC 120·LAC 103
- Q4·3:06
Jared McCain lost ball turnover (Kobe Sanders steals)
·
OKC 120·LAC 101
- Q4·3:27
Jordan Miller makes running layup (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)
·
OKC 120·LAC 101
- Q4·3:31
Aaron Wiggins lost ball turnover (TyTy Washington Jr. steals)
·
OKC 120·LAC 99
- Q4·3:50
Kenrich Williams enters the game for Ajay Mitchell
· ·
OKC 120·LAC 99
- Q4·3:50
Aaron Wiggins enters the game for Cason Wallace
·
OKC 120·LAC 99
- Q4·3:50
Jared McCain enters the game for Jalen Williams
· ·
OKC 120·LAC 99
- Q4·3:50
Jaylin Williams enters the game for Chet Holmgren
· ·
OKC 120·LAC 99
- Q4·3:50
Thunder Full timeout
OKC 120·LAC 99
Team stats
OKC
Away
Stat
LAC
Home
48-83
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
40-86
58
FG %
47
13-34
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
14-32
19-24
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
16-24
30
Assists
27
13
Turnovers
13
Betting line
OKC -8.5·O/U 223.5·OKC -375/LAC +295
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · GUSG%32.899- Chet HolmgrenOKC · CCONT10.799
Jalen WilliamsOKC · GDRIVES12.592
Isaiah HartensteinOKC · CDEFL2.788
Alex CarusoOKC · GDEFL2.379
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · OKC favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAC vs OKC.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
170
projections · 150 high confidence
Points
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC27.7± 6.8high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC25.5± 4.3high
- Darius GarlandLAC19.0± 5.5high
Rebounds
- Isaiah HartensteinOKC8.6± 3.9high
- Chet HolmgrenOKC8.0± 3.0high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC6.5± 1.4high
Assists
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC7.6± 3.1high
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
- Jalen WilliamsOKC4.8± 2.9high
Blocks
- Chet HolmgrenOKC1.4± 0.9high
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
Steals
- Cason WallaceOKC2.0± 1.0high
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
- Alex CarusoOKC1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
OKC
league avg
LAC
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
55.9%
48.2%
FG%
47.0
48.5%
118.5
PPG
114.9
113.9
25.8
Assists / G
25.0
23.8
11.9
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.6