Matchup orbital

14
COL
COL
1-3
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

5
TOR
TOR
3-1
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
COL wins
COL 14 · TOR 5 (by 9)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TOR +27pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

COL1-3
COL
3-1TOR
TOR

Recap · MLB
olorado Rockies went into Toronto Blue Jays and beat them, 14–5. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
COL +1.5 cashed (TOR lost outright). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 11.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
COL wins series 2-1
COL14@
TOR5today
COL1@
TOR5
COL2@
TOR1Season series
COL leads series 1-0
COL14@
TOR5today
COL1@
TOR5
COL2@
TOR1Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
COL+23430%
TOR-29375%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement
0 snapshots on file
Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 24pp · Top 6th Inning
COL
B. Fulford
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.333 OPS

T. Sugano
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 2 H · 2 BB
TOR
D. Schneider
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

C. Ponce
SPStarting pitcher
2.1 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 1 H · 1 BB
How it ended
COL beat TOR 14-5. Johnston's play in the top 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (24pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TOR vs COL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactSpringer · homered to left center (416 feet).
Tovar · scored on error, Beck safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Clement.
Johnston · homered to right (423 feet), Rumfield scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Period scoring
COL won 3 · TOR won 0
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Karros 1
Springer 1
Inn 4
Tovar 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Johnston 2
Inn 7
Inn 8
Rumfield 2
Schneider 2
Inn 9
Fulford 1
Okamoto 1
Game flow · key plays
Fulford singled to center, Beck scored.
COL 5·TOR 1
−8pp
Johnston homered to right (423 feet), Rumfield scored.
COL 4·TOR 1
−24pp
Okamoto walked.
COL 2·TOR 1
+8pp
Tovar scored on error, Beck safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Clement.
COL 2·TOR 1
−12pp
Springer homered to left center (416 feet).
COL 1·TOR 1
+13pp
Karros scored on error, McCarthy safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Ponce.
COL 1·TOR 0
−11pp
Team stats
COL
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
17
Hits
7
0
Errors
2
14
Runs
5
Player box score

COL
1-3

J. McCarthy★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

H. Goodman★
C
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
0

W. Castro★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0

E. Tovar★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
3-6
R
2
RBI
3
HR
0

T. Rumfield★
1B
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0

T. Johnston★
RF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

J. Beck★
LF
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Karros★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Julien★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Doyle
CF
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Ritter
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Fulford
C
OPS
2.333
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
H-AB
17-45
R
14
RBI
13
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. McCarthy★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() H. Goodman★C | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() W. Castro★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() E. Tovar★SS | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() T. Rumfield★1B | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.200 |
![]() T. Johnston★RF | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() J. Beck★LF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() K. Karros★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() E. Julien★2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. DoyleCF | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.333 |
![]() R. Ritter2B | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() B. FulfordC | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.333 |
| Team | 17-45 | 14 | 13 | 2 | — |

T. Sugano★
SP
IP
4.2
H
2
ER
1
K
4

J. Hill
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0

C. Dollander
SP
IP
4.0
H
5
ER
4
K
5
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
5
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() T. Sugano★SP | 4.2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
![]() J. HillRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() C. DollanderSP | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |

TOR
3-1

G. Springer★
DH
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Barger★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Kirk★
C
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

D. Schneider
LF
OPS
5.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

N. Lukes
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-34
R
5
RBI
5
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() G. Springer★DH | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Sanchez★LF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Barger★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Kirk★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() D. Varsho★CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() K. Okamoto★3B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() E. Clement★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() A. Gimenez★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() D. SchneiderLF | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5.000 |
![]() N. LukesRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-34 | 5 | 5 | 4 | — |

C. Ponce★
SP
IP
2.1
H
1
ER
1
K
3

L. Varland
RP
IP
1.1
H
2
ER
0
K
3

S. Miles
RP
IP
1.2
H
3
ER
3
K
2

B. Little
RP
IP
0.2
H
4
ER
4
K
1

T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

T. Heineman
C
IP
2.0
H
7
ER
5
K
0
IP
9.0
H
17
ER
13
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Ponce★SP | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
![]() L. VarlandRP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
![]() S. MilesRP | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
![]() B. LittleRP | 0.2 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
![]() T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() T. HeinemanC | 2.0 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 17 | 13 | 10 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 8·COL +234/TOR -293