WSH
17-57
POR
38-38
Recap · NBA
ortland Trail Blazers held off Washington Wizards, 123–88. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
POR -16.5 cashed (won by 35). Total stayed UNDER 235.5 by 24.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Will Riley
G · #27
14
Pts
1
Reb
1
Ast
POR · top performer
Toumani Camara
F · #33
23
Pts
7
Reb
1
Ast
NBA · Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 5 | 2-5 | — | 1-2 | -11 | 8 | 2 | |
| 39 | 8 | 4-12 | — | 0-2 | -28 | 13 | 4 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | -12 | 2 | 0 | |
| 22 | 11 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | -25 | 2 | 4 | |
| 24 | 4 | 2-14 | 0-5 | — | -32 | 5 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 31 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-1 | — | -34 | 3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | -11 | 2 | 1 | |
| 19 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -11 | 1 | 2 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | -1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 14 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | -10 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 88 | 32-87 | 5-22 | 19-22 | 39 | 16 | ||
| DNP: A. Sarr, J. Hardy | ||||||||
DNP: A. Sarr, J. Hardy
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 23 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | +35 | 7 | 1 | |
| 28 | 20 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 3-6 | +22 | 7 | 5 | |
| 21 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | — | +27 | 5 | 1 | |
| 22 | 11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | +19 | 1 | 2 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 8-9 | +26 | 3 | 7 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 31 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-5 | — | +16 | 2 | 2 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | +9 | 6 | 1 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | +1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 19 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | — | +23 | 5 | 2 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | +1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | -3 | 4 | 3 | |
| Team | 123 | 44-86 | 12-36 | 23-32 | 49 | 24 | ||
| DNP: J. Grant, V. Krejci, S. Sharpe | ||||||||
DNP: J. Grant, V. Krejci, S. Sharpe
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
37
FG %
51
16
Ast
24
Season series
Series tied 1-1
POR111@WSH115WSH88@POR123todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
POR -16.5
Between 10 and —
Total
235.5
High-scoring · +9.5 vs avg
Moneyline
WSH+95010%POR-165094%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
16.5
0.0 since open
Total
235.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
WSHW. Riley
GGame leader · 26 min
14 PTS · 1 REB · 1 AST
PORT. Camara
FGame leader · 28 min
23 PTS · 7 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
POR beat WSH 123-88. T. Camara led with 23 PTS, 7 REB, 1 AST. POR outscored the other side 33-19 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
POR vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 43% of ptsStarters(5)
38 PTS · 30 REB · 12 AST
GS 17
Bench(5)
50 PTS · 9 REB · 4 AST
GS 31
PORstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
81 PTS · 23 REB · 16 AST
GS 69
Bench(7)
42 PTS · 26 REB · 8 AST
GS 35
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 15 | 32 | 19 | 22 | 88 |
| POR | 24 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 123 |
Period scoring
WSH won 0 · POR won 4
Q1
Carrington 4
Henderson 7
Q2
Vukcevic 7
Camara 9
Q3
Champagnie 6
Henderson 12
Q4
Riley 6
Wesley 7
Shooting comparison
37%
32-87
FG
51%
44-86
23%
5-22
3PT
33%
12-36
86%
19-22
FT
72%
23-32
Play-by-play · 499 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 88·POR 123
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 88·POR 123
- Q4·20.7
Sidy Cissoko makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 88·POR 123
- Q4·20.7
Trail Blazers offensive team rebound
WSH 88·POR 122
- Q4·20.7
Sidy Cissoko misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 88·POR 122
- Q4·20.7
Sharife Cooper personal foul
WSH 88·POR 122
- Q4·33.1
Double technical foul: Julian Reese and Yang Hansen
·
WSH 88·POR 122
- Q4·33.1
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 88·POR 122
- Q4·33.1
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 87·POR 122
- Q4·33.1
Yang Hansen shooting foul
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·41.5
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·43.7
Yang Hansen misses 26-foot three point jumper
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·1:02
Blake Wesley defensive rebound
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·1:06
Sharife Cooper misses 13-foot fade away jump shot
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·1:20
Blake Wesley makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 86·POR 122
- Q4·1:20
Trail Blazers offensive team rebound
WSH 86·POR 121
- Q4·1:20
Blake Wesley misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 86·POR 121
- Q4·1:20
Julian Reese shooting foul
WSH 86·POR 121
- Q4·1:40
Sharife Cooper makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 86·POR 121
- Q4·1:40
Sharife Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 85·POR 121
- Q4·1:40
Blake Wesley personal foul
WSH 84·POR 121
- Q4·1:47
Blake Wesley makes running layup (Kris Murray assists)
·
WSH 84·POR 121
- Q4·1:50
Jayson Kent defensive rebound
WSH 84·POR 119
- Q4·1:53
Will Riley misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
WSH 84·POR 119
- Q4·2:11
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
WSH 84·POR 119
- Q4·2:13
Blake Wesley misses driving floating jump shot
WSH 84·POR 119
- Q4·2:34
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 84·POR 119
- Q4·2:34
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 83·POR 119
- Q4·2:34
Kris Murray shooting foul
WSH 82·POR 119
- Q4·2:45
Yang Hansen makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 82·POR 119
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
POR
Home
32-87
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
44-86
37
FG %
51
5-22
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-36
19-22
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
23-32
16
Assists
24
15
Turnovers
14
Betting line
POR -16.5·O/U 235.5·WSH +950/POR -1650
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Deni AvdijaPOR · FDRIVES20.899+
Robert Williams IIIPOR · CTS%72.299+
Jrue HolidayPOR · GTOUCHES84.697
Donovan ClinganPOR · CCONT7.694- Toumani CamaraPOR · FCONT6.489
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
POR vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 160 high confidence
Points
- Deni AvdijaPOR25.3± 7.7high
- Anthony DavisWSH20.5± 9.2high
- Damian LillardPOR19.2± 8.2high
Rebounds
- Anthony DavisWSH11.3± 4.3high
- Julian ReeseWSH10.5± 6.4low
- Donovan ClinganPOR10.3± 2.7high
Assists
- Trae YoungWSH8.1± 3.5medium
- Deni AvdijaPOR6.3± 3.2high
- Jrue HolidayPOR6.3± 3.0high
Blocks
- Anthony DavisWSH1.7± 1.5high
- Alex SarrWSH1.6± 1.4high
- Donovan ClinganPOR1.5± 1.2high
Steals
- Matisse ThybullePOR1.7± 1.8high
- Toumani CamaraPOR1.4± 1.4high
- Julian ReeseWSH1.4± 1.7low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
WSH
league avg
POR
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.0%
46.3%
FG%
47.0
45.1%
112.9
PPG
114.9
▶114.6
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
15.1
Turnovers / G
14.0
16.2