
BKN
17-55

POR
36-37
Recap · NBA
ortland Trail Blazers held off Brooklyn Nets, 134–99. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
POR -15.5 cashed (won by 35). Total cleared the 218.5 OVER by 14.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
BKN · top performer

Tyson Etienne
G · #10
18
Pts
1
Reb
4
Ast
POR · top performer

Toumani Camara
F · #33
35
Pts
3
Reb
3
Ast
NBA · Brooklyn Nets at Portland Trail Blazers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 31 | 11 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | -13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7-7 | -13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 33 | 15 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | -17 | 5 | 1 | |
| 22 | 10 | 4-10 | — | 2-2 | -7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0-9 | 0-4 | — | -14 | 3 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 14 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | — | -17 | 1 | 0 | |
| 26 | 12 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -28 | 5 | 3 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -15 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | — | -20 | 2 | 3 | |
| 24 | 18 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | -22 | 1 | 4 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | -9 | 3 | 2 | |
| Team | 99 | 33-80 | 8-29 | 25-29 | 32 | 22 | ||
| DNP: D. Wolf | ||||||||
DNP: D. Wolf
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 35 | 10-12 | 9-11 | 6-7 | +24 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 18 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 10-12 | +7 | 5 | 2 | |
| 24 | 7 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | +9 | 15 | 0 | |
| 27 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-5 | — | +21 | 7 | 4 | |
| 28 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | +28 | 2 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 31 | 16 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | +38 | 5 | 5 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2-2 | — | 0-1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 19 | 10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-6 | +8 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 13 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | +28 | 3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 9 | 3-5 | — | 3-4 | +8 | 2 | 5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | — | +2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 134 | 44-80 | 18-38 | 28-40 | 45 | 28 | ||
| DNP: J. Grant, R. Williams III, V. Krejci, S. Sharpe | ||||||||
DNP: J. Grant, R. Williams III, V. Krejci, S. Sharpe
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
41
FG %
55
22
Ast
28
Season series
POR wins series 2-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
POR -15.5
Between 10 and —
Total
218.5
Defensive · -7.5 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
15.5
0.0 since open
Total
218.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
T. Etienne
GGame leader · 24 min
18 PTS · 1 REB · 4 AST
T. Camara
FGame leader · 28 min30-point game
35 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
POR beat BKN 134-99. T. Camara led the way with 35 points and 3 assists. POR outscored the other side 34-21 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
POR vs BKN
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
52 PTS · 20 REB · 10 AST
GS 35
Bench(6)
47 PTS · 12 REB · 12 AST
GS 25
Starters(5)
76 PTS · 32 REB · 13 AST
GS 59
Bench(6)
58 PTS · 13 REB · 15 AST
GS 52
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 30 | 21 | 22 | 26 | 99 |
| POR | 35 | 34 | 28 | 37 | 134 |
Period scoring
BKN won 0 · POR won 4
Q1
Claxton 8
Avdija 8
Q2
Williams 6
Camara 16
Q3
Minott 7
Henderson 12
Q4
Etienne 12
Hansen 16
Shooting comparison
41%
33-80
FG
55%
44-80
28%
8-29
3PT
47%
18-38
86%
25-29
FT
70%
28-40
Play-by-play · 516 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 99·POR 134
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 99·POR 134
- Q4·15.4
shot clock turnover
BKN 99·POR 134
- Q4·40.0
Tyson Etienne makes 26-foot three pointer (Chaney Johnson assists)
·
BKN 99·POR 134
- Q4·57.7
Blake Wesley makes free throw 1 of 1
BKN 96·POR 134
- Q4·57.7
Tyson Etienne shooting foul
BKN 96·POR 133
- Q4·57.7
Blake Wesley makes 7-foot two point shot
BKN 96·POR 133
- Q4·1:15
Yang Hansen defensive rebound
BKN 96·POR 131
- Q4·1:17
Jalen Wilson misses driving floating jump shot
BKN 96·POR 131
- Q4·1:30
Kris Murray makes 1-foot layup (Blake Wesley assists)
·
BKN 96·POR 131
- Q4·1:35
Malachi Smith bad pass turnover (Matisse Thybulle steals)
·
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·1:40
Josh Minott defensive rebound
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·1:41
Kris Murray misses layup
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·1:44
Josh Minott personal foul
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·1:51
Nets delay of game violation
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·1:51
Tyson Etienne makes 10-foot two point shot
BKN 96·POR 129
- Q4·2:02
Blake Wesley makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot
BKN 94·POR 129
- Q4·2:19
Kris Murray defensive rebound
BKN 94·POR 127
- Q4·2:23
Malachi Smith misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
BKN 94·POR 127
- Q4·2:39
Kris Murray makes driving layup (Chris Youngblood assists)
·
BKN 94·POR 127
- Q4·2:56
Chris Youngblood double personal foul (Josh Minott draws the foul)
·
BKN 94·POR 125
- Q4·2:56
Chaney Johnson makes two point shot (Tyson Etienne assists)
·
BKN 94·POR 125
- Q4·3:18
Kris Murray makes 23-foot three point jumper (Blake Wesley assists)
·
BKN 92·POR 125
- Q4·3:32
Josh Minott makes free throw 1 of 1
BKN 92·POR 122
- Q4·3:32
Matisse Thybulle enters the game for Sidy Cissoko
·
BKN 91·POR 122
- Q4·3:32
Sidy Cissoko shooting foul
BKN 91·POR 122
- Q4·3:32
Josh Minott makes 2-foot layup (Chaney Johnson assists)
·
BKN 91·POR 122
- Q4·3:42
Blake Wesley makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 89·POR 122
- Q4·3:42
Blake Wesley makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 89·POR 121
- Q4·3:42
Malachi Smith shooting foul
BKN 89·POR 120
Team stats
BKN
Away
Stat
POR
Home
33-80
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
44-80
41
FG %
55
8-29
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
18-38
25-29
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
28-40
22
Assists
28
22
Turnovers
22
Betting line
POR -15.5·O/U 218.5·BKN +700/POR -1100
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Deni AvdijaPOR · FDRIVES20.899+
Jrue HolidayPOR · GTOUCHES84.697
Donovan ClinganPOR · CCONT7.694
Toumani CamaraPOR · FCONT6.489
Matisse ThybullePOR · GDEFL2.583
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · BKN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
POR vs BKN.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 160 high confidence
Points
- Deni AvdijaPOR25.3± 7.7high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Damian LillardPOR19.2± 8.2high
Rebounds
- Donovan ClinganPOR10.3± 2.7high
- Robert Williams IIIPOR7.4± 1.6high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN6.9± 5.2high
Assists
- Deni AvdijaPOR6.3± 3.2high
- Jrue HolidayPOR6.3± 3.0high
- Damian LillardPOR6.1± 3.2high
Blocks
- Donovan ClinganPOR1.5± 1.2high
- Robert Williams IIIPOR1.1± 0.9high
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
Steals
- Ziaire WilliamsBKN1.7± 1.6high
- Matisse ThybullePOR1.7± 1.8high
- Toumani CamaraPOR1.4± 1.4high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
BKN
league avg
POR
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶53.0%
44.3%
FG%
47.0
▶45.1%
105.9
PPG
114.9
▶114.6
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
16.2