NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+17BKN

SAC

19-57

99116

BKN

18-57

NBASun, Mar 29FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasBKN -1.5

Recap · NBA

rooklyn Nets held off Sacramento Kings, 116–99.

BKN -1.5 cashed (won by 17). Total stayed UNDER 216.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SAC · top performer

Devin Carter

G · #22

19.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Drake Powell

G · #4

15.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. AchiuwaPF · #9	34	16	7-14	0-1	2-7	-20	8	1
M. RaynaudC · #42	32	13	4-10	—	5-8	-7	8	2
D. PlowdenG · #29	26	2	1-8	0-7	—	-16	2	3
D. CarterG · #22	29	20	6-12	3-5	5-5	-11	8	5
N. CliffordG · #5	37	17	8-14	1-4	—	-15	7	2
Bench
D. McDermottF · #7	23	12	4-8	4-8	—	-2	3	0
D. CardwellC · #32	14	4	2-4	—	—	-3	3	1
D. JeffriesG · #25	26	14	4-9	2-6	4-4	-6	2	0
K. HayesG · #3	18	1	0-5	0-1	1-1	-5	2	7
Team		99	36-84	10-32	17-25		43	21
DNP: D. Eubanks, K. Murray, M. Monk

DNP: D. Eubanks, K. Murray, M. Monk

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. ClowneyF · #21	20	15	5-11	3-6	2-4	+14	7	1
N. ClaxtonC · #33	23	10	4-8	0-1	2-3	+2	7	3
T. MannG · #14	22	8	2-3	2-3	2-2	+4	2	3
D. PowellG · #4	28	16	6-8	4-6	—	+6	2	2
N. TraoreG · #88	30	17	6-13	2-9	3-5	+10	3	6
Bench
E.J. LiddellF · #9	21	4	2-7	0-3	—	+13	4	2
C. JohnsonF · #31	8	4	2-4	0-1	—	+3	3	2
O. AgbajiG · #30	25	18	6-11	2-6	4-4	+20	1	0
M. SmithG · #18	16	7	3-5	1-1	—	+9	3	1
T. EtienneG · #10	20	9	3-5	3-5	—	-2	0	4
B. SarafG · #77	25	8	3-10	—	2-2	+6	8	6
Team		116	42-85	17-41	15-20		40	30
DNP: Z. Williams

DNP: Z. Williams

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Mar 22

BKN122@

SAC126

Mar 29

SAC99@

BKN116today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BKN -1.5

Between — and 5

Total

216.5

Defensive · -9.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SAC+10050%

BKN-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BKN -1.5↗SpreadBet BKN -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

216.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSAC ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 11:17

SAC

D. Carter

Game leader · 29 min

20 PTS · 8 REB · 5 AST

BKN

D. Powell

Game leader · 28 min

16 PTS · 2 REB · 2 AST

How it ended

BKN beat SAC 116-99. D. Powell led with 16 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST. BKN outscored the other side 31-18 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs SAC

Starters vs bench

production by unit

SACstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 33 REB · 13 AST

GS 44

Bench(4)

31 PTS · 10 REB · 8 AST

GS 25

BKNstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

66 PTS · 21 REB · 15 AST

GS 57

Bench(6)

50 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST

GS 41

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
SAC	18	27	28	26	99
BKN	31	37	18	30	116

Period scoring

SAC won 1 · BKN won 3

Raynaud 7

Agbaji 7

Achiuwa 6

Traore 8

Jeffries 7

Clifford 6

Carter 11

Powell 10

SAC

BKN

Shooting comparison

SAC

BKN

43%

36-84

49%

42-85

31%

10-32

3PT

41%

17-41

68%

17-25

75%

15-20

Play-by-play · 464 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
SAC 99·BKN 116
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SAC 99·BKN 116
Q4·5.2
Nolan Traore lost ball turnover (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
·
SAC 99·BKN 116
Q4·22.6
Devin Carter makes two point shot
SAC 99·BKN 116
Q4·22.6
Devin Carter offensive rebound
SAC 97·BKN 116
Q4·23.4
Devin Carter misses driving layup
SAC 97·BKN 116
Q4·30.2
Chaney Johnson makes driving layup (Drake Powell assists)
·
SAC 97·BKN 116
Q4·44.6
Devin Carter makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
SAC 97·BKN 114
Q4·52.1
Drake Powell makes 1-foot dunk (Chaney Johnson assists)
·
SAC 94·BKN 114
Q4·52.6
Chaney Johnson offensive rebound
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·56.0
Drake Powell misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:10
Precious Achiuwa lost ball turnover (Chaney Johnson steals)
·
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:19
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:24
Nolan Traore misses 24-foot three point jumper
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:26
Nets offensive team rebound
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:28
Ochai Agbaji misses 22-foot three point jumper
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:45
Devin Carter makes 27-foot three pointer
SAC 94·BKN 112
Q4·1:54
Chaney Johnson makes running layup (Ben Saraf assists)
·
SAC 91·BKN 112
Q4·1:58
Nique Clifford bad pass turnover (Drake Powell steals)
·
SAC 91·BKN 110
Q4·2:22
Drake Powell makes 21-foot pullup jump shot
SAC 91·BKN 110
Q4·2:35
Maxime Raynaud makes free throw 2 of 2
SAC 91·BKN 108
Q4·2:35
Kings offensive team rebound
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:35
Maxime Raynaud misses free throw 1 of 2
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:35
Ochai Agbaji enters the game for E.J. Liddell
·
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:35
E.J. Liddell shooting foul
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:38
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:38
E.J. Liddell misses tip in dunk
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:38
E.J. Liddell offensive rebound
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:45
Drake Powell misses 24-foot three point jumper
SAC 90·BKN 108
Q4·2:59
Devin Carter makes free throw 1 of 1
SAC 90·BKN 108

Team stats

SAC

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

36-84

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

42-85

FG %

10-32

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

17-41

17-25

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-20

Assists

Turnovers

Betting line

BKN -1.5·O/U 216.5·SAC +100/BKN -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · SAC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs SAC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

180

projections · 155 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
DeMar DeRozanSAC
18.0± 12.6high
Zach LaVineSAC
17.6± 7.7high

Rebounds

Domantas SabonisSAC
10.6± 3.5high
Maxime RaynaudSAC
8.3± 2.4high
Precious AchiuwaSAC
8.2± 4.6high

Assists

Russell WestbrookSAC
7.5± 2.7high
DeMar DeRozanSAC
4.8± 3.7high
Domantas SabonisSAC
4.3± 2.0high

Blocks

Dylan CardwellSAC
1.7± 1.7high
Keegan MurraySAC
1.4± 0.8high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high

Steals

Ziaire WilliamsBKN
1.7± 1.6high
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

SAC

league avg

BKN

52.5%

Effective FG%

54.4

52.0%

46.7%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

111.0

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

25.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

13.7

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR