WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+25LV

SEA

23-21

77102

30-14

WNBASun, Sep 14FinalSeriestied 2-2

SEA · top performer

Dominique Malonga

C · #14

13.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

LV · top performer

A'ja Wilson

C · #22

23.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowSEA ↔ LV

Biggest swing: 5pp · 2nd Quarter · 9:04

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. OgwumikeF · #3	27	11	5-10	1-3	—	-33	8	3
G. WilliamsF · #5	27	16	8-13	0-2	—	-22	3	2
E. MagbegorF · #13	24	2	1-2	—	0-1	-14	3	2
S. DigginsG · #4	26	12	4-11	2-3	2-3	-22	2	2
B. SykesG · #20	16	0	0-3	—	—	-17	2	1
Bench
M. HolmesF · #54	5	0	—	—	—	+7	1	0
D. MalongaC · #14	24	12	4-11	2-2	2-2	-10	11	1
E. WheelerG · #17	25	10	4-11	1-5	1-1	-21	2	1
T. MitchellG · #25	12	6	2-4	0-1	2-2	-1	1	2
L. BrownG · #8	7	5	2-3	1-2	—	+4	1	0
Z. CookeG · #7	7	3	1-3	—	1-2	+4	0	1
Team		77	31-71	7-18	8-11		34	15
DNP: K. Samuelson

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. SmithF · #3	25	11	4-6	—	3-6	+21	9	1
K. BellF · #1	15	5	2-6	1-5	—	-2	1	0
A. WilsonC · #22	30	29	10-18	1-2	8-10	+29	8	2
C. GrayG · #12	27	5	1-4	1-2	2-2	+23	4	6
J. YoungG · #0	28	18	6-9	4-6	2-2	+26	5	7
Bench
C. Parker-TyusF · #32	11	7	3-3	1-1	—	+10	2	0
K. StokesC · #41	5	0	—	—	—	-7	0	0
GustafsonC · #17	5	0	0-3	0-1	—	-7	2	0
J. LoydG · #24	26	14	5-9	3-6	1-1	+30	3	1
D. EvansG · #11	23	13	5-11	3-6	—	+9	4	6
A. NyeG · #13	5	0	0-2	—	—	-7	1	0
Team		102	36-71	14-29	16-21		39	23

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

Home

31-71

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

36-71

FG %

7-18

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

14-29

8-11

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

16-21

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

LV leads series 1-0

Sep 15

SEA77@

LV102today

Sep 17

LV83@

SEA86

Sep 19

SEA73@

LV74

How it ended

LV beat SEA 102-77. A. Wilson paced them with 29 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST. LV outscored the other side 22-12 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LV vs SEA

Starters vs bench

production by unit

SEAstarters 53% of pts

Starters(5)

41 PTS · 18 REB · 10 AST

GS 19

Bench(6)

36 PTS · 16 REB · 5 AST

GS 29

LVstarters 67% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 27 REB · 16 AST

GS 68

Bench(6)

34 PTS · 12 REB · 7 AST

GS 27

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
SEA	12	13	27	25	77
LV	22	23	31	26	102

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · LV won 4

Williams 4

Wilson 8

Wheeler 5

Wilson 8

Diggins 12

Young 12

Malonga 7

Parker-Tyus 5

SEA

Shooting comparison

SEA

44%

31-71

51%

36-71

39%

7-18

3PT

48%

14-29

73%

8-11

76%

16-21

Play-by-play · 386 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
SEA 77·LV 102
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SEA 77·LV 102
Q4·19.1
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 77·LV 102
Q4·20.9
Megan Gustafson misses layup
SEA 77·LV 102
Q4·35.0
Lexie Brown makes two point shot (Zia Cooke assists)
·
SEA 77·LV 102
Q4·40.5
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 75·LV 102
Q4·43.3
Aaliyah Nye misses two point shot
SEA 75·LV 102
Q4·1:00
Tiffany Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 75·LV 102
Q4·1:00
Tiffany Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 2
SEA 74·LV 102
Q4·1:00
Kierstan Bell personal foul
SEA 73·LV 102
Q4·1:04
Lexie Brown defensive rebound
SEA 73·LV 102
Q4·1:07
Kierstan Bell misses 23-foot three point jumper
SEA 73·LV 102
Q4·1:23
Zia Cooke makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 73·LV 102
Q4·1:23
Storm offensive team rebound
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:23
Zia Cooke misses free throw 1 of 2
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:23
Dana Evans shooting foul
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:37
Mackenzie Holmes defensive rebound
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:42
Megan Gustafson misses 23-foot three point jumper
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:54
Aaliyah Nye defensive rebound
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·1:56
Lexie Brown misses 26-foot three point jumper
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·2:14
Kierstan Bell makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
SEA 72·LV 102
Q4·2:20
Megan Gustafson defensive rebound
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:23
Zia Cooke misses two point shot
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:26
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:30
Dominique Malonga blocks Dana Evans 's 12-foot step back jumpshot
·
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:32
Dana Evans offensive rebound
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:33
Kierstan Bell misses 23-foot three point jumper
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·2:54
Zia Cooke makes 2-foot two point shot
SEA 72·LV 99
Q4·3:11
Dana Evans makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
SEA 70·LV 99
Q4·3:23
Dominique Malonga makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 70·LV 96

Recap · WNBA

as Vegas Aces held off Seattle Storm, 102–77. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

SEA31/71 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/8

63%

In the paint13/33

39%

Mid-range6/12

50%

Top-of-arc 36/16

38%

Left corner 31/2

50%

LV36/71 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/11

64%

In the paint11/21

52%

Mid-range4/10

40%

Top-of-arc 312/23

52%

Left corner 32/6

33%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

SEA

eFG%

shooting

48.6%

60.6%

TOV%

ball control

13.7%

10.1%

OREB%

offensive glass

22.2%

29.7%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

11.3%

22.5%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

NaLyssa SmithLV · F
eFG%.69599+
A'ja WilsonLV · C
USG%.32399+
Kiah StokesGS · C
AST/TO3.899+
Megan DiLeoPOR · C
TS%.67497
Jackie YoungLV · G
AST/TO3.396

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

SEA31/71 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/8

63%

In the paint13/33

39%

Mid-range6/12

50%

Top-of-arc 36/16

38%

Left corner 31/2

50%

LV36/71 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/11

64%

In the paint11/21

52%

Mid-range4/10

40%

Top-of-arc 312/23

52%

Left corner 32/6

33%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

74.6%

ensemble · LV favored

Elo Static
74.6%
P(LV win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
77.9%
P(LV win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
78.4%
P(LV win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

1.68 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

89% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LV vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 95 high confidence

Points

A'ja WilsonLV
26.6± 7.7high
Jackie YoungLV
17.6± 8.1high
Natisha HiedemanSEA
16.6± 8.6high

Rebounds

A'ja WilsonLV
9.8± 4.0high
Dominique MalongaSEA
9.5± 3.3high
Awa FamSEA
6.6± 2.6high

Assists

Chelsea GrayLV
6.7± 2.2high
Jackie YoungLV
6.3± 3.5high
Natisha HiedemanSEA
4.4± 2.5high

Blocks

A'ja WilsonLV
1.8± 1.3high
Awa FamSEA
1.3± 0.7high
Dominique MalongaSEA
1.2± 1.2high

Steals

Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
1.7± 1.2high
A'ja WilsonLV
1.5± 1.3high
Jewell LoydLV
1.4± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop