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FINAL+35POR
BKN

BKN

17-55

99134
POR

POR

36-37

NBAMon, Mar 23FinalSeriesPOR wins series 2-0VegasPOR -15.5

Recap · NBA

ortland Trail Blazers held off Brooklyn Nets, 134–99. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

POR -15.5 cashed (won by 35). Total cleared the 218.5 OVER by 14.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA · Brooklyn Nets at Portland Trail Blazers · final

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

DNP: D. Wolf

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

41

FG %

55

22

Ast

28

Season series

POR wins series 2-0

Mar 16PORPOR114@BKNBKN95
Mar 24BKNBKN99@PORPOR134today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

POR -15.5

Between 10 and

Total

218.5

Defensive · -7.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BKNBKN+70013%
PORPOR-110092%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

15.5

0.0 since open

Total

218.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowBKN POR
BKNBKN
T. Etienne

T. Etienne

G

Game leader · 24 min

18 PTS · 1 REB · 4 AST

PORPOR
T. Camara

T. Camara

F

Game leader · 28 min30-point game

35 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST

How it ended

POR beat BKN 134-99. T. Camara led the way with 35 points and 3 assists. POR outscored the other side 34-21 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

POR vs BKN

0255075100Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
BKNBKNstarters 53% of pts

Starters(5)

52 PTS · 20 REB · 10 AST

GS 35

Bench(6)

47 PTS · 12 REB · 12 AST

GS 25

PORPORstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

76 PTS · 32 REB · 13 AST

GS 59

Bench(6)

58 PTS · 13 REB · 15 AST

GS 52

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
BKN3021222699
POR35342837134

Period scoring

BKN won 0 · POR won 4

30
35

Q1

Claxton 8

Avdija 8

21
34

Q2

Williams 6

Camara 16

22
28

Q3

Minott 7

Henderson 12

26
37

Q4

Etienne 12

Hansen 16

BKN
POR

Shooting comparison

BKN
POR

41%

33-80

FG

55%

44-80

28%

8-29

3PT

47%

18-38

86%

25-29

FT

70%

28-40

Play-by-play · 516 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    BKN 99·POR 134

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    BKN 99·POR 134

  3. Q4·15.4

    shot clock turnover

    BKN 99·POR 134

  4. Q4·40.0

    Tyson Etienne makes 26-foot three pointer (Chaney Johnson assists)

    ·

    BKN 99·POR 134

  5. Q4·57.7

    Blake Wesley makes free throw 1 of 1

    BKN 96·POR 134

  6. Q4·57.7

    Tyson Etienne shooting foul

    BKN 96·POR 133

  7. Q4·57.7

    Blake Wesley makes 7-foot two point shot

    BKN 96·POR 133

  8. Q4·1:15

    Yang Hansen defensive rebound

    BKN 96·POR 131

  9. Q4·1:17

    Jalen Wilson misses driving floating jump shot

    BKN 96·POR 131

  10. Q4·1:30

    Kris Murray makes 1-foot layup (Blake Wesley assists)

    ·

    BKN 96·POR 131

  11. Q4·1:35

    Malachi Smith bad pass turnover (Matisse Thybulle steals)

    ·

    BKN 96·POR 129

  12. Q4·1:40

    Josh Minott defensive rebound

    BKN 96·POR 129

  13. Q4·1:41

    Kris Murray misses layup

    BKN 96·POR 129

  14. Q4·1:44

    Josh Minott personal foul

    BKN 96·POR 129

  15. Q4·1:51

    Nets delay of game violation

    BKN 96·POR 129

  16. Q4·1:51

    Tyson Etienne makes 10-foot two point shot

    BKN 96·POR 129

  17. Q4·2:02

    Blake Wesley makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot

    BKN 94·POR 129

  18. Q4·2:19

    Kris Murray defensive rebound

    BKN 94·POR 127

  19. Q4·2:23

    Malachi Smith misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot

    BKN 94·POR 127

  20. Q4·2:39

    Kris Murray makes driving layup (Chris Youngblood assists)

    ·

    BKN 94·POR 127

  21. Q4·2:56

    Chris Youngblood double personal foul (Josh Minott draws the foul)

    ·

    BKN 94·POR 125

  22. Q4·2:56

    Chaney Johnson makes two point shot (Tyson Etienne assists)

    ·

    BKN 94·POR 125

  23. Q4·3:18

    Kris Murray makes 23-foot three point jumper (Blake Wesley assists)

    ·

    BKN 92·POR 125

  24. Q4·3:32

    Josh Minott makes free throw 1 of 1

    BKN 92·POR 122

  25. Q4·3:32

    Matisse Thybulle enters the game for Sidy Cissoko

    ·

    BKN 91·POR 122

  26. Q4·3:32

    Sidy Cissoko shooting foul

    BKN 91·POR 122

  27. Q4·3:32

    Josh Minott makes 2-foot layup (Chaney Johnson assists)

    ·

    BKN 91·POR 122

  28. Q4·3:42

    Blake Wesley makes free throw 2 of 2

    BKN 89·POR 122

  29. Q4·3:42

    Blake Wesley makes free throw 1 of 2

    BKN 89·POR 121

  30. Q4·3:42

    Malachi Smith shooting foul

    BKN 89·POR 120

Team stats

BKN

Away

Stat

POR

Home

33-80

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

44-80

41

FG %

55

8-29

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

18-38

25-29

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

28-40

22

Assists

28

22

Turnovers

22

Betting line

POR -15.5·O/U 218.5·BKN +700/POR -1100

DraftKings · via ESPN

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 8 players in cohort
  • Deni AvdijaPOR · F
    DRIVES20.899+
  • Jrue HolidayPOR · G
    TOUCHES84.697
  • Donovan ClinganPOR · C
    CONT7.694
  • Toumani CamaraPOR · F
    CONT6.489
  • Matisse ThybullePOR · G
    DEFL2.583

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BKN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(POR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(POR win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(POR win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

POR vs BKN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

180

projections · 160 high confidence

Points

  • Deni AvdijaPOR
    25.3± 7.7high
  • Michael Porter Jr.BKN
    22.7± 6.2high
  • Damian LillardPOR
    19.2± 8.2high

Rebounds

  • Donovan ClinganPOR
    10.3± 2.7high
  • Robert Williams IIIPOR
    7.4± 1.6high
  • Michael Porter Jr.BKN
    6.9± 5.2high

Assists

  • Deni AvdijaPOR
    6.3± 3.2high
  • Jrue HolidayPOR
    6.3± 3.0high
  • Damian LillardPOR
    6.1± 3.2high

Blocks

  • Donovan ClinganPOR
    1.5± 1.2high
  • Robert Williams IIIPOR
    1.1± 0.9high
  • Josh MinottBKN
    0.9± 1.2high

Steals

  • Ziaire WilliamsBKN
    1.7± 1.6high
  • Matisse ThybullePOR
    1.7± 1.8high
  • Toumani CamaraPOR
    1.4± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BKN

BKN

league avg

POR

POR

52.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.0%

44.3%

FG%

47.0

45.1%

105.9

PPG

114.9

114.6

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

25.0

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

16.2

Data via ESPN · hoopR